Jun 22 ,2023
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open lower amid Asian equities mixed Thursday. S&P 500 futures flat afterhours. Dollar stronger against Aussie and yuan, weaker vs yen. Crude peeling lower after climbing towards a two-week high. Base and precious metals little changed.
On today's agenda, focus on central banks interest decisions from BOE, SNB and Norges Bank. SNB released its latest Financial Stability Report, and announces policy decision at 9:30CET, expected to raise benchmark rate +25bps to 1.75%. Norges Bank interest rate decision at 10:00CET followed by a press con at 10:30CET, expected to raise benchmark interest rate +25bps to 3.50% and lift the rate path for 2023-24 with a new peak rate seen at 4.25%. BOE interest rate decision at 12noon BST along with meeting minutes, an increase in the benchmark interest rate of +25bps to 4.75% is expected. Turkey Central Bank interest rate decision also at 12noon BST, with the benchmark interest rate expected to be increased to 21% from its current 8.5%
Other events include NBER's International Seminar (through Fri) on Macroeconomics, speakers include ECB's Georgiadis. New Global Financing Pact Summit (through Fri), speakers include President Macron, Chancellor Scholz, EU's von der Leyen and Bundesbank's Mauderer. Elsewhere, the State of the Crypto Summit hosted by FT
Macroeconomic releases due today include: France Jun business confidence, Eurozone Jun flash consumer confidence and Norway May unemployment rate
In corporate news, Aegon (AGN.NA) presents the next chapter of its transformation during its CMD, Transamerica's strategic plan and update on on the a.s.r. transaction. BerGenBio (BGBIO.NO) reports Q1 EPS (NOK0.81) vs year-ago (NOK0.92) and said that with net proceeds from the NOK 250M rights issue and the actions taken post quarter to significantly reduce the operating costs, the company is now well positioned to advance bemcentinib withing the defined strategy. In the UK, DS Smith (SMDS.LN), Serco Group (SRP.LN), Mulberry Group (MUL.LN) and NCC Group (NCC.LN) are expected to update the market today. On M&A front, SES (SESG,FP) confirmed that discussions regarding possible combination with Intelsat have ceased and Telecom Italia is reportedly renewing efforts to sell minority stake in enterprise unit.
Politics/Macro/World News
EU battle over gig economy worker rights to intensify - FT
Bundesbank lessons for today's central bankers - FT
German opposition 'disrupter' battles rising far right and internal rivalry - FT
Interest rates in the UK set to rise for 13th time in a row - BBC
Another Sunak priority in doubt as national debt reaches 100% of GDP - Sky
Sunak struggles to contain Tory anxiety over UK mortgages - Bloomberg
Turkish central bank to hike rates sharply in post-election pivot - Reuters
Top company news
Earnings/updates
AGN.NA (Aegon) -- presents the next chapter of its transformation, Transamerica's strategic plan and update on on the a.s.r. transaction -- CMD
DTG.GR (Daimler Truck Holding) -- on track to achieve FY25 profitability ambitions - AGM 2023
BGBIO.NO (BerGenBio) -- reports Q1 EPS (NOK0.81) vs year-ago (NOK0.92)
GAV.SW (Carlo Gavazzi Holding) -- reports final FY earnings in line with prelim release; net income CHF28.2M
M&A
TIT.IM (Telecom Italia) -- renewing efforts to sell minority stake in enterprise unit - Bloomberg
ELUX.B.SS (Electrolux) -- Midea reportedly ends pursuit to acquire Electrolux -- Bloomberg
SESG.FP (SES) -- SES confirms that discussions regarding possible combination with Intelsat have ceased
OCDO.LN (Ocado Group) -- Rumour: Amazon, other tech heavies considering 800p/share bid for Ocado - London Times
ELUX.B.SS (Electrolux) -- Follow-up: Midea ends pursuit to acquire Electrolux - Bloomberg
AGN.NA (Aegon) -- presents the next chapter of its transformation, Transamerica's strategic plan and update on on the a.s.r. transaction -- CMD
BAMI.IM (Banco BPM) -- seeking new commercial deal for payments business; has no plans to sell part of it - Reuters, citing CEO Giuseppe Castagna
RIN.FP (Vilmorin & cie) -- Limagrain Participations launches tender offer for Vilmorin & cie shares
VLX.LN (Volex) -- Volex to raise funds so as to buy Murat Ticaret for $175M (£137M) - Sky News
Healthcare
GSK.LN (GSK Plc) -- CDC ACIP votes in favor of recommending the use of AREXVY in adults aged 60 and older
COLO.B.DC (Coloplast) -- Coloplast's largest shareholder to form new holding company
ORP.FP (Orpea) -- provides update on addendum to Independent Expert's Report drawn up in context of restructuring of S.A.
MITRA.BB (Mithra Pharmaceuticals) -- obtains access to new €12.5M tranche of Highbridge/Whitebox loan facility
CRNA.NO (Circio Holding) -- doses first Oslo patient with TG01 in multiple myeloma trial
Other
LOGN.SW (Logitech International) -- Logitech's board approves new $1B share buyback program
VOLV.B.SS (Volvo) -- announces Nova Bus ends bus production in the US
TKA.GR (ThyssenKrupp) -- Nucera expected to be valued at more than €3B in IPO - Reuters
ENGI.FP (ENGIE) -- warns that energy demand in Europe must decline by 34% by 2050 to achieve net zero - Handelsblatt
CO.FP (Casino Guichard-Perrachon) -- provides update on conciliation proceedings
CIE.SM (CIE Automotive) -- to pay complementary interim dividend of €0.419/share (gross)
VLA.FP (Valneva) -- recommends shareholders to approve a governance transition to a one-tier model led by a Board of Directors
ORA.FP (Orange) -- Orange set to transfer Orange Bank customer portfolio to BNP Paribas -- Le Figaro
Key rating changes
Upgrades
SHEL.LN (Shell) -- to equal-weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley
ABI.BB (Anheuser-Busch InBev) -- to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank
BOL.SS (Boliden) -- to equal-weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley
ISS.DC (ISS A/S) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
SAP.GR (SAP) -- to hold from underperform at Jefferies
SRT3.GR (Sartorius) -- to buy from hold at Berenberg
NDX1.GR (Nordex) -- to outperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
Downgrades
VALMT.FH (Valmet) -- to hold from buy at Danske Bank
EQNR.NO (Equinor) -- to underweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
MCPHY.FP (McPhy Energy) -- to sell from hold at Panmure Gordon
Other Actions
ALPHA.GA (Alpha Services & Holdings) -- resumed outperform at NBG Securities
IDIA.SW (Idorsia) -- resumed underweight at Morgan Stanley
Data
Nikkei (0.73%) to 33330.99
Hang Seng +0.00% to 19218.35
Shanghai Composite +0.00% to 3197.90
S&P futures (7.8) vs prior close of 4409.3
€-$ +0.0003 or +0.03% to 1.0990
$-¥ (0.01) or (0.00%) to 141.81
€-¥ +0.01 or +0.01% to 155.80
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