Oct 11 ,2023
Synopsis
European equity markets are set for a softer open amidst Asian equities extending gains Wednesday. Tech stocks driving gains in Hong Kong as mainland stocks rebound following latest stimulus headlines. Earnings a focus in Korea with Samsung driving Kospi's outperformance. Japan, Australia, and Taiwan the other notable gainers. S&P 500 futures flat afterhours.
G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting (through Fri). NATO ministers of defence meeting. UK announces new package of support for Ukraine's counter-offensive. In Germany, Chancellor Scholz hosts fourth meeting of the Alliance for Transformation, focus on the opportunities and potential of the circular economy for Germany as a business location, post meeting press conf at ~15:15CET, also economy minister Habeck presents the government's autumn economic forecast. Norway's foreign minister Huitfeldt visits Brazil (through Thu).
In central banks, Netherland's Central Bank's Knot panellist at 9:15BST at event organised by Reinventing Bretton Woods Committee (through Sun). Riksbank's Bunge will participate in a section of SEB talks at 12:00CET. Bundesbank's Mauderer panellist at 11:00CET at event hosted by the Moroccan Capital Market Authority. ECB publishes latest consumer expectations survey at 10:00CET. Bank of Spain's de Cos speech at 13:00CET at annual meetings of the World Bank and the IMF. Minutes from last FOMC meeting published after EU markets close.
A light macro front sees Germany Sep final CPI out for release.
In earnings, LVMH (MC.FP) reported Q3 Group Sales €19.96B vs consensus €20.74B last night after market close. Also post market close, BP (BP.LN) released an investor update and raised 2030 Resilient Hydrocarbons EBITDA aim by $2B to $41-44B and 2030 Group EBITDA aim to $53-58B. In the DACHs region, u-blox Holding (UBXN.SW) reports preliminary 9M revenue CHF436M vs year-ago CHF475M and confirmed FY expectations whilst in the Nordics, Kemira (KEMIRA.FH) raised FY guidance and now expects FY operative EBITDA to be between €620-680M vs prior guidance €550M-650M.
Also taking place today is Russia Energy Week until Fri.
Politics/Macro/World News
Top company news
Earnings/updates
Benelux:
EBUS.NA (Ebusco Holding) -- Q3 trading update: Guides FY revenue between €145-165M vs FactSet €177.5M [3 est €130.6-245.6M]
France:
MC.FP (LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) -- reports Q3 Group Sales €19.96B vs consensus €20.74B
DACHs:
UBXN.SW (u-blox Holding) -- reports preliminary 9M revenue CHF436M vs year-ago CHF475M; confirms FY expectations
CE2.GR Cropenergies reports Q2 net income €16.2M vs year-ago €70.9M; FY outlook unchanged
ECX1.GR (Epigenomics) -- updates guidance
Nordics:
PDX.SS (Paradox Interactive) -- reports estimated impact on Q4 PBT of (SEK248M) from The Lamplighters League
KEMIRA.FH (Kemira) -- upgrades FY outlook: now expects FY operative EBITDA to be between €620-680M vs prior guidance €550M-650M
UK:
BP.LN (BP) -- investor update; raises 2030 Resilient Hydrocarbons EBITDA aim by $2B to $41-44B and 2030 Group EBITDA aim to $53-58B
BYG.LN (Big Yellow Group) -- announces capital raise to raise gross proceeds of £110M by way of accelerated bookbuild via Barclays, JPMorgan; revenue for the six months to 30-Sep is up +6%
M&A
APPS.SM (Applus) -- Apollo plans to raise offer for Applus+ Services - Cinco Dias
EQT.SS (EQT AB) -- EQT to acquire VetPartners; terms undisclosed
TECK.B.CN (Teck Resources) -- will consider range of factors beyond valuation to determine winning bid for coal assets - Bloomberg (13:37 ET)
DG.FP (VINCI SA) -- Offshore bidders lineup for Melbourne's EastLink motorway - Australian Financial Review
EQT.SS (EQT AB) -- EQT Life Sciences participates in Agomab's $100M Series C funding round to advance fibrosis-focused pipeline
ECX1.GR (Epigenomics) -- closes sale of assets to New Day Diagnostics
FOYRK.GA (Fourlis Holdings) -- announces share purchase agreement for total shares of YIALOU
