Oct 02 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open in positive territory amid Asian equities trading higher Thursday. Semis/tech driving outperformance of Korea following latest Stargate supply deal, which is also translating to strength in Japan and Taiwan. Hong Kong advancing upon resumption of trade with Alibaba leading tech gains following JP Morgan PT upgrade. Mainland China closed for Golden Week break. S&P 500 futures flat afterhours. Bonds mixed with JGB yields reversing higher following soft 10Y auction. Treasuries unchanged. Dollar steady against majors. Crude recovering from mid-August lows. Gold fluctuating around record high. Bitcoin strengthening towards mid-August highs.
On today's agenda, in central banks, ECB's Montagner in fireside chat at 9:30CET at EC-EIB-ESM Capital Markets Seminar (Wed-Thu) with Bank of France's Villeroy speaking at 12noon CET at the seminar. ECB's de Guindos fireside chat at 19:00CET at ESADE Business School. John Cochrane to deliver SNB's Karl Brunner Distinguished Lecture Series.
Elsewhere, meeting of the European Political Community in Copenhagen, EU's von der Leyen participates. France's labor unions plan a day of anti-austerity protests and strikes. In Germany, BAFA 'Energy Day' with experts discussing current developments in the energy and heat transition
In the macroeconomic calendar: Spain Sep unemployment change, Italy Aug unemployment rate, Eurozone Aug unemployment rate, Switzerland Sep CPI, Greece Aug unemployment rate.
In corporate news, Brunello Cucinelli (BC.IM) reported yesterday after the close Q3 revenue and reaffirmed an expected revenue growth of ~ +10% for the year 2026. In the DACH region, this morning GRENKE (GLJ.GR) reported Q3 leasing new business €781.2M, +5.8% y/y. Other names in the region expected to update investor with their latest earnings/trading updates include: Kaufman & Broad (KOF.FP), Stolt-Nielsen (SNI.NO) and Tesco (TSCO.LN).
CMD/Events: Telecom Italia (TIT.IM) Unboxing TIM Enterprise at 14:00 CEST, Tecnicas Reunidas (TRE.SM), SIG Group (SIGN.SW), Metso Outotec (METSO.FH).
Politics/Macro/World News
Reeves braced for hole in UK public finances after productivity downgrade - FT
Reeves poised to back down on higher business rates for UK retailers - FT
5 things we learned from the EU's summit in Copenhagen - Politico
Trump criticizes Beijing for stopping US soybean purchases, will raise issue with Xi - Truth Social
Top company news
Earnings/updates
CON.GR (Continental) -- expects high double-digit million-euro hit from US tariffs in H2, Q3 tyre division sales expected to remain stable y/y - Reuters
BC.IM (Brunello Cucinelli) -- reports Q3 revenue €335.5M vs FactSet €337.7M [2 est, €328.9-346.5M]
GLJ.GR (GRENKE) -- reports Q3 leasing new business €781.2M; +5.8% y/y
M&A
BP.LN (BP) -- BP's new board chair tells employees that company needs to accelerate shift from renewables to oil & gas, consider more asset sales -- Reuters, citing internal memo
III.LN (3i Group) -- said to be exploring exit options for Evernex including potential sale -- Bloomberg
G.IM (Assicurazioni Generali) -- Generali Investments completes acquisition of majority stake in MGG Investment Group
SHW (Sherwin-Williams) -- completes acquisition of BASF's Brazilian Architectural Paints business
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- commences tender offer for 89bio, Inc
EL.FP (EssilorLuxottica) -- completes acquisition of Optegra
SHL.GR (Siemens Healthineers) -- Siemens exploring spinoff of large part of 71% stake in Siemens Healthineers - Bloomberg
SGO.FP (Compagnie de Saint-Gobain) -- enters into exclusive negotiations with Ponsardin Industries for the sale of SFIC Belgium
HTO.GA (Hellenic Telecommunications Organization) -- confirms completes sale of mobile business in Romania; plans to distribute related ~€40M to shareholders
IVG.IM (Iveco Group) -- and DLL obtain regulatory approvals to enter into JV to facilitate the energy transition in Europe
RF.FP (Eurazeo) -- completes sale of Ultra Premium Direct to Inspired Pet Nutrition
PRT.IM (Esprinet) -- completes acquisition of Vamat
MAHA.A.SS (Maha Capital) -- announces divestment of working interest in Illinois Basin
Healthcare
NANO.FP (Nanobiotix) -- announces first data from phase 1 study evaluating JNJ-1900 (NBTXR3) for patients with esophageal cancer
HNSA.SS (Hansa Biopharma) -- carries out directed issue of 17.0M shares at SEK39.50/share to raise SEK671.5M (~$71.3M)
NWRN.SW (Newron Pharmaceuticals) -- to present new analyses and updates on its clinical program evaluating evenamide at ECNP Congress 2025
FYB.GR (Formycon) -- secures U.S. license date for proposed Aflibercept Biosimilar FYB203 following settlement and license agreement with Regeneron
IRLAB.A.SS (IRLAB Therapeutics) -- IRLAB progresses fully funded IRL757 study in Parkinson's Disease in partnership with MSRD
ALCOX.FP (Nicox) -- Nicox's NCX 470 Demonstrates Sustained Efficacy through 12 Months in Denali Clinical Trial with no new Safety Observations
Other
AF.FP (Air France-KLM) -- appoints Oltion Carkaxhija COO
KAP.LN (National Atomic Company Kazatomprom) -- Kazatomprom exploring new listing to boost valuation - Bloomberg
DG.FP (VINCI SA) -- implements share buyback program for up to €600M
CANTA.SS (Cantargia) -- appoints Wolfram Dempke as Chief Medical Officer, effective immediately; succeeds Morten Lind Jensen
Key rating changes
Upgrades
HSBC upgrades NOVO.B.DC, ROG.SW
RAA.GR (Rational) -- to overweight from equal weight at Barclays
RACE.IM (Ferrari) -- to buy from hold at HSBC
INWI.SS (Inwido) -- to buy at DNB Carnegie
HO.FP (Thales) -- to buy from hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
Downgrades
ARJO.B.SS (Arjo) -- to hold from buy at SEB
ENC.SM (ENCE Energia y Celulosa) -- to underperform from outperform at Oddo
ALTR.PL (Altri SGPS) -- to neutral from outperform at Oddo
HSBC downgrades ABBV
ORA.FP (Orange) -- to neutral from outperform at Oddo
Initiations
CCH.LN (Coca-Cola HBC) -- initiated overweight at Morgan Stanley
JSE.LN (Jadestone Energy Plc) -- initiated buy at Berenberg
Data
Nikkei +1.05% to 45019.87
Hang Seng +1.68% to 27306.70
Shanghai Composite +0.00% to 3882.78
S&P futures +6.8 vs prior close of 6761.5
€-$ +0.0003 or +0.03% to 1.1735
$-¥ +0.11 or +0.08% to 147.19
€-¥ +0.21 or +0.12% to 172.73
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