Sep 04 ,2023
Synopsis
European equity markets set to open broadly higher, extending last week's gains, in what should be a relatively quiet session with US markets closed for the Labor Day holiday.
Asian equities advancing Monday. Hang Seng resumes trade after Friday's session was canceled due to typhoon. Index near three-week high as property stocks outperform following latest round of policy support. Mainland China stocks also making new highs
European macro data releases include Switzerland Q2 GDP, Germany Jul trade balance, Spain Aug unemployment change, Eurozone Sep Sentix investor confidence
Today's agenda also sees Bundesbank's Nagel panellist at 15:00CET title "The role of central bank reserves in monetary policy" (livestream). ECB's Elderson speech at 13:30CET and panellist 14:00 and Lane panellist at 16:00 at the ECB Legal Conf, with Lagarde speech at 15:30 at event organised by the European Economics & Financial Centre. ECB's Panetta at EP Committee hearing (livestream) at 16:00 on the digital euro. Israel Central Bank interest rate decision. Diederik Samsom, EU Timmermans' head of Cabinet at EP, ASML's (ASML.NA) CEO Wennink, others due to speak at Eindhoven Univ at an event title building future earning power for the Netherlands and Europe through technology-driven transitions. EU's Šuica delivers a keynote speech via video message at Startup OLÉ
Macro/politics
ECB's Wunsch Says 'Bit More' Probably Needed on Rate Hikes - Bloomberg
Economists grow gloomier on 2024 as central banks delay rate cuts - FT
CEBR suggests high interest rates 'will lead to thousands of UK firms failing in 2024' - Guardian
UK might have highest inflation in G7 for two years - Telegraph
Hunt says government on track to hit its target of halving inflation by the end of the year - Guardian
French Wages Tipped to Rise by About 5% in 2023 - Bloomberg, citing BFM TV
Italy Aug new passenger car registrations 79,756 units, +12.0% y/y -- UNRAE
Top company news
Earnings/updates
FHZN.SW (Flughafen Zuerich) -- confirms medium-term financial targets with an incremental EBITDA contribution of CHF 100M compared to 2019 - CMD
KBCA.BB (KBC Ancora) -- reports FY EPS €3.82 vs year-ago €10.28
Also reporting today
Earnings:
Benelux: Celyad Oncology (CYAD.BB)
DACH: Burkhalter Holding (BRKN.SW), DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate (DMRE.GR)
France: Delta Plus Group (ALDLT.FP), SergeFerrari Group (SEFER.FP)
Southern Europe: Greek Organisation of Football Prognostics (OPAP.GA)
UK: Ashtead Technology Holdings (AHT.LN)
Trading Update: Volvo Car (VOLCAR.B.SS)
CMD/events: CentralNic Group (CNIC.LN), Elis (ELIS.FP), NCAB Group (NCAB.SS)
M&A
BHP.AU (BHP Group) -- Whitehaven believed to be frontrunner for BHP's Daunia and Blackwater coal mines - The Australian
CON.GR (Continental) -- reviewing whether it is the best owner for ContiTech - Welt am Sonntag
BNR.GR (Brenntag) -- Via Kühne Holding, Klaus-Michael Kühne raises Brenntag stake to 10.00% vs prior 5.18% - filing
ABDN.LN (abrdn Plc) -- "More talk" about how splitting up abrdn might be good idea - Daily Business Magazine
RHC.AU (Ramsay Health Care) -- Certain investors urge Ramsay to spin-off Ramsay Sante - The Australian
KCO.GR (Kloeckner & Co.) -- EU sets a provisional deadline of 5-Oct to rule on SWOCTEM GmbH's acquisition of Klöckner & Co
HTRO.SS (Hexatronic Group) -- acquires ATG Technology; expands presence in the New Zealand market
INH.GR (INDUS Holding) -- closes sale of SELZER Group; says it plans to spend €50 to 60M annually on acquisitions
ENR.GR (Siemens Energy) -- EU sets a provisional deadline of 4-Oct to rule on Bridgepoint's acquisition of Windar Renovables
Healthcare
RLYB (Rallybio) -- presents phase 1 SAD data for RLYB116 at ICW
COPN.SW (Cosmo Pharmaceuticals) -- terminates agreement for Rifamycin SV MMX with Dr. Falk Pharma
COPN.SW (Cosmo Pharmaceuticals) -- and Adalvo sign license and supply agreement for Rifamycin SV MMX 200Mg in Europe, APAC, MENA and LATAM regions
CRNA.NO (Circio Holding) -- announces ONCOS-102 mesothelioma study published in Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer
Other
MBG.GR (Mercedes-Benz Group) -- Mercedes-Benz expects variable costs for producing EVs to remain higher compared to combustion engine models for foreseeable future - Reuters
BMW.GR (Bayerische Motoren Werke) -- BMW expects to sell more cars in China this year despite local EV price war - Reuters
BA.LN (BAE Systems) -- awarded $797M U.S. Army contract
BA.LN (BAE Systems) -- awarded $74.6M U.S. Army contract
BMPS.IM (Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena)
Italy may speed up its sale of Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena shares - Bloomberg
Italy will cut Monte dei Paschi stake in its own time -- eco min Giancarlo Giorgetti tells Reuters
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $88.4M, +58.9% y/y - Box Office Mojo
Index changes (all effective 18-Sep):
EURO STOXX 50: RACE.IM and SGO.FP to be added, VNA.GR, CRH.LN to be deleted
STOXX Europe 50: INGA.NA, MUV2.GR to be added, KER.FP, ADYEN.NA to be deleted
STOXX Europe 600: ACLN.SW, BZU.IM, CDR.PW, HOT.GR, TMV.GR all to be added; ALK.B.DC, BAVA.DC, CBG.LN, ANE.SM, O2D.GR all to be deleted
Key rating changes
Upgrades
AGAS.NO (Avance Gas Holding) -- to buy from hold at ABG Sundal Collier
BWLPG.NO (BW LPG) -- to buy from hold at ABG Sundal Collier
AMBU.B.DC (Ambu) -- Ambu long-term recommendation upgraded to outperform from market perform at Handelsbanken
HO.FP (Thales) -- to buy from hold at Jefferies
O2D.GR (Telefonica Deutschland) -- to hold from sell at Berenberg
HMSO.LN (Hammerson) -- to overweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
VNA.GR (Vonovia) -- to equal-weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley
MERY.FP (Mercialys) -- to outperform from neutral at Oddo
Downgrades
GLE.FP (Societe Generale) -- to equal weight from overweight at Barclays
BLND.LN (British Land Co.) -- to neutral from overweight at JPMorgan
PGS.NO (PGS) -- to sell from hold at SEB
STAN.LN (Standard Chartered) --to underperform from market perform at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
COFB.BB (Cofinimmo) -- to equal-weight from overweight at Morgan Stanley
LAND.LN (Land Securities) -- to equal-weight from overweight at Morgan Stanley
WDP.BB (Warehouses de Pauw) -- to underweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
Other
NOKIA.FH (Nokia) -- initiated buy at Carnegie
STAN.LN (Standard Chartered) -- initiated neutral at Mediobanca
Data
Nikkei +0.51% to 32876.81
Hang Seng +2.37% to 18817.89
Shanghai Composite +1.07% to 3166.67
S&P futures +2.5 vs prior close of 4521.5
€-$ +0.0009 or +0.08% to 1.0788
$-¥ (0.04) or (0.03%) to 146.18
€-¥ +0.08 or +0.05% to 157.68
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