Jul 02 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets are set for a positive open amidst mixed trading in Asia on Wednesday. US futures building momentum following mixed performance in the cash session.
In central banks, Poland interest rate decision - no change in the 5.25% benchmark interest rate is expected - release at 15:00CET. ECB Forum sees session/panels chaired by ECB's de Guindos at 10:00CET, Cipollone 11:00, Lane, Riksbank's Seim 12:30, with closing remarks from Lagarde. BOE's Mills keynote address at 9:20BST at City Week 2025. Bank of Spain's Núñez speech at 11:00CET at event organised by CESEDEN. Bundesbank's Theurer panellist at 18:30CET at BaFinTech (through Thu).
In the UK, there's weekly PMQs at 12noon BST, committee topics include rail investment pipelines: ending boom and bust 9:30, Sec. of State for Defence, Healey, 14:00 and Strategic Defence Review 14:30. Chancellor Merz speech/panellist at Chef:innensache. Irish government to hold a special meeting of Ireland's trade forum, a week before re-implementation of higher tariffs by US (due on 9-Jul). ifo CEO Fuest among the speakers at L-Bank Economic Forum.
Economic data due include Italy, Greece and Eurozone May unemployment rate, Spain Jun unemployment change and Ireland Jun unemployment rate.
In earnings, BMW (BMW.GR) and Stellantis (STLAM.IM) released their respective Q2 US brand sales, whilst Air Liquide (AI.FP) announced pre-H1 2025 results communication and Aeroport de Paris (ADP.FP) issued preliminary information on H1 results.
On the M&A front, Banco de Sabadell (SAB.SM) agreed to sell TSB Banking Group to Banco Santander (SAN.SM) for an initial consideration price of £2.65B ($3.64B) with extraordinary meeting set for 6-Aug.
Also due to report/release updates today are Volvo Car (VOLCAR.B.SS), Dustin Group (DUST.SS) and Topps Tiles (TPT.LN).
Politics/Macro/World News
Top company news
Earnings/updates
DACHs:
BMW.GR (Bayerische Motoren Werke) -- of North America reports Q2 2025 U.S. BMW brand sales 90,884 vehicles, (0.4%) y/y
France:
AI.FP (Air Liquide) -- announces availability of pre-H1 2025 results communication
ADP.FP (Aeroport de Paris) -- reports preliminary information on 1H25 results
Southern Europe:
STLAM.IM (Stellantis) -- FCA US reports Q2 sales of 309,976 vehicles, (10%) y/y
SAN.SM (Banco Santander) -- Follow-up Santander issues press release on acquisition of TSB from Sabadell
UCG.IM (UniCredit) -- announces revised date for 2Q and 1H25 results
M&A
TKA.GR (ThyssenKrupp) -- German government currently not interested in investing in ThyssenKrupp's submarine division but does want a say through a special agreement -- Handelsblatt
EXAI.IM (Expert.ai) -- agrees to acquire I.S.E.D.; announces up to €20M capital increase
SGSN.SW (SGS) -- to acquire Applied Technical Services for EV of $1.33B (CHF1.05B)
SAB.SM (Banco de Sabadell) -- enters agreement to sell TSB Banking Group to Banco Santander for an initial consideration price of £2.65B ($3.64B); extraordinary meeting set for 6-Aug-25
INLOT.GA (Intralot) -- to acquire Bally's International Interactive, transaction enterprise value of €2.7B
SAN.SM (Banco Santander) -- Follow-up Santander issues press release on acquisition of TSB from Sabadell
BN.FP (Danone) -- completes acquisition of Kate Farms
SRT3.GR (Sartorius) -- completes acquisition of MatTek
ZAL.GR (Zalando) -- and ABOUT YOU receive final regulatory clearance to team up; closing planned for 11-Jul-25
SAB.SM (Banco de Sabadell) -- Sabadell reportedly makes decision to sell British unit TSB to Santander for £2.65B ($3.64B) - Reuters, citing The Expansión
