Jan 23 ,2024
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open flat to higher amidst Asian equities mostly higher Tuesday with Greater China finally seeing a substantial rally. Japan markets set to close slightly lower despite a bright start, Australia ended with fresh gains. China led by Hong Kong, currently up 3% on potential market rescue package, mainland markets reversing Monday's losses.
On today's agenda, EU agriculture and fisheries ministers meeting and EU-Egypt Association Council (EU's Borrell co-chairs) takes place. EU's von der Leyen, Netherlands PM Rutte and Croatia's PM Plenkovic in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Chancellor Scholz hosts fourth meeting of the Alliance for Transformation, post meeting press conf ~15:00CET. He will then attend the final day of the 'WELT' economic summit. EU's Simson speech at the first Offshore Network Development Plans (ONDPs). Belgium PM De Croo speech at 15:30GMT hosted by LSE's European Institute title 'Protect, strengthen, prepare - 2024 as a moment of truth for the future of the European continent'.
In UK, there's Opposition day debate (topics tbc), the Lords debate Trade (Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP)) Bill, whilst committee topics include UK accession to the CPTPP (10:00GMT), SME finance (10:15), fisheries negotiations between the UK and its nearby coastal partners, including the EU and Norway (14:30) and How sustainable is our national debt? (15:00). UK Chancellor Hunt reportedly meeting with senior executives from the leading banks amid government concerns that their share price weakness is inhibiting lending to the wider economy. Also, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) releases its monthly commentary on the latest public finances data and how it compares to our most recent forecast.
In central banks ECB's Euro area bank lending survey released at 10:00CET. IMF will present the concluding statement on the Finnish economy at a press conf at 9:00CET. Other events on Tue include Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Climate Protection Habeck speech at 10:05CET at Handelsblatt Energy Summit (thru Thu), who is also due to speak at a forum on the economy organised by Die Welt at 15:30. Start of year press conf at 14:00CET of the Financial Supervisory Authority Bafin.
In earnings news, DACHs names kicked off the session with Logitech International (LOGN.SW) and HUBER+SUHNER (HUBN.SW) reporting Q3/FY earnings. Logitech also raising guidance. In Sweden, TEricsson (ERIC.B.SS) reported Q4 earnings and proposed a dividend for FY23 of SEK 2.70 per share. In France, Engie (ENGIE.FP) issued FY23 pre-release of selected operational and financial data.
In M&A, Sanofi (SAN.FP) to acquire all outstanding shares of Inhibrx for through a merger, and in turn, each Inhibrx shareholder will receive $30.00 per share in cash, one contingent value right per share, representing the right to receive a contingent payment of $5.00 in cash upon the achievement of a regulatory milestone and one SEC-registered, publicly listed, share of New Inhibrx per every four shares of Inhibrx common. In Sweden, Intrum (INTRUM.SS) announces SEK 11.5B asset sale to Cerberus. The company agreed to sell a material portion of its investment portfolio to affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management L.P. for ~98% of book value as per economic transfer date, 30-Sep-23.
Politics/Macro/World News
Top company news
Earnings/updates
ERIC.B.SS (Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson) -- reports Q4 adj EBIT SEK 7.4B vs consensus SEK6.84B; keeps divi unchanged
LOGN.SW (Logitech International) -- reports Q3 non-GAAP EPS $1.53 vs StreetAccount $1.15, ups guidance
ENGI.FP (ENGIE) -- issues FY23 pre-release of selected operational and financial data
19U0.GR (ShiftPixy) -- reports Q1 GAAP EPS from cont ops ($25.13) vs year-ago ($33.21) - 10-Q
SOF.BB (Sofina) -- reports preliminary NAV per share €272 at 31-Dec-23 vs €277 as of 30-Jun-23
OET.NO (Okeanis Eco Tankers) -- reports preliminary Q4 daily TCE ~$45,300
