Sep 04 ,2023
Synopsis:
Asian markets set for a softer start to Tuesday trade. Nikkei, Hang Seng and ASX futures all pointing to mild losses on the open. Not much in the way of leads with US markets closed Monday for Labor Day holiday. European equities were little changed in listless trade. Australian and New Zealand bond yields backing up further. Muted price action in commodity and FX markets.
RBA expected to leave cash rate unchanged today. Expectations for a hold decision have strengthened over recent weeks after select Australia macro data (inflation, employment) surprised to the downside. RBA seen maintaining its mildly hawkish bias in policy statement, but there is a growing view rates have peaked for the time being. November seen as most likely month for a rate hike depending on outcome of Q3 CPI.
Big rebound in Chinese property stocks over the past 1-2 weeks with Hang Seng mainland properties index up 20% from lows. Generally favorable market reaction to suite of policy measures discussed in the press, including mortgage rate cuts, relaxation of downpayment requirements and removal of home purchasing restrictions and price caps. Country Garden securing extension of onshore note repayment also helping sentiment.
However, also thoughts rally in Chinese real estate developers mostly a reflection of oversold conditions given velocity of preceding selloff. Despite anecdotal evidence of a rebound in home sales over past weekend, there has been no real change in fundamental narrative (slowing economy, high youth unemployment, consumer inertia, local government debt overhang, property developer liquidity constraints and a very weak housing market).
Pre-open Company News:
688036.CH -- Shenzhen Transsion Holding initiated overweight at Great Wall Securities (timing uncertain)
9759.JP -- NSD Co. 4.0M-share offering (for holders) is priced at ¥2,459/share through Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley
002252.CH -- Shanghai RAAS Blood Products completes CNY1B buyback, total shares acquired 136.2M
000625.CH -- Chongqing Changan Automobile reports August vehicle production 204,435 units, +55.1% y/y
DCRU.SP -- Digital Core REIT Management chairman Jeff Tapley to step down to become chief commercial operations officer at sponsor Digital Realty, effective 1 Oct
9995.HK -- RemeGen CFO, joint company secretary Li Jia resigns, effective today
6969.HK -- Smoore International Holdings initiated overweight at Great Wall Securities (timing uncertain)
542812.IN -- Gujarat Fluorochemicals releases business responsibility and sustainability report
532466.IN -- Oracle Financial Services Software CEO Chaitanya Kamat to retire, effective 4-Oct
2772.HK -- Holders of 79% of Zhongliang's dollar bonds have signed restructuring support agreement by deadline
532454.IN -- Bharti Airtel to purchase 23K MWh of renewable energy by Q4 FY24 for Nxtra data centers
500400.IN -- Tata Power Renewable Energy signs PDA with Neosym Industry for 26 MW AC captive solar plant
532296.IN -- Glenmark Pharmaceuticals publishes FY22-3 Business Responsibility & Sustainability Report
600655.CH -- Shanghai Yuyuan Tourist Mart Group completes sale of 25.4M shares in Jinhui Liquor; deal announced 24-Jul
300316.CH -- Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical announces CNY60-100M on-market share buyback for CNY80/share
On Deck:
China:
Economic:
09:45 CST: Markit/ Caixin Services PMI; consensus 53.5
Japan:
Economic:
08:30 JST: July household spending (5.0%) y/y vs consensus (2.5%) and (4.2%) in prior month
South Korea:
Economic:
08:00 KST: Q2 revised GDP +0.6% q/q vs preliminary +0.6% and +0.3% in prior quarter
GDP +0.9% y/y vs preliminary +0.9% and revised +0.9% in prior quarter
08:00 KST: August CPI +3.4% y/y vs FactSet consensus +2.8% and +2.3% in prior month
Australia:
Economic:
11:30 AEST: Current Account Balance SA; consensus +A$21B
14:30 AEST: RBA Official Cash Rate; consensus +4.1%
Thailand:
Economic:
07:00 SAST: CPI NSA Y/Y; consensus +0.8%
Philippines:
Economic:
09:00 SST: CPI Y/Y; consensus +4.8%
Market Data:
Gold (Dec 23): ($3.50) or (0.18%) to $1963.60
WTI Crude (Oct 23): +$0.24 or +0.28% to $85.79
$-¥: +0.34 or +0.23% to 146.5160
$-KRW: (6.29) or (0.48%) to 1317.6500
A$-$: +0.00 or +0.02% to 0.6460
$-INR: +0.05 or +0.06% to 82.7685
$-CNY: +0.01 or +0.15% to 7.2719
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