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StreetAccount Summary - EU Market Recap: FTSE 100 +0.00% to 8822.91, DAX (0.61%) to 23787.45, CAC40 (0.75%) to 7696.27, STOXX 600 (0.48%) to 541.13

Jul 04 ,2025

  • Synopsis:

    • European equity indices end lower Friday. FTSE100 hold up better. Follows firmer close Thursday. In sectors, retail, basic resources, autos, and media biggest laggards. Healthcare best performer led by Swiss pharma stocks, possibly on back of reports US-Swiss trade deal likely to contain assurances on Pharma levy. Telco also narrowly positive.

    • Trade developments weighing on sentiment in Europe. President Trump said probably going to begin sending letters to various countries stipulating tariff rates ahead of 9-Jul deadline. Said White House negotiating couple of other deals, though prospects of agreement with other Asian nations more uncertain after Trump threatened tariffs on Japan. No clarify yet on whether EU will reach an agreement. Sefcovic said he was returning to Br

    • European equity indices end lower Friday. FTSE100 hold up better. Follows firmer close Thursday. In sectors, retail, basic resources, autos, and media biggest laggards. Healthcare best performer led by Swiss pharma stocks, possibly on back of reports US-Swiss trade deal likely to contain assurances on Pharma levy. Telco also narrowly positive.

    • Trade developments weighing on sentiment in Europe. President Trump said probably going to begin sending letters to various countries stipulating tariff rates ahead of 9-Jul deadline. Said White House negotiating couple of other deals, though prospects of agreement with other Asian nations more uncertain after Trump threatened tariffs on Japan. No clarify yet on whether EU will reach an agreement. Sefcovic said he was returning to Brussels after no breakthrough with talks with US counterparts in Washington. Brussels looking for bare bones deal, which will have the framework of an agreement and then details can be worked out later. Meanwhile, according to Chinese State Media, negotiations between China and the European Union regarding electric vehicles are nearing completion, with the EU's "political will" remaining as the main outstanding issue. Earlier today, China announced 27.7%-34.9% anti-dumping tariffs on European cognac for the next five years, though exempting major makers Pernod Ricard (RI.FP), LVMH (LVMH.FP) and Remy Cointreau (RCO.FP), provided they sell at a minimum price, Reuters reports.

    • In politics, UK press continues to digest implications for fiscal policy after government climbdown on welfare reform and scrutinize Chancellor Reeves' position. Several reports highlighted big funds piled into UK bonds on the selloff earlier this week, expecting volatility to ease and BoE to speed up rate cuts this year.

    • From a macro calendar perspective, Germany June factory orders missed expectations. French May industrial production also weaker-than-forecast, but Spanish production beat. Eurozone June construction PMI missed while UK reading beat, but both remain in contractionary territory. Italy May retail sales miss. Eurozone May PPI +0.3% y/y in line with consensus and down from prior. Also, UK June new car registrations increased +6.7% y/y to 191,316 units, YTD new car market +3.5% y/y to 1.04M units.

    • In corporate news, Aker BP (AKERBP.NO) among a handful of Nordics companies reporting Q2 numbers. Also, Norwegian Air Shuttle (NAS.NO) posted June traffic +5.0% y/y. Elsewhere, Alstom (ALO.FP) received a €2.0B ($2.3B) order from the New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority.

    • On M&A front, Air France-KLM (AF.FP) is planning to raise its stake in SAS AB from 19.9% to 60.5%. Out of the Nordics, Qt (QTCOM.FH) announced recommended public SEK180/share in cash offer for I.A.R. Systems Group (IAR.B.SS) that values IAR at ~SEK 2.29B (~€204M). In Italy, BPER Banca (BPE.IM) raised its offer price for Banca Popolare di Sondrio (BPSO.IM).

    • Looking ahead to next week EU econ-calendar, notable releases on Monday will include, amongst others, Germany May industrial production, UK Jun house price index - Halifax and Eurozone Jul Sentix economic index, May retail sales.

    • ussels after no breakthrough with talks with US counterparts in Washington. Brussels looking for bare bones deal, which will have the framework of an agreement and then details can be worked out later. Meanwhile, according to Chinese State Media, negotiations between China and the European Union regarding electric vehicles are nearing completion, with the EU's "political will" remaining as the main outstanding issue. Earlier today, China announced 27.7%-34.9% anti-dumping tariffs on European cognac for the next five years, though exempting major makers Pernod Ricard (RI.FP), LVMH (LVMH.FP) and Remy Cointreau (RCO.FP), provided they sell at a minimum price, Reuters reports.