SPIE.FP (SPIE) -- signs agreement for the acquisition of SD Fiber; price not disclosed
DOKA.SW (dormakaba Holding) -- dormakaba announces acquisition of TANlock; financial terms were not disclosed
AGS.BB (Ageas) -- completes the acquisition of Saga's Underwriting Business
GALE.SW (Galenica) -- to acquire Diagnostics Group; terms undisclosed
NHH.SM (Minor Hotels Europe & Americas) -- Minor International increases offer price for Minor Hotels Europe & Americas from €6.37 per share to €6.51 per share
BICO.SS (BICO Group) -- completes divestment of MatTek and Visikol
GENO.SS (Genovis) -- exercises call option to acquire remaining shares in SEQURNA for a purchase price of SEK52.5M
ENRO.SS (Eniro Group) -- Eniro acquires Qwamplify Nordics for €700K
ALERS.FP (Eurobio-Scientific) -- Eurobio Scientific completes acquisition of Life Science unit of Voden Medical Instruments Spa in Italy
Healthcare
AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- FDA approves FluMist for 2025-26 US formulation
RDHL (RedHill Biopharma) -- announces recruitment initiated into expanded Phase 2 opaganib/darolutamide combination study in advanced prostate cancer
SFL.IM (Safilo Group) -- and Victoria Beckham announce 10-year global licensing agreement for the design, manufacturing and distribution of the Victoria Beckham branded eyewear collections until Dec 2035
Other
DNO.NO (DNO) -- enters into an offtake agreement with ENGIE for DNO's Norwegian gas production
ALFEN.NA (Alfen) -- announces CEO Marco Roeleveld to retire by year end
SAN.SM (Banco Santander) -- announces 2025 stress capital buffer
CS.FP (AXA) -- executes share repurchase agreement of up to €3.8B following the sale of IM
STAN.LN (Standard Chartered) -- issues statement in response to media reports of a legal case filed in the High Court of Singapore
ENGI.FP (ENGIE) -- announces full commissioning of Red Sea Wind Energy wind farm in Middle East and Africa
France Jun new passenger car registration (6.7%) y/y to 169,504 vehicles -- PFA (1-Jul)
Italy Jun new passenger car registrations 132,191; (17.4%) y/y -- UNRAE (1-Jul)
Senate bill removes excise tax on solar and wind projects with China components, restores tax credits for certain projects -- Politico, citing sources (11:30ET)
Spain Jun new passenger car registrations 119,125 units, +15.2% y/y - ANFAC (1-Jul)
Key rating changes
Upgrades
Goldman Sachs upgrades ADM.LN, HSX.LN, NN.NA; downgrades ASRNL.NA, LGEN.LN, ZURN.SW
Oddo upgrades STMPA.FP; downgrades ARM
MUV2.GR (Munich Re) -- to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
Downgrades
LAND.LN (Land Securities Group) -- sell from neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen
LHA.GR (Deutsche Lufthansa) -- market perform from outperform at Bernstein
EQNR.NO (Equinor) -- to sell from neutral at UBS
DHL.GR (DHL Group) -- to hold from buy at HSBC
NHY.NO (Norsk Hydro) -- to hold from buy at Norne Securities
SWED.A.SS (Swedbank) -- to hold from buy at Deutsche Bank (earlier, timing uncertain)
JET2.LN (Jet2) -- to hold from buy at Panmure Liberum
SMHN.GR (SÜSS MicroTec) -- to neutral from outperform at Oddo
Other Actions
VOD.LN (Vodafone Group) -- resumed equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
Data
Nikkei (0.46%) to 39801.16
Hang Seng +0.49% to 24189.22
Shanghai Composite (0.04%) to 3456.26
S&P futures +14.3 vs prior close of 6248.8
€-$ (0.0018) or (0.15%) to 1.1790
$-¥ +0.35 or +0.24% to 143.75
€-¥ +0.13 or +0.08% to 169.44
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