SFE.LN (Safestyle UK) -- issues response to media speculation and provides update on status of ongoing work
500495.IN (Escorts Kubota) -- likely to sell its railway business to Knorr-Bremse for more than INR40.00B (€453.2M) - CNBC-TV18
Wintershall Dea in advanced talks to sell 10% stake in Ghasha natural gas project to PTT Exploration & Production - Bloomberg (10-Oct, 14:04 CET/19:04 ICT)
Healthcare
NOVO.B.DC (Novo Nordisk) -- will stop the once-weekly injectable semaglutide kidney outcomes trial, FLOW, based on interim analysis
UCB.BB (UCB) -- NICE recommends UCB's Bimzelx to treat AS
6AP0.GR (Neoleukin Therapeutics) -- SEC filing: SC 13D/A (Filed by BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP)
CPIX (Cumberland Pharmaceuticals) -- announces new Vibativ pediatric publication highlighting safety in patients 2 to 17 years of age
EGTX.SS (Egetis Therapeutics) -- secured approximately SEK 462M in a combined financing including SEK172M equity private placement
Other
BRAV.SS (Bravida Holding) -- awarded contracts worth ~ SEK 1.3B to perform installation work for the extension of the Stockholm metro
MITRA.BB (Mithra) -- comments on Uteron Sellers -- Shareholder Letter
AC.FP (Accor) -- announces launch of €400M share buyback program
SGO.FP (Compagnie de Saint-Gobain) -- provides update on share buyback
HLN.LN (Haleon) --
SEC filing: SC 13D/A (Filed by GSK plc)
SEC filing: SC 13D/A (Filed by PFIZER INC)
ACC.NO (Aker Carbon Capture) -- awarded feasibility study for biomass combined heat and power facility in Germany
TRST.LN (Trustpilot Group) -- Northzone intends to sell ~ 12M shares in Trustpilot Group via accelerated bookbuild to institutional investors
A mixed bag for the consumer - normalization, trade downs, but savings underestimated
Key rating changes
Upgrades
Handelsbanken upgrades HUH1V.FH, HUSQ.B.SS, MIPS.SS, and RBREW.DC
Morgan Stanley upgrades CARL.B.DC; downgrades HEIA.NA
Mediobanca upgrades SREN.SW; downgrades SCR.FP
ELISA.FH (Elisa Oyj) -- buy from hold at ABG Sundal Collier
WTB.LN (Whitbread) -- neutral from underperform at BNP Paribas Exane
TEL2.B.SS (Tele2) -- buy from sell at ABG Sundal Collier
ENX.FP (Euronext) -- outperform from neutral at Autonomous Research
DHER.GR (Delivery Hero) -- neutral from underperform at BNP Paribas Exane
TKWY.NA (Just Eat Takeaway.com) -- neutral from underperform at BNP Paribas Exane
1U1.GR (1&1 AG) -- to buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs
CRDA.LN (Croda International) -- to neutral from underweight at JPMorgan
EPI.A.SS (Epiroc) -- to hold from sell at Deutsche Bank
GAMA.LN (Gamma Communications) -- to neutral from underperform at Oddo
HPOL.B.SS (HEXPOL) -- to buy from hold at DnB Markets
ORK.NO (Orkla) -- Orkla short-term recommendation upgraded to buy from hold at Handelsbanken
Downgrades
MC.FP (LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) -- hold from buy at SBG Securities
FRVIA.FP (Forvia) -- neutral from outperform at Oddo
IHG.LN (InterContinental Hotels Group) -- underperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
TEL.NO (Telenor) -- hold from buy at ABG Sundal Collier
HFG (HelloFresh) -- underperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
MDM.FP (Maisons du Monde) -- neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
NOKIA.FH (Nokia) -- hold from buy at ABG Sundal Collier
TELIA.SS (Telia Co.) -- to hold from buy at ABG Sundal Collier
KESKOB.FH (Kesko) -- to hold from buy at SEB
Initiations
MANTA.FH (Mandatum) -- buy at Nordea
NOBI.SS (Nobia) -- reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux
GXI.GR (Gerresheimer) -- overweight at Barclays
SCA.B.SS (Svenska Cellulosa) -- neutral at JPMorgan
RHM.GR (Rheinmetall) -- overweight at Barclays
BFSA.GR (Befesa) -- buy at Jefferies
Data
Nikkei +0.76% to 31987.75
Hang Seng +1.76% to 17976.43
Shanghai Composite +0.23% to 3082.26
S&P futures +1.5 vs prior close of 4391.5
€-$ (0.0005) or (0.05%) to 1.0603
$-¥ +0.23 or +0.15% to 148.94
€-¥ +0.17 or +0.11% to 157.89
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