Dec 11 ,2023
Synopsis
European equity markets set to open marginally higher extending last week's gains (Stoxx Europe 600 closed up 1.3%). European equity indexes surged in the first week of December with the Stoxx 600 index hitting its highest level since early 2022, rising over 10% since late October amid ramping up expectations of central bank rate cuts next year. Those expectations may change this week with decisions due from the BoE, ECB, Norges Bank, and SNB.
Also on this week's agenda are IEA, OPEC oil market reports, Eurozone, France, Germany, UK Dec flash manufacturing/services PMIs, Germany Dec ZEW economic sentiment, UK Nov claimant count as well as earnings/updates from the likes of Bunzl (BNZL.LN), H&M Hennes & Mauritz (HM.B.SS), Inditex (ITX.SM) and VINCI (DG.FP).
Today's data releases include Norway Nov CPI, PPI, Denmark Nov CPI, Oct trade balance,
In the UK, property portal Rightmove has reported that the average new seller asking price fell by 1.9% month-on-month. While prices usually fall in December because of seasonal factors, this month's drop is bigger than the average decrease of 1.5% over the past 20 years, according to Rightmove. (Guardian)
Focus on UK politics. Reuters notes UK PM Sunak faces the most dangerous moment of his premiership this week, when he is due to appear before a COVID-19 inquiry and must win a crunch vote in parliament on his plan to revive a policy to send asylum seekers to Rwanda.
Asian equities trading mixed Monday. India's Sensex at record high. China consumer and producer price deflation intensified in November.
Today's aganda also sees German coalition leaders to resume budget talks. Also EU foreign ministers meeting. Presidents of Latvia, Rinkevics, and Lithuania, Nauseda, will visit Estonia at the invitation of Estonian President Karis, joint press conf at 10:15 CET. In UK, parliamentary committee topics include Scotland (15:00GMT). EU's von der Leyen meets with EP President Metsola. EU's Šef�?ovi�? participates in an event organised by BritCham, the British Chamber of Commerce EU & Belgium. In the Netherlands, following meetings with leaders of parties which may go on to form a right-wing coalition, scout Ronald Plasterk is due to hand over his report on forming a new government to parliament. In the morning, Chancellor Scholz hosts Dutch PM Rutte.
In central banks, Riksbank's Bunge speech at 13:00CET at a seminar organised by the Swedish Association of Corporate Treasurers. Bank of Italy's Perrazzelli speech at 10:00CET and 16:15 at the conf 'New Frontiers in Banking and Capital Markets'. ECB's McCaul panellist at 21:10CET at event organised by Capital Link, others speakers include PM Mitsotakis 14:00.
Also of note, first day of trading for Syensqo (SYENS.BB) spin-off from Solvay (SOLB.BB)
Macro/politics
UK
PM Sunak battles to unite divided party in pivotal week - Reuters
Can Rishi Sunak avoid becoming a victim of the Tory civil war? - FT
UK Economists Say Bank of England May Warn Against Rate Cut Bets - Bloomberg
Average asking price for a UK home has dropped by almost £7,000 this month - Guardian, citing Rightmove
UK Finance predicts lending for house purchases will fall by 8% over 2024 - Bloomberg
Talk of Johnson-Farage plot and a snap election may be wide of the mark - but PM is still facing a crisis sooner or later - Sky News
Ireland
Northern Ireland political parties to hold budget crisis talks - RTE
Semiconductors
South Korean President Yoon to visit Netherlands to boost chip cooperation - Taipei Times
Germany
Coalition to Reconvene Talks on 2024 Budget on Monday - Bloomberg
Top company news
Earnings/updates
INVE.B.SS (Investor) -- releases presentation material in connection with its CMD
M&A
FME.GR (Fresenius Medical Care) -- Binding offers for Cura Day Hospitals due on 12-Dec; all three suitors still in the race - Australian Financial Review
VIV.FP (Vivendi) -- Suitors enter race for Vivendi's See Tickets - FT
SGO.FP (Compagnie de Saint-Gobain) -- Saint-Gobain seeking more acquisitions outside Europe - FT
EVK.GR (Evonik Industries) -- Evonik CFO discusses asset sales, business transformation and dividends in an interview with Börsen-Zeitung
BG.AV (BAWAG Group) -- signs sale and purchase agreement with Dexia concerning last remaining leasing activities of the Dexia Group
RE.FP (Colas) -- Bouygues to proceed with the squeeze out of the remaining Colas shares at €175/share
Endeavor Energy (private) reportedly considering sale at potential valuation of $25-30B -- Reuters
Healthcare
ABBV (AbbVie) -- announces new data for Bispecific antibody Epcoritamab shows strong, durable treatment response for patients with difficult-to-treat R/R FL
AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- presents results from ALPHA Phase III trial of danicopan at ASH
NOVN.SW (Novartis) -- presents new results from Phase III APPLY-PNH trial of Fabhalta
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- presents results from IsKia trial of Sarclisa at ASH
