Sep 03 ,2023
Synopsis:
Asian markets set for a positive start to Monday trade. Nikkei and ASX futures pointing to modest gains on the open. S&P 500 futures little changed (US markets closed Monday for Labor Day). Hang Seng set to resume after Friday's session canceled due to typhoon. Australian and New Zealand curves bear steepening, tracking Treasuries following US nonfarm payrolls data. FX markets steady after dollar logged widespread gains on Friday. Crude inching higher after managing its biggest weekly advance since March.
Bullish market sentiment underpinned by sharp pullback in bond yields after a run of softer-than-expected US data strengthened soft landing expectations. In response markets dialed back year-end fed rate forecast and back to predicting faster pace of cuts next year. At the same, weakening macro data and China's economic troubles are fueling growth concerns while Fed's higher-for-longer messaging may suggest market is too optimistic in pricing in rate cuts.
China market rebound tabbed to better-than-feared manufacturing data and latest efforts by authorities to revive housing demand. Still, China's growth outlook largely unchanged following last week's developments. Also remains to be seen whether the piecemeal support measures announced so far will revive aggregate demand given high youth unemployment and deep-seated inertia among households. Local government debt overhang and liquidity pressures among property developers also playing into the bearish China narrative.
Pre-open Company News:
5347.MK -- Tenaga Nasional upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS
600383.CH -- Gemdale Corp. downgraded to sell from buy at Goldman Sachs
601066.CH -- CSC Financial initiated recommend at Founder Securities
GLO.PM -- Globe Telecom initiated buy at China Bank Securities
175.HK -- Geely Automobile Holdings reports August sales volume 152,626 units, +24% y/y
CHG.TB -- Chularat Hospital PCL upgraded to buy from neutral at Nomura
005490.KS -- POSCO initiated buy at SK Securities
8801.JP -- Mitsui Fudosan Co. upgraded to overweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley MUFG
PTT.TB -- PTT Public Co. downgraded to hold from buy at Tisco Securities
600760.CH -- AVIC Shenyang Aircraft upgraded to buy at Everbright Securities
517334.IN -- Samvardhana Motherson International initiated buy at BofA
315.HK -- SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings downgraded to hold from buy at HSBC
601688.CH -- Huatai Securities upgraded to strong recommend at Founder Securities
Hong Leong Investment Bank cuts Malaysian banking sector view to neutral from overweight; cites lack of catalysts and recent strong price performance
688363.CH -- Bloomage Biotechnology downgraded to overweight from buy at Cinda Securities
On Deck:
Hong Kong:
Earnings:
Trip.com Group (9961.HK)
Australia:
Economic:
11:00 AEST: MI Inflation Gauge
11:30 AEST: Job Advertisements
11:30 AEST: Company Operating Profits, Business Inventories
Market Data:
Gold (Dec 23): ($1.30) or (0.07%) to $1965.80
WTI Crude (Oct 23): +$0.31 or +0.36% to $85.86
$-¥: (0.11) or (0.07%) to 146.0710
$-KRW: (6.49) or (0.49%) to 1317.4500
A$-$: (0.00) or (0.18%) to 0.6447
$-INR: +0.00 or +0.00% to 82.7237
$-CNY: (0.00) or (0.01%) to 7.2606
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