Dec 06 ,2023
Synopsis:
Asian markets set for a negative start to Thursday trade. Nikkei and Hang futures pointing to losses on the open as ASX registers mild decline in initial trade. US contracts flat afterhours. Australian bonds rallying after Treasury curve flattened further overnight. FX markets little changed after dollar index neared highest level since mid-November. Crude nursing more losses after falling below $70 for first time since early July. Bitcoin steady near Apr-2022 highs.
China trade data forecast to show exports shrank at a slower pace last month though some economists predict a modest rebound. Lead indicators have been mixed with manufacturing PMI new export orders stuck in contraction though services PMI new export business better. Import growth forecast to have continue, though at a tepid pace. Data comes amid pickup in China growth concerns with stocks hitting multi-year lows and US corporate commentary this week noting slow recovery.
Moody's China ratings outlook change continues to reverberate after agency also cut outlook for eight Chinese banks from stable to negative. Moody's also flagged possible credit rating downgrades at several LGVFs as well as Hong Kong and Macau. PBOC has stepped up defense of yuan following Moody's outlook change, which some analysts say risks fueling foreign outflows and raise funding costs. Also increases pressure on authorities for more forceful policy response to address structural weaknesses.
Pre-open Company News:
^ASIAREADS -- StreetAccount Asia Reads
2099.HK -- China Gold International Resources Corp. initiated buy at Citic Securities (timing uncertain)
S08.SP -- Singapore Post subsidiary completes acquisition of 2% interest in FMH for ~A$13.3M (SG$11.7M), increasing stake to 100%
600927.CH -- Yongan Futures initiated overweight at Guotai Junan (timing uncertain)
300498.CH -- Wen's Foodstuff Group completes up to CNY1.80B on-market share buyback announced on 4-Dec-22
2858.HK -- Yixin Group provides Q3 business update; total financing CNY17.7B, +30.0% y/y
81.HK -- China Overseas Grand Oceans Group reports November contracted sales CNY2.66B, (18.4%) y/y
2007.HK -- Country Garden reports November contracted sales CNY6.11B; StreetAccount notes year-ago figure was CNY26.01B
CPCA issues preliminary November China national passenger vehicle analysis
543396.IN -- One 97 Communications to expand credit distribution business
9868.HK -- XPeng completes issuance of 94.1M class A ordinary shares to Volkswagen affiliate at $15/ADS
U96.SP -- SembCorp Industries completes acquisition of 200MW of wind assets from Qinzhou Yuanneng Wind Power, China
1918.HK -- Sunac China Holdings reports November contracted sales value CNY3.50B; StreetAccount notes year-ago CNY8.04B
6128.HK -- Graphex Group signs letter of intent to list Graphex Technologies on NASDAQ via SPAC merger
603019.CH -- Dawning Information Industry launches CNY20.0-30.0M buyback programme at up-to-CNY45/share
On Deck:
China:
Economic:
08:00 CST: Import Y/Y; consensus +4.2%
08:00 CST: Export Y/Y; consensus 0%
08:00 CST: Trade Balance NSA; consensus +$47B
16:00 CST: FX Reserves; consensus +$3150B
Japan:
Economic:
08:50 JST: FX Reserves M/M; consensus
14:00 JST: Leading Index (Preliminary); consensus
Earnings:
Sekisui House (1928.JP)
Australia:
Economic:
11:30 AEST: Trade Balance on Goods; consensus
Thailand:
Economic:
07:00 SAST: CPI NSA Y/Y; consensus (0.5%)
Market Data:
Gold (Feb 24): ($4.10) or (0.20%) to $2043.80
WTI Crude (Jan 24): +$0.14 or +0.20% to $69.52
$-¥: +0.13 or +0.09% to 147.2790
$-KRW: +0.26 or +0.02% to 1313.9800
A$-$: (0.00) or (0.05%) to 0.6548
$-INR: (0.08) or (0.10%) to 83.3324
$-CNY: (0.00) or (0.03%) to 7.1446
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