Aug 31 ,2023
Synopsis
European indices are expected to open flat amid Asian equities mixed Thursday. S&P 500 futures flat after US indexes posted a fourth-straight gain overnight. Treasury yields mixed while Australian and New Zealand curves bull flattening. Dollar weakest against Aussie and yen, steady elsewhere. China iron ore futures extending recent rally, crude and base metals mixed.
On today's agenda, Annual conf of Germany's Bafin insurance supervisory authority. Frihamnsdagarna - Democracy Festival, in Sweden (through Sat) includes meeting of European Citizens' Initiative. In Norway, Government ministers meet for a budget conf. In the UK, new defence secretary is expected to be announced (BBC).
In central banks, ECB publishes minutes of last MPC meeting at 13:30CET. ECB's Schnabel opening remarks at 10:00CET at event hosted by ECB and The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's Center for Inflation Research whilst ECB's de Guindos remarks/Q+A at 18:00CET at seminar organised by the Universidad Internacional Menéndez Pelayo.
Looking at macroeconomics, Germany Aug unemployment change, Germany/Switzerland Jul retail sales, France/Portugal/Belgium/Finland/Denmark Q2 GDP, Eurozone/France/Italy/Portugal/Netherlands/Austria Aug preliminary CPI, France Jul consumer spending and PPI, Eurozone/Italy/Greece/Denmark Jul unemployment rate, Greece Jun retail sales.
In corporate news, UBS Group (UBSG.SW) reported Q2 net income $28.88B vs consensus $33.45B and said to fully integrate Credit Suisse's Swiss bank. From the Benelux, Ackermans & Van Haaren (ACKB.BB) released H1 earnings end confirmed FY23 results are expected to be in line with FY22, after correction for capital gains.
Out of the Nordics, Ambu (AMBU.B.DC) posted Q3 EPS DKK0.19 vs FactSet DKK0.23 and narrows FY organic revenue growth guidance to +6-8% vs prior +5-8%. In France. Pernod Ricard (RI.FP) reported Q4 revenue €2.63B vs consensus €2.65B and reiterated its FY23 to FY25 mid-term financial framework of aiming for the upper end of +4% to +7% Net Sales growth and +50/+60bps operating margin. In the UK, Grafton Group (GFTU.LN) is also due to report.
Politics/Macro/World News
Crisis and coups as EU ministers discuss west Africa - FT
Rishi Sunak says it's 'sensible to engage' with China - Sky
Italy mulls sale of key state-owned stakes to bolster finances - Bloomberg
Adviser to UK Chancellor urges rethink on BOE's 2% CPI target - Bloomberg
UK business optimism at 18-month high on hopes for rate hike pause - Reuters
Top company news
Earnings/updates
UBSG.SW (UBS Group) -- reports Q2 net income $28.88B, (14%) vs consensus $33.45B; to fully integrate Credit Suisse's Swiss bank
AMBU.B.DC (Ambu) -- reports Q3 EPS DKK0.19 vs FactSet DKK0.23 [4 est, DKK0.20-0.25]: narrows FY organic revenue growth guidance to +6-8% vs prior +5-8%
FGR.FP (Eiffage) -- reports H1 net income €392M vs consensus €376.7M; reiterates outlook for 2023
ADE.NO (Adevinta) -- reports Q2 EBITDA €177M vs consensus €162.7M; improves FY23 outlook
DOKA.SW (dormakaba Holding) -- reports FY net income CHF88.5M vs FactSet CHF87.0M [7 est, CHF44.4-177.5M]
EMSN.SW (EMS-Chemie Holding) -- reports H1 net income CHF247M vs year-ago CHF286M
POXEL.FP (Poxel) -- reports Q2 revenue €506M vs year-ago €51M
IBAB.BB (Ion Beam Applications) -- reports H1 net income €27.3M vs year-ago (€1.7M); guidance reiterated
IIA.AV (Immofinanz) -- reports H1 FFO 1 (before tax) €140.9M vs year-ago €66M
IDL.FP (ID Logistics Group) -- reports H1 net income €16.4M, (10%) vs year-ago €18.3M
RECT.BB (Recticel) -- reports H1 net income attributable €2.2M vs year-ago €34.6M
CLCO.NO (Cool Co.) -- reports Q2 net income $44.6M vs FactSet $29.7M [6 est, $23.4-37.1M]
MRX.GR (Mister Spex) -- reports H1 adjusted EBITDA €0.7M vs year-ago (€4M); FY 2023 guidance confirmed
RI.FP (Pernod Ricard) -- reports Q4 revenue €2.63B vs consensus €2.65B
ELON.SS (Elon AB) -- reports Q2 EPS (SEK1.97) vs year-ago (SEK1.89)
M&A
OR.FP (L'Oreal) -- completes acquisition of Aesop from Natura &Co
TTE.FP (TotalEnergies) -- European Commission authorizes acquisition of joint control of RNS Enerji by TotalEnergies and RNS Holding
EJD.GR (Endeavour Silver) -- Gold Royalty completes previously announced acquisition of 1% royalty over Cozamin Copper-Silver Mine from Endeavour Silver for $7.5M cash
BGN.IM (Banca Generali) -- Banca Generali not looking at any M&A deal; FY profit well above targets -- CEO tells Sole24Ore
UPONOR.FH (Uponor) -- Georg Fischer extends offer period for Uponor to 31-Oct
Healthcare
UCB.BB (UCB) -- to present new data at 35th International Epilepsy Congress (IEC) highlighting important advancements across Fintepla (fenfluramine) oral solution and broader epilepsies portfolio
Other
ECV.GR (Encavis AG) -- Encavis, Innovar Solar sign framework agreement for solar projects with total volume of 160MW
DOKA.SW (dormakaba Holding) -- dormakaba achieves annual target to reduce Scope 1+2 carbon emissions by 4,004 tCO2
SPINN.FH (Spinnova) -- Spinnova appoints Tuomas Oijala as CEO effective 1-Jan-24 at the latest and Ben Selby as deputy CEO
IVA.FP (Inventiva) -- announces ~€35.7M financing via capital increase and royalty certificates
Key rating changes
Upgrades
HEIA.NA (Heineken) -- to sector perform from underperform at RBC Capital Markets; reverses downgrade from earlier today after company discussions
OPAP.GA (Greek Organisation of Football Prognostics) -- to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
SRAIL.SW (Stadler Rail) -- upgraded to hold from reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux
Both
ORSTED (Ørsted) -- downgraded to hold from buy at Nordea; upgraded to hold from sell at DnB Markets
Data
Nikkei +0.98% to 32650.73
Hang Seng (0.48%) to 18394.48
Shanghai Composite (0.61%) to 3117.97
S&P futures +2.0 vs prior close of 4524.3
€-$ (0.0005) or (0.05%) to 1.0920
$-¥ (0.30) or (0.20%) to 145.95
€-¥ (0.39) or (0.24%) to 159.36
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