Aug 02 ,2023
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open lower amidst a lower session in Asia Wednesday. Major benchmarks all in negative territory with Hang Seng, Nikkei and Kospi recording biggest losses. S&P 500 futures extending losses afterhours.
Attention also on today's Fitch downgrade of US credit rating to AA+ from AAA after agency put US on Watch Negative in May. Based downgrade on expected fiscal deterioration over coming years. Early reactions downplayed significance of Fitch's' downgrade, pointing to stronger-than-expected US growth and lack of alternatives. Also, thoughts resulting risk-off move could fuel demand for Treasuries given their haven appeal.
Russian President Putin expected to hold a telephone conversation with Turkish President Erdoğan, during which they're expected to decide on date for a bilateral meeting
In central banks, London Times shadow MPC backed smaller BoE rate increase on Thursday.
Main macro releases include Switzerland consumer confidence and manufacturing PMI (the later after markets being closed yesterday for National Day holiday) and Spain unemployment change
On the earnings front, Hugo Boss (BOSS.GR) reported Q2 EPS €1.09 vs consensus €0.99 raised FY23 sales outlook to €4.1-4.2B from €4B whilst Siemens Healthineers (SHL.GR) reported Q3 adj EPS €0.53 vs consensus €0.43 and confirmed FY23 expectations. Also from the DACHs region, Fresenius (FRE.GR) reported Q2 EPS €0.67 vs consensus €0.62 and raised revenue outlook ex Fresenius Medical Care whilst keeping EBIT outlook ex Fresenius Medical Care. Fresenius Medical Care (FME.GR) also reported Q2 and narrowed operating income target range for 2023 whilst Kloeckner & Co. (KCO.GR) and Symrise (SY1.GR) are out with H1 results.
Elsewhere, Klepierre (LI.FP) and JDE Peet's (JDEP.NA) reported H1
Also reporting today are Wolters Kluwer (WKL.NA), Schaeffler (SHA.GR), Telecom Italia (TIT.IM) and BAE Systems (BA.LN).
Macro
Top company news
Earnings/updates
Benelux:
JDEP.NA (JDE Peet's) -- reports H1 underlying EPS €0.85 vs year-ago €1.05; lowers adjusted EBIT outlook
MELE.BB (Melexis) -- reports Q2 EPS €1.28 vs FactSet €1.27 [4 est, €1.20-1.33]; guides Q3 Sales €245-250M vs FactSet €240.27M; specifies FY Sales growth guidance to +14-16% vs prior +11-16%
DSFIR.NA (DSM-Firmenich) -- reports Q2 pro-forma adjusted EBITDA €408M vs guidance between €400-420M and FactSet €409.5M [2 est, €402-417M]
AED.BB (Aedifica) -- reports H1 EPRA EPS €2.76 vs year-ago €2.36
DACHs:
SY1.GR (Symrise) -- reports H1 EPS €1.34 vs consensus €1.52
BOSS.GR (Hugo Boss) -- reports Q2 EPS €1.09 vs consensus €0.99; raises FY23 outlook
FME.GR (Fresenius Medical Care) -- reports Q2 EPS €0.48 vs consensus €0.27; narrows operating income target range for 2023
FRE.GR (Fresenius) -- reports Q2 EPS €0.67 vs consensus €0.62; Group revenue outlook ex Fresenius Medical Care improved, EBIT outlook ex Fresenius Medical Care confirmed
SHL.GR (Siemens Healthineers) -- reports Q3 adj EPS €0.53 vs consensus €0.43; confirms FY23 expectations
KCO.GR (Kloeckner & Co.) -- reports H1 EPS €0.04 vs year-ago €3.18
INRN.SW (Interroll Holding) -- reports H1 net income CHF22.0M vs FactSet CHF28.4M [2 est, CHF26.1-30.6M]
LNZ.AV (Lenzing) -- reports H1 EPS (€0.89) vs year-ago €1.49; still sees EBITDA in range between €320M and €420M for 2023 vs FactSet €309.8M
France:
LI.FP (Klepierre) -- reports H1 CFPS €1.21 vs year-ago €1.13
BON.FP (Bonduelle) -- reports FY revenue €2.41B vs FactSet €2.41B [5 est, €2.39-2.44B]
ALATI.FP (Actia Group) -- reports Q2 preliminary revenue €150.5M vs year-ago €134.1M
Nordics:
RILBA.DC (Ringkjøbing Landbobank) --
reports Q2 net income DKK525.0M, +51% vs year-ago DKK348M
to implement a share buy-back programme for DKK 385M with a view to cancelling the shares at a future general meeting, as part two of a total share buy-back programme totalling DKK 770M
REG1V.FH (Revenio Group) -- lowers FY sales guidance: exchange rate-adjusted net sales growth is estimated to be between 1% - 5% to the previous year vs prior guidance to grow strongly y/y
Southern Europe:
IVG.IM (Iveco Group) -- reports Q2 adj EPS €0.57 vs FactSet €0.25 [3 est, €0.20-0.32]
ETE.GA (National Bank of Greece) -- Follow-up: National Bank of Greece guides FY EPS >€1.10 vs prior >€0.75 and FactSet €1.01 - slides
MFEB.IM (MFE-MEDIAFOREUROPE) -- reports H1 net income €87.1M, +3% vs year-ago €84.6M; confirms objective of maintaining a positive annual EBIT, net profit and free cash flow
M&A
SMSAAM.CI (Sociedad Matriz SAAM) -- Hapag-Lloyd completes the acquisition of SM SAAM terminal business
HOLN.SW (Holcim) -- acquires Cooper Standard Technical Rubber; price not disclosed
Healthcare
NOVN.SW (Novartis) -- Roche's Genentech accuses Novartis unit Sandoz of infringing patent by selling generic version of Esbriet - Reuters
Other
SAMPO.FH (Sampo) -- completes its share buyback programme
LUFTH.HB (Deutsche Lufthansa) -- Deutsche Lufthansa, HCS Group announce agreement for production, supply of SAF
CA.FP (Carrefour) -- announces next tranche of previously disclosed share buyback program
1COV.GR (Covestro) -- not planning additional cost-cutting measures - Börsen-Zeitung
EBS.AV (Erste Group Bank) -- receives ECB approval for up to €300M share buyback
UN01.GR (Uniper) -- vows to learn from previous over-reliance on Russian gas - FT
POLY.LN (Polymetal International) -- confirms suspension of trading on LSE
COK.GR (CANCOM) -- appoints Jochen Borenich to the newly created position of Chief Sales Officer
UNI.SM (Unicaja Banco) -- Oceanwood Capital Management to explore a potential block sale of up to 117M shares in Unicaja Banco S.A. through a private placement
Italy Jul new passenger car registrations 119,207 units, +8.8% y/y -- UNRAE
Key rating changes
Upgrades
NESN.SW (Nestle) -- to buy from hold at HSBC
WAF.GR (Siltronic) -- to outperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
Downgrades
APAM.NA (Aperam) -- to underweight from neutral at JPMorgan
Other Actions
BIG.LN (Big Technologies) -- initiated buy at Peel Hunt
UMI.BB (Umicore) -- assumed neutral at Goldman Sachs; prior rating was neutral
Data
Nikkei (2.12%) to 32768.08
Hang Seng (2.04%) to 19602.13
Shanghai Composite (0.82%) to 3264.10
S&P futures (21.8) vs prior close of 4601.3
€-$ +0.0011 or +0.10% to 1.0996
$-¥ (0.44) or (0.31%) to 142.90
€-¥ (0.34) or (0.22%) to 157.10
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