Sep 07 ,2023
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open mostly lower amidst weaker session in Asia as China, Australia and Korean equities underperform. S&P 500 futures also lower after big tech weighed on US indexes overnight. Bond markets mixed with Treasury yields reversing lower while Australian yield curve bear flattening. FX markets steady as dollar index trades near six-month high. Crude peeling back from 10-month high while China iron ore futures under pressure.
On the agenda for today, ECB's Elderson in conversation at 10:30CET at NGFS Conceptual Framework (livestream) on nature-related financial risks. Latvia Central Bank's Kaz�?ks participates in a conf "Public debt dynamics: the search for the optimal levels" organised by the Ministry of Finance. Belgium Central Bank hosts event 'A Digital Euro for the Digital Era' speakers include bank's Wunsch 9:00CET, Austria Central Bank's Holzmann 9:10. The BoE will publish its monthly Decision Maker Panel (DMP), which is a survey of CFOs from small, medium and large UK businesses. In Germany, ifo publishes its latest economic forecasts at 11:00CET, the same time as a similar release by RWI. Spain's PM Costa hosts EU's Šef�?ovi�?.
On the macro calendar for today, of note, UK Aug house price index - Halifax at 7:00 BST; France Jul Trade balance is due at 7:45 BST, followed by Italy Jul retail sales at 9:00 BST and Eurozone Q2 GDP (3rd est) at 10:00 BST.
Macro
European parliament faces tight vote on corruption reforms - FT
European Investment Bank must take more risk, says Vestager - FT
Bank of England is 'much nearer' to peak interest rates, Bailey says - Reuters
British parliament approves disputed Northern Ireland amnesty bill - Reuters
Europe gas storage is now key for global prices, Trafigura Group says - Bloomberg
Switzerland Aug Unemployment Rate (sa) 2.1% vs consensus 2.1% and prior 2.1%
Top company news
Earnings/updates
TOD.IM (Tod's) -- H1 net income €30.9M vs FactSet €20.6M [6 est, €13.7-28M]
SCR.FP (SCOR) -- launches new strategic plan "Forward 2026": Economic Value growth rate of 9% pa and solvency ratio in the optimal 185%-220% range
SANN.SW (Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding) -- H1 net income (CHF23.3M) vs year-ago (CHF29.7M)
BOI.FP (Boiron) -- H1 net income €15.5M, +24% vs year-ago €12.5M
CRI.FP (Chargeurs) -- H1 net income attributable €3.3M vs year-ago €10.2M
VVY.NA (Vivoryon Therapeutics) -- H1 EPS (€0.44) vs year-ago (€0.60)
BIOS.BB (BioSenic) -- H1 net income (€21.1M) vs year-ago (€0.5M)
M&A
SKG.LN (Smurfit Kappa), WRK (WestRock) -- confirm discussions regarding potential combination; parties in mutual due diligence
DLG.LN (Direct Line Insurance Group) -- Intact Financial (IFC.CN) and RSA to acquire Direct Line Insurance Group's brokered Commercial Lines operations for initial cash consideration of £520M (C$884M)
REP.SM (Repsol) -- Peyto Exploration & Development (PEY.SN) has entered into a partnership interest purchase agreement to acquire Repsol Canada Energy Partnership for cash consideration of $468M (C$636M)
GBF.GR (Bilfinger) -- Fluor (FLR) to sell Stork European business to Bilfinger; terms undisclosed
NESN.SW (Nestle) -- confirms acquisition of majority stake in Grupo CRM (terms undisclosed)
MMB.FP (Lagardere) -- Lagardère Travel Retail of an agreement for the acquisition of Tastes on the Fly, a well-known North American Foodservice operator
ICP.LN (Intermediate Capital Group) -- to invest €400M in renewable energy company Enfinity Global
NXI.FP (Nexity) -- announces disposal of its development activities in Portugal
BRAV.SS (Bravida Holding) -- acquires Lämpö- ja Wesijohtoliike P. Juutilainen Oy, terms undisclosed
Drahi's Altice reportedly in advanced talks to sell portfolio of 92 France data centers to Morgan Stanley Infrastructure Partners (MS) -- Les Echos
Healthcare
VLA.FP (Valneva) -- and Pfizer Report Positive Pediatric and Adolescent Phase 2 Booster Results for Lyme Disease Vaccine Candidate
MAAT.FP (Maat Pharma) -- EMA grants orphan drug designation to Maat Pharma's MaaT033 in allo-HSCT
Other
LSEG.LN (London Stock Exchange Group) -- Consortium announces intention to sell 43.1M shares in London Stock Exchange Group by way of a placing
TKA.GR (ThyssenKrupp) -- provides update regarding CFO Klaus Keysberg's contract
ELI.BB (Elia Group) -- CEO Chris Peeters to step down, effective 30-Oct-23; appoints CFO Catherine Vandenborre as CEO ad interim
ECV.GR (Encavis AG) -- reaches ready-to-build (RTB) status for a further solar park in Denmark with a generation capacity of 132MW
Key rating changes
Upgrades
KEMIRA.FH (Kemira) -- to buy from hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
CTEC.LN (ConvaTec Group) -- to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital Markets
MTX.GR (MTU Aero Engines) -- to buy from hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
NIBE.B.SS (NIBE Industrier) -- to buy from hold at Carnegie Securities
SOBI.SS (Swedish Orphan Biovitrum) -- short-term recommendation upgraded to buy from hold at Handelsbanken
Downgrades
HEM.SS (Hemnet Group) -- to underperform from hold at Jefferies
MAERSK.B.DC (Maersk) -- to reduce from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
Initiations
PNN.LN (Pennon Group) -- hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
UU.LN (United Utilities Group) -- buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
COLO.B.DC (Coloplast) -- sector perform at RBC Capital Markets
RWI.LN (Renewi) -- buy at Panmure Gordon
Data
Nikkei (0.54%) to 33059.98
Hang Seng (1.10%) to 18247.23
Shanghai Composite (0.84%) to 3131.63
S&P futures (9.3) vs prior close of 4471.5
€-$ (0.0007) or (0.07%) to 1.0719
$-¥ (0.08) or (0.06%) to 147.57
€-¥ (0.21) or (0.13%) to 158.17
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