    • In politics, UK press continues to digest implications for fiscal policy after government climbdown on welfare reform and scrutinize Chancellor Reeves' position. Several reports highlighted big funds piled into UK bonds on the selloff earlier this week, expecting volatility to ease and BoE to speed up rate cuts this year.

    • From a macro calendar perspective, Germany June factory orders missed expectations. French May industrial production also weaker-than-forecast, but Spanish production beat. Eurozone June construction PMI missed while UK reading beat, but both remain in contractionary territory. Italy May retail sales miss. Eurozone May PPI +0.3% y/y in line with consensus and down from prior. Also, UK June new car registrations increased +6.7% y/y to 191,316 units, YTD new car market +3.5% y/y to 1.04M units.

    • In corporate news, Aker BP (AKERBP.NO) among a handful of Nordics companies reporting Q2 numbers. Also, Norwegian Air Shuttle (NAS.NO) posted June traffic +5.0% y/y. Elsewhere, Alstom (ALO.FP) received a €2.0B ($2.3B) order from the New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority.

    • On M&A front, Air France-KLM (AF.FP) is planning to raise its stake in SAS AB from 19.9% to 60.5%. Out of the Nordics, Qt (QTCOM.FH) announced recommended public SEK180/share in cash offer for I.A.R. Systems Group (IAR.B.SS) that values IAR at ~SEK 2.29B (~€204M). In Italy, BPER Banca (BPE.IM) raised its offer price for Banca Popolare di Sondrio (BPSO.IM).

    • Looking ahead to next week EU econ-calendar, notable releases on Monday will include, amongst others, Germany May industrial production, UK Jun house price index - Halifax and Eurozone Jul Sentix economic index, May retail sales.

  • Digest:

    • Sectors - STOXX Europe 600:

      • Outperformers:

        • Health Care +1.10%, Telecom +0.14%, Food & Beverage (0.10%), Utilities (0.32%), Oil & Gas (0.33%), Insurance (0.43%)

      • Underperformers:

        • Retail (1.44%), Basic Resources (1.37%), Autos & Parts (1.34%), Media (1.21%), Banks (1.09%), Technology (1.05%), Financial Svcs (0.95%), Chemicals (0.70%), Real Estate (0.68%), Persnl & HHold Goods (0.66%), Construct & Mtls (0.65%), Travel & Leisure (0.65%), Ind Goods & Svcs (0.63%)

    • Macro:

      • Central Banks:

        • ECB's Makhlouf Says Inflation Expectations Are Well Anchored -- Bloomberg

        • ECB Risks 2% Undershoot If Euro Strength Persists, Villeroy Says -- Bloomberg

        • 'UK's soft landing is at risk', says BoE policymaker -- FTadviser

        • BOE Corporate Bond Buying Failed to Aid Firms, Staff Paper Finds -- Bloomberg

      • EU:

        • EU-US trade talks: Crunch time looms with no deal in sight -- DW

        • China spares major cognac makers from EU brandy dumping duties -- Reuters

      • UK:

        • Labour's chaos exposes Britain to a new economic shock -- Telegraph

        • How to reset UK fiscal policy after the retreat on benefit reform -- OMFIF

        • Rachel Reeves, the iron chancellor who cried -- FT

      • Germany:

        • Germany's Merz spoke with Trump about buying Patriots for Ukraine -- Reuters

        • Germany Prepares €25B Tank Order to Boost NATO Forces -- Bloomberg

        • Germany and unpaid war damages, a Polish MEP takes the issue to the EU Parliament -- EUnews

      • France:

        • French Economy Under Significant Strain With No Signs Of Recovery -- Seeking Alpha

      • Italy:

    • Company news:

      • Notable Gainers

        • +64.5% IAR.B.SS (IAR SEK178.00, +69.80) -- Qt's announces recommended public SEK180/share in cash offer for company

        • +10.5% AB.FP (AB Science €1.63, +0.15) -- company's masitinib receives FDA and EMA authorization for confirmatory phase 3 trial in metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer

