Jan 08 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets set for a softer open. Hawkish takeaways from US macro data cited as the main headwind for equities. Combination of entrenched inflation and tight labor market reinforced perceptions of slower Fed rate cuts, adding to pressure on Treasuries alongside supply and Trump policy plays. . Elevated yields (10y reached eight-month high) and debate over stock market implications dominated the narrative. AI takeaways from CES largely upbeat, but nothing particularly incremental. Nvidia keynote was seen as forward-looking and lacked meaningful near-term positive implications.
Asia equities mostly lower Wednesday although most are off their lows: Greater China stocks losing the most with the Hang Seng testing Nov-24 lows
European macro data releases out today include Eurozone Nov PPI/Dec Consumer Confidence, Sweden prelim Dec CPI, Germany Nov Factory Orders/Retail Sales, France Dec Consumer Confidence/Nov Trade Balance
In central banks, BoE's Woods and Bailey participate in Financial Services Regulation hearing on the competitiveness and growth objective at 10:05GMT. Also in UK, weekly PMQs at 12noon GMT and committee topics include FCA and PRA's secondary competitiveness and growth objective ay 10:05GMT and work of the Dept. for Energy Security and Net Zero at 15:00. In Germany, there's online press conf on the new study on the economic policy outlook for 2025 by the Institute for Macroeconomics and Business Cycle Research (IMK)
Top company news
Earnings/updates
TMV.GR (TeamViewer) -- reports prelim FY24 revenue €671M vs guidance €662M-€668M and FactSet €664.9M [14 est, €661-673.1M]
VK.FP (Vallourec) -- confirms FY EBITDA guidance to be within €800 - 850M range vs FactSet €823.98M (€17.02)
BSLN.SW (Basilea) -- provides portfolio update and FY25 outlook
RHM.GR (Rheinmetall) -- repeats FY24 group revenue ~€10B vs FactSet €10.01B -slides
AM.FP (Dassault Aviation) -- issues FY24 deliveries, order intakes and backlog in number of new aircraft as of 31-Dec-24
PLX.FP (Pluxee) -- reports Q1 revenue €289M, +9% vs year-ago €266M
FLOW.NA (Flow Traders) -- issues Q4 pre-close call
TRI.FP (Trigano) -- reports Q1 revenue €769.8M, (17.4%) vs year-ago €931.6M
GLJ.GR (GRENKE) -- reports FY24 leasing new business €3.06B vs year-ago €2.58B and target of €3.0B-€3.2B
VLTSA.FP (Voltalia) -- announces it reached 2024 capacity targets
CLAS.B.SS (Clas Ohlson) -- reports Dec sales +12% to SEK1,597M; +12% organic
Also reporting today
Earnings: Dustin Group (DUST.SS), Gabriel Holding (GABR.DC)
Trading Update: Pluxee (PLX.FP) Topps Tiles (TPT.LN)
M&A
ROG.SW (Roche) -- intends to complete the acquisition of Poseida through a merger of Blue Giant Acquisition Corp. with and into Poseida without a vote or meeting of Poseida's stockholders
DOKA.SW (dormakaba Holding) -- dormakaba completes divestment of its Sub-Saharan African business and consolidation of its Montreal sites
WHATS.BB (What's Cooking?) -- to purchase France's Sveltic in deal estimated at ~€35M (EV basis)
BOSN.SW (Bossard Holding) -- Bossard concludes acquisition of the Ferdinand Gross Group
Healthcare
PHXM.FP (Phaxiam Therapeutics) -- Announces Updated Real-Life Clinical Data From Patients Treated Under the Compassionate Status in Europe
GLPG.NA (Galapagos) -- to separate into two publicly traded entities; to amend 10-year global Option, License and Collaboration agreement with Gilead
Other
AIR.FP (Airbus SE) -- awarded $315.0M US Army contract modification
BBVA.SM (Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria) -- launches $1.0B convertible preference share issue
STAN.LN (Standard Chartered) -- intends to issue $1.00B fixed rate resetting perpetual subordinated contingent convertible securities
GALP.PL (Galp Energia SGPS) -- CEO Filipe Silva resigns effective immediately
ICAD.FP (Icade) -- announces pre-let agreement on Pulse building
SF.SS (Stillfront Group) -- CFO Andreas Uddman to step down
Key rating changes
Upgrades
NESN.SW (Nestle) -- to outperform from underperform at BNP Paribas Exane
YACHT.IM (Ferretti) -- to outperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
Deutsche Bank upgrades EQT.SS, PGHN.SW
BCP.PL (Banco Comercial Portugues) -- to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
NOVO.B.DC (Novo Nordisk) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
STB.NO (Storebrand) -- to buy from hold at Carnegie Securities
CBRAIN.DC (cBrain) -- to hold from sell at ABG Sundal Collier
Downgrades
NESN.SW (Nestle)-- to underperform from hold at Jefferies
BN.FP (Danone) -- to underperform from hold at Jefferies
DAL.IM (Datalogic) -- to neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
ENR.GR (Siemens Energy) -- to hold from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
ASHM.LN (Ashmore Group) -- to hold from buy at Jefferies
NOS.PL (NOS SGPS) -- to reduce from hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
BFF.IM (BFF Bank SpA) -- to underperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
RILBA.DC (Ringkjøbing Landbobank) -- to hold from buy at Nordea
SYDB.DC (Sydbank) -- to hold from buy at Nordea
Deutsche Bank downgrades CVC.NA
Data
Nikkei (0.26%) to 39981.06
Hang Seng (0.95%) to 19261.90
Shanghai Composite (0.11%) to 3226.15
S&P futures +12.5 vs prior close of 5954.3
€-$ +0.0015 or +0.15% to 1.0357
$-¥ (0.01) or (0.01%) to 158.04
€-¥ +0.25 or +0.15% to 163.67
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