HUBN.SW (HUBER+SUHNER) -- reports FY net sales CHF851.1M vs FactSet CHF872.7M [6 est, CHF853-901.5M]
Also reporting today
Earnings:
Nordics: Alleima (ALLEI.SS), VNV Global (VNV.SS), Topdanmark (TOP.DC), Gigante Salmon (GIGA.NO)
UK: Crest Nicholson (CRST.LN), Watkin Jones (WJG.LN), Ilika (IKA.LN)
Trading Update: Associated British Foods (ABF.LN), Henry Boot (BOOT.LN), Premier Foods (PFD.LN), Staffline (STAF.LN), Compagnie des Alpes (CDA.FP), Nacon (NACON.FP), Pierre & Vacances (VAC.FP), Sidetrade (ALBFR.FP)
CMD/events: Public Power Corp (PPC.GA)
M&A
INBX (Inhibrx, Inc.) -- Sanofi to acquire Inhibrx for $30/share up front, or aggregate transaction value of $2.2B (€2.02B)
KER.FP (Kering) -- acquires NYC property located at 715-717 Fifth Avenue for $963M
FLS.DC (FLSmidth & Co.) -- sells MAAG gears and drives business to Solix
INTRUM.SS (Intrum) -- announces SEK 11.5B asset sale to Cerberus
OXUR.BB (Oxurion) -- announces new strategic orientation to de-risk and diversify
BCP.PL (Banco Comercial Portugues) -- Fosun International's subsidiary to sell 846.0M Banco Comercial Português shares at €0.278/share
BPT.LN (Bridgepoint Group) -- to acquire RoC Skincare from Gryphon Investors for ~$500M (£393.5M) - Reuters, citing people with knowledge of the situation
ROVIO.FH (Rovio Entertainment) -- Sega Europe Limited has gained title to the minority shares in Rovio Entertainment Corporation, and the Rovio shares will be delisted from Nasdaq Helsinki
PMKR.CN (Playmaker Capital) -- announces shareholder approval for acquisition by Better Collective
Healthcare
GMAB.DC (Genmab) -- Arbitral tribunal dismisses Genmab's appeal in second arbitration under license agreement with Janssen Biotech
MRK.GR (Merck KGaA) -- reports new data in relation to JAVELIN Bladder regimen
GETI.B.SS (Getinge) -- CFO Lars Sandström to leave for new opportunity outside company at end of March
ZEAL.DC (Zealand Pharma) -- still sees big opportunity in obesity market; wants to partner with other groups for future treatments - FT
MVIR.SS (Medivir) -- carries out a directed share issue of approx. SEK 20M
Other
ERIC.B.SS (Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson) -- appoints Lars Sandström as CFO, effective 1-Apr
STLAM.IM (Stellantis) -- SEC filing: SC 13D/A (Filed by Exor N.V.)
TIETO.FH (Tietoevry) -- provides furuther update on ransomware attack in Sweden, notes restoration work progressing
SFER.IM (Salvatore Ferragamo) -- appoints Pierre La Tour as Group CFO, effective 18-Mar-24
ETE.GA (National Bank of Greece) -- issues senior preferred bonds; part of the Bank's strategy to increase its MREL (post EU close 22-Jan)
Key rating changes
Upgrades
SGO.FP (Compagnie de Saint-Gobain) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
SIKA.SW (Sika Group) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
FORTUM.FH (Fortum) -- to hold from sell at Danske Bank
HFG.GR (HelloFresh) -- to overweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
IDS.LN (International Distributions Services) -- to buy from hold at HSBC
NDX1.GR (Nordex) -- to buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs
SCHN.SW (Schindler Holding) -- to buy from hold at Jefferies
TFI.FP (TF1) -- to outperform from neutral at Oddo
Downgrades
IBE.SM (Iberdrola) -- to equal weight from overweight at Barclays
PGHN.SW (Partners Group Holding) -- to reduce from hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
GEBN.SW (Geberit) -- to neutral from buy at UBS
ORSTED.DC (Ørsted) -- to neutral from outperform at Oddo
VCT.LN (Victrex) -- to hold from buy at Berenberg
NDA.SE.SS (Nordea Bank) -- to neutral from outperform at Autonomous Research
Other Actions
BATS.LN (British American Tobacco) -- assumed neutral at UBS
IMB.LN (Imperial Brands) -- assumed buy at UBS
SPX.LN (Spirax-Sarco Engineering) -- re-initiated hold at Berenberg
Data
Nikkei (0.08%) to 36517.57
Hang Seng +3.16% to 15433.59
Shanghai Composite +0.72% to 2776.11
S&P futures +0.8 vs prior close of 4881.0
€-$ +0.0028 or +0.26% to 1.0912
$-¥ (0.83) or (0.56%) to 147.28
€-¥ (0.49) or (0.30%) to 160.70
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