Oct 03 ,2023
Synopsis:
Asian markets set for a negative start to Wednesday trade. Nikkei futures pointing to sharp declines on the open while Hang Seng futures signaling milder losses. ASX at six-month low. US contracts flat after S&P 500 dropped to its lowest since June. Bond yield backup continues with Aussie and New Zealand curves steepening. Dollar's advance halted amid speculation Japan intervened to support yen. Crude steady after API reported larger-than-expected weekly inventory draw.
Markets unnerved by another significant backup in bond yields following surprise rise in US job openings. Markets moving closer to Fed's higher-for-longer view, pricing in ~60% chance of another rate hike by year-end and paring 2024 rate cut expectations. This as Fed officials continue to strike hawkish tone while surging oil prices and tight labor market are fanning concerns disinflation momentum is waning.
Lot of headline volatility surrounding removal of Kevin McCarthy as House speaker. McCarthy confirmed he will not re-nominate for speaker and there is no obvious successor with House GOP slated to hold speaker election Wednesday week. Near-term implications for policy limited given recent passage of spending bill though development plays into political dysfunction concerns recently highlighted by credit ratings agencies.
US dollar's unrelenting climb saw yen briefly touch 150-handle that traders have eyed as a potential intervention trigger. Yen's rebound subsequent linked to speculation Japan's Ministry of Finance intervened though there was no confirmation from government. Commentators continue to cite US-Japan rate differentials as the main driver of yen's depreciation, and that a turnaround hinges in large part on a narrowing of Fed-BOJ policy gap.
RBNZ expected to leave official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 5.50%. Previews note small chance of a surprise 25 bp rate hike though also thoughts a hold decision will be accompanied by a more hawkish policy statement that sets up possibility of a November rate increase. That view is based in part on signs of a resilient New Zealand economy and upside risks to inflation from oil, migration and tight labor market.
Pre-open Company News:
2696.HK -- Shanghai Henlius Biotech appoints Wei Huang as president, effective 1-Oct, taking over from Jun Zhu
500295.IN -- Vedanta upgraded to add from reduce at IIFL Securities
1908.HK -- C&D International Investment Group reports 9M accumulated contracted sales CNY101.33B, +36.6% y/y
533758.IN -- APL Apollo Tubes reports Q2 sales volume 675KT, +12% y/y
5411.JP -- JFE Holdings resumed overweight at JPMorgan; prior rating was overweight
532500.IN -- Maruti Suzuki India reports September production (vehicles) 174,978 vs year-ago 177,468
532525.IN -- Bank of Maharashtra reports Q2 gross advances INR1.831T vs year-ago INR1.482T
Goldman Sachs initiates Taiwan PC/Server sector; 2357.TT, 2382.TT, 4938.TT, and 6669.TT
1171.HK -- Yankuang Energy signs closing confirmations for purchase of 51% stakes in Luxi Mining, Xinjiang Energy; deal was announced on 28-Apr
500331.IN -- Pidilite Industries subsidiary Pidilite MEA and Grupo Puma, Spain incorporate 50%/50% construction chemicals JV
SLGC -- OncoHost's PROphet platform to support Henlius US-Based Phase III trial for patients with Extensive-Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer
500209.IN -- Infosys upgraded to long from reduce at Equirus Securities
U06.SP -- Singapore Land Group, UOL Group JV completes acquisition of Meyer Park
373220.KS -- LG Energy Solution initiated underperform at CLSA
512599.IN -- Adani Enterprises holder IHC increases stake to above 5% -- Economic Times
On Deck:
New Zealand:
Economic:
14:00 NZDT: RBNZ policy statement
Market Data:
Gold (Dec 23): ($1.30) or (0.07%) to $1840.20
WTI Crude (Nov 23): +$0.14 or +0.16% to $89.37
$-¥: (0.74) or (0.49%) to 149.1200
$-KRW: +1.92 or +0.14% to 1359.0600
A$-$: (0.01) or (0.90%) to 0.6305
$-INR: (0.12) or (0.14%) to 83.2374
$-CNY: (0.11) or (1.44%) to 7.1963
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