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- presents new data from CD20xCD3 T-cell engaging bispecific antibody program at ASH
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- reports new data reinforces the benefit of early preventative treatment with Genentech's Hemlibra for babies with severe hemophilia A
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- Roche presented positive results from the Phase III INAVO120 study evaluating inavolisib in people with advanced hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer with a PIK3CA mutation
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- Roche's Genentech reports long-term follow-up data from Phase III KATHERINE study of Kadcyla
GLPG.NA (Galapagos) -- presents new data from ongoing CD19 CAR-T studies with GLPG5201 and GLPG5101 at ASH 2023
KPTI (Karyopharm Therapeutics) -- presents 24-week follow-up data from phase 1 study of Selinexor 60mg and Ruxolitinib in JAK inhibitor (JAKi)-Navee Myelofibrosis patients
FGEN (Fibrogen) -- presents data from Phase 3 MATTERHORN trial of roxadustat in patients with anemia of lower risk transfusion-dependent MDS at ASH
MOR.GR (Morphosys) -- Morphosys' Pelabresib improves all four hallmarks of Myelofibrosis in Phase 3 MANIFEST-2 study
GETI.B.SS (Getinge) -- FDA identifies CARDIOHELP Emergency Drive as a class I recall
PSTX (Poseida Therapeutics) -- presents positive early results from its Phase 1 trial of allogeneic CAR-T P-BCMA-ALLO1 in relapsed-refractory multiple myeloma at ASH
ACLX (Arcellx) -- announces continued robust long-term responses from its CART-ddBCMA (anito-cel) Phase 1 expansion trial in patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma at ASH
IPH.FP (Innate Pharma) -- presents positive results from TELLOMAK Phase 2 study with lacutamab in patients with Szaryy Syndrome at ASH
IPH.FP (Innate Pharma) -- Shares Efficacy and Safety Phase 1 /2 Results of NK Cell Engager SAR443579 / IPH6101 Developed by Sanofi at ASH 2023
MOLN.SW (Molecular Partners) -- presents positive initial data from first four dosing cohorts of ongoing Phase 1/2a trial of MP0533 for patients with relapsed/refractory AML and AML/MDS at ASH
VINC (Vincerx Pharma) -- presents preclinical VIP943 and VIP924 posters at ASH
COPN.SW (Cosmo Pharmaceuticals) -- Cosmo Intelligent Medical Devices, Medtronic to expand partnership; Medtronic to pay Cosmo $100M (€92.9M) up front
ADXN.SW (Addex Therapeutics) -- SEC filing: SC 13D/A (Filed by Growth Equity Opportunities Fund IV, LLC)
BGBIO.NO (BerGenBio) -- announces final Bemcentinib phase 2 data in AML and MDS presented at the 2023 ASH meeting
Other
VOW.GR (Volkswagen) -- in talks with potential partners including Renault to cooperate on development of EV priced below €20,000 - Handelsblatt
CBK.GR (Commerzbank) -- discloses ECB determination for SREP P2R capital requirement in 2024
FPE3.GR (FUCHS SE) -- announces expansion and prolongation of share buyback
BAMI.IM (Banco BPM) -- notes outcome of 2023 ECB SREP
UN01.GR (Uniper) -- shareholders approve proposed share capital reduction from current €14.2B to €416.5M at EGM (8-Dec, post-close)
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $65.4M, +73.5% y/y - Box Office Mojo
Euronext announces update on quarterly review results of the ISEQ 20
Nasdaq announces semi-annual changes to the OMX Copenhagen 25 Index (
Sipef holder Ackermans & van Haaren raises stake to ~40.01% as of 4-Dec - Filing
Key rating changes
Upgrades
CARL.B.DC (Carlsberg) -- to buy from hold at HSBC
EOAN.GR (E.ON) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
NG.LN (National Grid) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
GEN.LN (Genuit Group) -- to buy from add at Peel Hunt
ORSTED.DC (Ørsted) -- to equal weight from underweight at Barclays
QQ.LN (QinetiQ Group) -- to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
SUBC.NO (Subsea 7) -- to neutral from underweight at JPMorgan
RKT.LN (Reckitt) -- to outperform from market perform at Bernstein
ULVR.LN (Unilever) -- to market perform from underperform at Bernstein
Downgrades
RI.FP (Pernod Ricard) -- to reduce from hold at HSBC
FORTUM.FH (Fortum) -- to neutral from buy at UBS
SSE.LN (SSE) -- to neutral from buy at UBS
BEI.GR (Beiersdorf) -- to market perform from outperform at Bernstein
ORK.NO (Orkla) -- to underperform from market perform at Bernstein
AAL.LN (Anglo American) -- to market perform from outperform at BMO Capital Markets
LONN.SW (Lonza) -- to underperform from outperform at RBC Capital Markets
Initiations
UBS initiates CEZ.CP (sell), PNN.LN (buy), UU.LN (neutral), and VER.AV (sell)
Data
Nikkei +1.50% to 32791.80
Hang Seng (0.95%) to 16178.78
Shanghai Composite +0.69% to 2990.02
S&P futures (2.8) vs prior close of 4607.5
€-$ +0.0009 or +0.08% to 1.0770
$-¥ +0.39 or +0.27% to 145.47
€-¥ +0.58 or +0.37% to 156.65
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