Oct 04 ,2023
Synopsis
European indices are set to open broadly flat to lower with Asian equities under pressure Wednesday. Nikkei extending selloff, down to its lowest since mid-May. Tech stocks weighing on Hang Seng. Heavy selling in Korea as markets resume trade following holiday. ASX down to 11-month low. S&P 500 futures pulling lower afterhours
US equities finished lower in Tuesday trading, not far from worst levels, after coming under notable pressure amid a sharp move higher in Treasury yields
On today's agenda is meeting of OPEC's Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC).
Among central banks updates: ECB Conf on Monetary Policy (through Thu); ECB's Lagarde speech at 10:15CET, Panetta 16:00. ECB's de Guindos speech at 13:40CET at conf organised by Central Bank of Cyprus and ECB's Lagarde speech at 18:00CET at event hosted by Columbia University in New York. Iceland central bank interest rate decision whilst Bank of Portugal release its latest economic bulletin.
Macroeconomic releases due today include: Italy, Spain, Sweden Sep services PMIs with final reads for Eurozone, France, Germany and UK, Italy Q3 preliminary GDP, Eurozone Aug PPI, retail sales, Ireland Sep unemployment rate
Earnings: Tesco (TSCO.LN), HEXAOM (ALHEX.FP), Bilendi (ALBLD.FP), Tortilla Mexican Grill (MEX.LN)
Trading Update: Nordnet (SAVE.SS), Avanza Bank Holding (AZA.SS), Topps Tiles (TPT.LN)
In corporate news: NOVN.SW Novartis executes Sandoz spin-off and reiterates FY23 guidance; Sandoz shares to commence trading ~ 9:00 CET
Politics/Macro/World News
Irish GDP to Contract, But Domestic Economy to Grow, ESRI Says (BBG, RTE)
UK's Badenoch Says EU Won't Budge on Post-Brexit EV Tariffs (BBG)
Germany seeks 'grand bargain' with France over energy (FT)
Revealed: Joe Biden and Rishi Sunak seek UK/US trade pact before 2024 elections (Politico)
Meloni Can't Stop Spooking Italy's Bond Investors (BBG)
Top company news
Earnings/updates
NOVN.SW (Novartis) -- executes Sandoz spin-off and reiterates FY23 guidance; Sandoz shares to commence trading ~ 9:00 CET
STLA.IM (Stellantis) -- Stellantis's FCA US reports Q3 US sales of 380,563 vehicles, (1%) y/y
DSFIR.NA (DSM-Firmenich) -- confirms Q2 pro-forma results; Adj. EBITDA margin 13.5% vs year-ago 17.5%
BAKKA.NO (Bakkafrost) -- reports Q3 harvest volume 20.8Kt
M&A
BP.LN (BP) -- evaluating sale of minority interest in its pipeline network in US Gulf of Mexico -- Reuters
AF.FP (Air France-KLM) -- Follow-up: Air France-KLM to take up to a maximum 19.9% non-controlling stake in the share capital of the reorganized SAS AB
SAS.SS (SAS) -- reaches announces Chapter 11, winning consortium including details of the transaction structure with Air France
ADE.NO (Adevinta) -- discloses procedures established in response to receipt of non-binding indicative proposal
GAM.SW (Gam Holding) -- NewGAMe SA publishes interim results of the partial tender offer for shares in GAM Holding
AEVS.SW (AEVIS VICTORIA) -- Aevis' Swiss Hotel Properties SA expands its real estate portfolio in Zermatt
THAG.SW (Talenthouse) -- notes confirmation of target in connection with previously announced reverse merger transaction
Blackstone, EQT, Emerson Electric, Keysight and Fortive among groups interested in acquiring EA Elektro-Automatik - Reuters
Healthcare
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- RAINBOWFISH study of Genentech's Evrysdi meets primary endpoint
PHXM.FP (Phaxiam Therapeutics) -- and Vetophage announce strategic research collaboration
NWRN.SW (Newron Pharmaceuticals) -- to present three posters on its clinical program evaluating evenamide in the treatment of schizophrenia at the 36th European College of Neuropsychopharmacology Congress 7-10 Oct
Other
ABN.NA (ABN AMRO Bank) -- and Motive partners announce a strategic partnership
ECV.GR (Encavis AG) -- continues to reduce its carbon footprint in 2022
Figeac Aero finalizes new €30M+ contract with Safran
Follow-up: United Airlines orders 110 new aircraft with deliveries starting in 2028
Premier League to overhaul sale of TV rights in the UK - FT
United orders 110 new aircraft with deliveries starting in 2028
Key rating changes
Upgrades
AF.FP (Air France-KLM) -- to outperform from market perform at Bernstein
SKF.B.SS (SKF) -- to buy from hold at DnB Markets
AV.LN (Aviva) -- to buy from hold at Jefferies
ALK.B.DC (ALK-Abello) -- to buy from hold at DnB Markets
ASC.LN (Asos) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
CPG.LN (Compass Group) -- to sector perform from underperform at RBC Capital Markets
REL.LN (RELX) -- to buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs
SALM.NO (Salmar) -- to hold from sell at Berenberg
SVT.LN (Severn Trent) -- to neutral from underweight at JPMorgan
Downgrades
KER.FP (Kering) -- to market perform from outperform at Bernstein
SAND.SS (Sandvik) -- to hold from buy at DnB Markets
CLNX.SM (Cellnex Telecom) -- to equal weight from overweight at Barclays
VTY.LN (Vistry Group) -- to sell from neutral at UBS
XPP.LN (XP Power) -- to hold from buy at HSBC (3-Oct; 11:22 GMT)
GSF.NO (Grieg Seafood) -- to reduce from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
ZAL.GR (Zalando) -- to neutral from buy at UBS
LGEN.LN (Legal & General) -- to hold from buy at Jefferies
Initiations
SPM.IM (Saipem) -- buy at Stifel
KESKOB.FH (Kesko) -- underperform at BNP Paribas Exane
AXFO.SS (Axfood) -- outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
Data
Nikkei (1.68%) to 30714.22
Hang Seng (1.06%) to 17146.90
Shanghai Composite +0.00% to 3110.48
S&P futures (15.5) vs prior close of 4264.8
€-$ +0.0002 or +0.02% to 1.0471
$-¥ +0.18 or +0.12% to 149.22
€-¥ +0.24 or +0.15% to 156.23
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