Jun 12 ,2023
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open broadly higher having registered a small weekly loss last week with the STOXX Europe 600 down (0.5%). Oil prices lower Monday with WTI Crude (Jul 23) down (1.18%) to $69.34/bbl. Bloomberg notes iron ore down nearly 5%; cites Goldman's China property warning. Asian markets mixed.
Key week ahead with central bank decisions in US, Europe, and Japan in the wake of a wave of recently hawkish market surprises from the RBA, Bank of Canada and even RBI forward guidance. Volatility may increase as a result. Markets expecting "hawkish hold" with the Fed, a hawkish 25bps hike from the ECB and no change from BoJ. UK labour market data (due tomorrow) a key input in BoE decision later this month, given the focus on wage price developments. Quiet macro data calendar today with just Denmark May CPI due.
Also on today's agenda: BOE's Mann webinar at 15:00BST hosted by Signum Chairman Charles Myers; Irish Taoiseach Varadkar 10:05BST, finance minister McGrath 10:20 among the speakers at national economic dialog (thru Tue); NATO's Stoltenberg visits Washington to meet President Joe Biden and Secretary of State Antony Blinken (thru Tue)
Focus this morning on M&A headlines. Novartis (NOVN.SW) to acquire Chinook Therapeutics (KDNY) for $40/share in cash or $3.2B total; Georg Fischer (GF.SW) announces recommended offer for Uponor (UPONOR.FH) at €28.85/share in cash. Bloomberg reports Nordic Capital is one of the last suitors for Temenos (TEMN.SW) after rival buyout firms dropped out of the race to buy the group. In UK retail sector, Frasers Group (FRAS.LN) reportedly takes 18.9% stake in AO World (AO.LN).
Macro/politics
Top company news
Earnings/updates
RHM.GR (Rheinmetall) -- 2025 operating income "should be €1.5B, maybe even €1.7B" - RND
VTBR.RU (VTB Bank) -- VTB net income to be not less than RUB400B this year - Reuters
M&A
TECK.B.CN (Teck Resources) -- Glencore to present Teck with alternative proposal to acquire Teck's coal assets - media reports
KDNY (Chinook Therapeutics) -- Novartis (NOVN.SW) to acquire Chinook Therapeutics for $40/share in cash or $3.2B total
UPONOR.FH (Uponor) -- Georg Fischer (GF.SW) announces recommended offer for Uponor at €28.85/share in cash
BG (Bunge Ltd) -- Bunge purchase of Viterra to be paid 70% in Bunge shares - Bloomberg
RIO.LN (Rio Tinto) -- unlikely to chase megadeals right now - Sunday Times
VIV.FP (Vivendi) -- has received approval from the European Commission to complete its proposed transaction with Lagardère
TIT.IM (Telecom Italia)
announces two new non-binding offers for Netco received from CdP-Macquarie consortium and KKR
Raised bid means KKR may have edge in competition for Telecom Italia's network - Bloomberg
ASC.LN (Asos) -- Battle for Asos developing - Mail on Sunday
FRE.GR (Fresenius) -- to seek to sell Australian private day hospitals business Cura - The Australian
TEMN.SW (Temenos) -- Nordic Capital in, EQT out of race for Temenos - Bloomberg
UBSG.SW (UBS) -- announces legal completion of the merger with Credit Suisse - FuW
ESSITY.B.SS (Essity) -- divests Russian operations; terms undisclosed, but no material financial impact expected
AO.LN (AO World) -- Frasers Group takes 18.9% stake in AO World - Telegraph
SCYR.SM (Sacyr Vallehermoso) -- Morgan Stanley Infrastructure set to acquire Sacyr's Servicios Medioambientales business - Reuters
600745.CH (Wingtech Technology) -- STMicroelectronics, GlobalFoundries likely to have expressed interest in Newport Wafer Fab - Telegraph
WEN.LN (Wentworth Resources) -- provides update on offer from Maurel & Prom
Healthcare
ERYP.FP (ERYTECH Pharma) -- reacts to a series of disinformation attempts by Akkadian Partners to try and destabilize ERYTECH
ALLO (Allogene Therapeutics) -- Announces Oral Presentation of Phase 1 Data on ALLO-501/501A in Large B Cell Lymphoma at ICML Lugano
ALCLS.FP (Cellectis SA) -- presents updated clinical and translational data on BALLI-01 at EHA 2023
IPN.FP (Ipsen) -- to present new data on clinical outcomes and patient validation tools from growing rare liver disease portfolio at EASL 2023
IDIA.SW (Idorsia) -- launches QUVIVIQ (daridorexant) in Switzerland
IPH.FP (Innate Pharma) -- provides updated data on IPH6501 at EHA
BIOA.B.SS (BioArctic) -- issues press release on FDA panel's vote to confirm overall benefit-risk assessment for LEQEMBI to treat Alzheimer's Disease
BIOA.B.SS (BioArctic) -- FDA panel supports overall benefit-risk assessment for LEQEMBI solution for intravenous infusion
Other
TEL.NO (Telenor) -- Court of Appel has decided in favor of Telenor ASA in a tax case concerning losses on settlement under guarantees for financing in the Indian subsidiary Unitech Wireless
ENX.FP (Euronext) -- CEO talks LSE down - Sunday Times
SESG.FP (SES) -- CEO Steve Collar, will be stepping down at the end of June 2023 to pursue other professional and personal endeavours
GRG.LN (Greggs) -- on track to open 150 new doors this year - Sky News
FRAS.LN (Frasers Group) -- announces joint venture for expansion in Indonesia -- RetailWeek
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $163.2M, (24.0%) y/y - Box Office Mojo
Key rating changes
Upgrades
ADS.GR (Adidas) -- to outperform from market-perform at Bernstein
REG1V.FH (Revenio Group) -- to buy from hold at Danske Bank
OCDO.LN (Ocado Group) -- to neutral from underperform at BNP Paribas Exane
SLR.SM (Solaria Energia) -- to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital Markets
Downgrades
NHH.SM (NH Hotel Group) -- to underperform from neutral at Oddo
Other Actions
FNAC.FP (Fnac Darty) -- reinitiated buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
CEC.GR (CECONOMY) -- initiated hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
Data
Nikkei +0.51% to 32428.56
Hang Seng (0.21%) to 19349.01
Shanghai Composite (0.02%) to 3230.67
S&P futures +5.3 vs prior close of 4304.8
€-$ +0.0001 or +0.01% to 1.0751
$-¥ +0.14 or +0.10% to 139.53
€-¥ +0.15 or +0.10% to 149.98
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