Aug 25 ,2025
Synopsis
European equities indicated to open mixed to lower following Asia generally higher. UK markets are closed for a Bank Holiday
Following Fed dovish Powell speech at Jackson Hole on Friday, the summit concluded over the weekend, where BOE's Bailey says UK faces challenge to raise potential growth (Guardian, Bloomberg) and ECB's Lagarde highlighted migrant labor as key Eurozone growth support (Politico, Reuters)
Today sees Bundesbank's Balz speech at 15:30CET at European Forum Alpbach.
In politics, EU Parliament returns after summer recess and sees a week mainly dedicated to external parliamentary activities. EU's Roswall gives a keynote address at World Water Week (Sun-Thu). Also, Norway's minister of trade and industry Myrseth meets with grocery players, suppliers including Orkla (ORK.NO). Minister will be available to the press at 13:00CET following the meeting
Reportedly, Trump administration waiting to approve oil majors apart from Chevron to operate in Venezuela
Amongst the handful of economic data releases scheduled focus us on Germany Aug IFO data. Finland Jul PPI (1.5%) vs consensus (2.0%) and prior (1.8%), whilst the same stat is awaited for Spain
Politics/Macro/World News
EU defends US trade deal to avoid costly conflict (Bloomberg)
EU's trade deal with US sparks stability debate (Politico)
Draghi says EU must bolster defense in geopolitical shift (Politico)
Putin's moves hint at possible Ukraine peace concessions (Express)
Zelenskyy, NATO push for robust Ukraine security guarantees (Politico)
Germany urged to seek new trade partners amid US tariffs (Reuters)
Top company news
Earnings/updates
METN.SW (Metall Zug) -- H1 net income (CHF10.3M) vs FactSet (CHF1.4M) [1 est]
HEN3.GR (Henkel) -- anticipates profitable growth this fiscal year; does not expect widespread price increases like in 2022 - Rheinische Post
GSF.NO (Grieg Seafood) -- advises that due to divestment, Q2 results unlikely to be comparable to consensus
Also scheduled to report:
DACHs: Molecular Partners (MOLN.SW)
M&A
JDEP.NA (JDE Peet's) -- Keurig Dr Pepper to acquire JDE Peet for €31.85/share in cash
INLOT.GA (Intralot) -- Bally's announces mandatory tender offer for Intralot becomes unconditional (22-Aug)
BHP.AU (BHP Group) -- BHP puts mothballed nickel assets in Western Australia up for sale - The Australian
BBU (Brookfield Business Partners) -- Bain, Axight could join forces to bid for La Trobe Financial; CVC (CVC.NA) among other competing suitors - Australian Financial Review
HLEE.SW (Highlight Event & Entertainment) -- to carry out CHF300M capital increase at CHF12/share
Highlight Communications majority holder HLEE to carry out capital increase by which new investor may acquire majority stake in HLEE
FRAS.LN (Frasers Group) -- Coventry City Football Club buys Coventry Building Society Arena from Frasers Group; terms undisclosed
BBOX.LN (Tritax Big Box REIT) -- Statement on updated recommended cash offer for Warehouse REIT
FEN.LN (Frenkel Topping Group) -- announces extension of PUSU deadline to 22-Sep-25
ENT.LN (Entain) --Betr Entertainment considering bid for Entain's Australian business - Australian Financial Review
Databricks to acquire Tecton; terms undisclosed - Reuters, citing Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi
Healthcare
OSE.FP (OSE Immunotherapeutics) -- proposes governance evolution and reaffirms strategic priorities; announces roadmaps for Tedopi and Lusvertikimab
VLA.FP (Valneva) -- announces FDA's decision to suspend license of Chikungunya Vaccine IXCHIQ in the U.S.
ARGX.BB (argenx) -- pivotal ADAPT SERON study of VYVGART meets primary endpoint
Other
ORSTED.DC (Ørsted) -- US orders Revolution Wind project to stop construction
DEBS.LN (Debenhams Group) -- Frasers Group (FRAS.LN) targets Boohoo chairman Tim Morris - Telegraph
TGS.NO (TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Co.) -- announces the award of a large streamer contract offshore Indonesia
HSBA.LN (HSBC Holdings) -- HSBC's Swiss private bank launches cull of over 1,000 wealthy Middle Eastern clients amid scrutiny from regulators over high-risk customers - Bloomberg
LHA.GR (Deutsche Lufthansa) -- to implement new organizational structure from early 2026 - Handelsblatt
SBRY.LN (J Sainsbury) -- now UK's most-shorted stock - Sunday Telegraph
Contractor dies after incident at Rio Tinto's (RIO.LN) Simandou project in Guinea; activity suspended at mine
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $77.0M, (13.3%) y/y - Box Office Mojo
ESSITY.B.SS (Essity) -- Dagens Industri out with buy recommendation for Essity (23-Aug)
Key rating changes
Downgrades
RWE.GR (RWE) -- to hold from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
THULE.SS (Thule Group) -- to sell from hold at SEB
HEXA.B.SS (Hexagon) -- to hold from buy at ABG Sundal Collier
Initiations/re-instatements
ROO.LN (Deliveroo) -- re-instated hold at Stifel
ARGX (argenx) -- initiated outperform at RBC Capital Markets
Data
Nikkei +0.45% to 42825.94
Hang Seng +1.96% to 25834.98
Shanghai Composite +0.81% to 3856.61
S&P futures (2.0) vs prior close of 6483.3
€-$ (0.0016) or (0.13%) to 1.1711
$-¥ +0.32 or +0.22% to 147.20
€-¥ +0.19 or +0.11% to 172.38
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