        • +8.6% GOFORE.FH (Gofore €18.92, +1.50) -- acquires technology company Huld for ~€41M

        • +4.7% ALZCUR.SS (AlzeCure Pharma SEK3.14, +0.14) -- publishes Information document regarding rights issue

      • Notable Decliners

        • -12.5% THRU.LN (Thruvision Group £0.01, -0.00) -- to raise £2.5M via issuance of 250M new shares; announces conclusion of strategic review and trading update

        • -6.7% GLE.LN (MJ Gleeson £3.62, -0.26) -- FY trading update; appoints interim Chair, as new Chair

        • -4.5% DWS.GR (DWS Group €47.06, -2.20) -- BNP Paribas Exane downgrade

        • -4.3% ENC.SM (ENCE Energia y Celulosa €2.87, -0.13) -- Jefferies downgrade

        • -4.0% FLOW.NA (Flow Traders €26.84, -1.12)

        • -2.8% ENW.LN (Enwell Energy £0.18, -0.01) -- Q2 operations update

        • -2.6% ASML.NA (ASML Holding €659.40, -17.70) -- Samsung Electronics delays completion of Texas chip plant due to lack of customers - Nikkei Asia; European companies ask EU to hold off on AI regulation implementation for two years - Bloomberg

        • -2.5% LOOMIS.SS (Loomis SEK397.60, -10.40) -- DNB Carnegie downgrade

        • -2.0% STAB1L.GR (Stabilus €27.30, -0.55) -- appoints new CEO

        • -2.0% BPE.IM (BPER Banca €7.50, -0.16) -- raises offer price for Banca Popolare di Sondrio

        • -1.8% MC.FP (LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton €477.35, -8.55) -- China issues final ruling on imported EU brandy probe; to impose 27.7%-34.9% anti-dumping duties for five years from 5-Jul

        • -1.6% SFER.IM (Salvatore Ferragamo €5.15, -0.09) -- Intesa Sanpaolo downgrade

        • -1.6% AKRBP.NO (Aker BP NOK263.20, -4.40) -- Q2 trading update

    • EU companies reporting tomorrow:

      • Earnings:

        • Nordics: Wihlborgs Fastigheter (WIHL.SS), Wallenstam (WALL.B.SS), Fabege (FABG.SS), Eastnine (EAST.SS)

      • Trading Updates:

        • Nordics: Kid (KID.NO)

        • Southern Europe: Repsol (REP.SM), Galp Energia (GALP.PL)

        • UK: Shell (SHEL.LN), Ferrexpo (FXPO.LN)

        • Other: Íslandsbanki (ISB.IR)

  • Data:

    • Economics:

      • Eurozone May PPI +0.3% y/y vs consensus +0.3% and prior +0.7%

      • Switzerland Jun Unemployment Rate (sa) 2.9% vs consensus 2.9% and prior revised +2.8% from 2.9%

      • Germany May Factory Orders (1.4%) m/m vs consensus (0.2%) and prior revised +1.6% from +0.6%

      • France May Industrial Production (0.5%) m/m vs consensus +0.4% and prior (1.4%)

      • Spain May Industrial Production +1.7% y/y vs consensus +1.0% and prior +0.6%

      • Italy May Retail Sales +1.3% y/y vs consensus +2.5% and prior revised +3.8% from +3.7%

      • Germany Jun Construction PMI 44.8 vs consensus 45.1 and prior 44.4

      • UK Jun Construction PMI 48.8 vs consensus 48.4 and prior 47.9

    • Markets:

      • WTI Crude (25-Aug): ($0.59) or (0.88%) to $66.41

      • €-$ +0.0025 or +0.21% to 1.1783

      • £-$ (0.0011) or (0.08%) to 1.3644

      • €-£ +0.0023 to 0.8635

      • S&P 500 +0.00%

      • Performance year-to-date:

        • FTSE 100: +7.95%

        • DAX: +19.48%

        • CAC: +4.28%

        • MIB: +15.90%

        • Stoxx 600: +6.60%

This information and data is provided for general informational purposes only. The Bank of New York Mellon and our information suppliers do not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of this information or data. We provide no advice nor recommendation or endorsement with respect to any company or securities. We do not undertake any obligation to update or amend this information or data. Nothing herein shall be deemed to constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities.
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