Aug 28 ,2025
Synopsis:
European equity markets mostly lower at the close. French, Italian and Spanish markets see mild outperformance but UK weaker. Germany little changed. Autos, basic resources and industrials best performers while telecom, healthcare and media main laggards. US equity markets mostly weaker in midday trading. Treasuries unchanged to slightly firmer out the curve. Gilts down 1 bps at 4.73%. Bund steady. OATs narrower after hitting highest level versus German benchmark since January in prior session. Dollar index off 0.2%. Gold up 0.2%. Bitcoin futures up 0.4%. WTI crude off 0.6%. Industrial metals firmer.
In macro releases out of Europe, the Eurozone economic sentiment indicator eased in August to 95.2 versus consensus 95.9 and prior 95.8 amid marginal decline in industry, services, construction and consumer confidence. Eurozone M3 money supply growth edges up in July. Italian business confidence eases in August to 87.4 vs consensus 87.2 and prior 87.8. Latest update from European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA) showed Europe's new-car market rose+5.9% in July, the most in 15 months, after an increase in Germany outweighed weakness in Britain, France and Italy. In UK, industry data showed increase in housing supply capped price growth. Further out of the UK, latest speculation on fiscal policy revolves around plan to apply national insurance contributions to landlords on unearned income.
In politics, French PM Bayrou said he will negotiate directly with lawmakers next week to save government. Wall Street firms played down contagion risks from political drama. Elsewhere, EU considering secondary sanctions to prevent third countries helping Russia with Ukraine war. UK, France and Germany move to reimpose UN sanctions on Iran as tensions again escalate over Iran's nuclear program. In trade developments, reports Wednesday that EU to fast track legislation to remove tariffs on US industrial goods to unlock lower US tariffs on EU auto exports.
In corporate news, out of DACHS, Delivery Hero (DHER.GR), Fielmann Group (FIE.GR), STRABAG (STR.AV) released H1 earnings. In France, Eiffage (FGR.FP) and Pernod Ricard (RI.FP) released latest numbers. Out of the Nordics, Elekta (EKTA.B.SS) Elon AB (ELON.SS), BW Offshore (BWO.NO) updated the market with their most recent earnings. Per Aarsleff Holding (PAAL.B.DC) posted Q3 earnings and narrowed its FY guidance.
In M&A headlines, Barclays PLC (BARC.LN) to sell its entire shareholding in JV Entercard Group AB to Swedbank AB (SWED.A.SS); purchase price corresponding to 50% of Entercard's equity at time of acquisition or SEK 2.6B. Following the settlement of its own offer on 21-Aug-25, PPF has decided to tender its 36.5M shares - corresponding to ~15.68% of ProSiebenSat.1's (PSM.GR) outstanding share capital - into the offer of MFE-MediaForEurope (MFEB.IM) and to settle the remaining financial instruments in ProSiebenSat.1. Media reports, Iliad will consider domestic consolidation opportunities but will not pursue further talks with Telecom Italia (TIT.IM). Continental (CON.GR) agrees to sell its ContiTech business area Original Equipment Solutions to Regent for an undisclosed sum.
Digest:
Sectors - STOXX Europe 600:
Outperformers:
Basic Resources +0.72%, Autos & Parts +0.63%, Ind Goods & Svcs +0.30%, Food & Beverage +0.19%, Travel & Leisure +0.14%, Construct & Mtls +0.12%, Persnl & HHold Goods +0.10%, Banks (0.01%), Technology (0.13%), Oil & Gas (0.18%)
Underperformers:
Real Estate (1.27%), Telecom (0.96%), Media (0.76%), Health Care (0.75%), Utilities (0.68%), Insurance (0.60%), Retail (0.52%), Financial Svcs (0.45%), Chemicals (0.32%)
Macro:
Central Banks:
July ECB minutes deemed risks to inflation broadly balanced and most policymakers see rates in a good place with inflation around the 2% target (Bloomberg)
Trade/Tariffs:
France:
UK:
CBI survey shows UK services sector still struggling (Guardian, Reuters)
UK Treasury considers expanding national insurance tax to landlords (London Times)
Starmer to replace third top aide in less than a year (BBC )
Geopolitics:
Peripheral markets:
Company news:
Notable Gainers
+11.8% BIOA.B.SS (BioArctic SEK308.00, +32.60) -- Q2 earnings
+10.5% MFEB.IM (MFE-MEDIAFOREUROPE €4.44, +0.42) -- PPF announces sale of its shares in ProSiebenSat.1
+6.4% ARBN.SW (Arbonia CHF5.81, +0.35) -- Kepler Cheuvreux upgrade
+5.3% GKP.LN (Gulf Keystone Petroleum £1.91, +0.10) -- H1 earnings
+5.2% LOTB.BB (Lotus Bakeries €8,310.00, +410.00) -- BofA upgrade
+4.5% JFN.SW (Jungfraubahn Holding CHF210.00, +9.00) -- H1 earnings
+3.8% SCT.LN (Softcat £16.25, +0.59) -- year end trading update
+3.7% PSM.GR (ProSiebenSat.1 Media €8.29, +0.30) -- PPF announces sale of its shares in ProSiebenSat.1
+3.6% BSKP.SW (Basler Kantonalbank CHF80.00, +2.80) -- presents 2026+ strategy
+3.6% COK.GR (CANCOM €23.25, +0.80) -- Jefferies upgrade
+3.1% ERG.IM (ERG €20.86, +0.62) -- BofA upgrade
+3.1% RBREW.DC (Royal Unibrew DKK495.80, +15.00) -- Danske Bank upgrade
+2.7% CURY.LN (Currys £1.14, +0.03) -- BNP Paribas Exane transferred outperform
+2.6% BWO.NO (BW Offshore NOK37.50, +0.95) -- Q2 earnings, raises FY EBITDA guidance
+2.6% CAI.AV (CA Immobilien Anlagen €23.82, +0.60) -- H1 earnings, withdraws treasury shares and launches new share buyback program
+1.5% NFG.LN (Next 15 Group £2.67, +0.04) -- intends to permanently cease operations at Mach49
+1.4% INSTAL.SS (Instalco SEK25.20, +0.34) -- contract
+1.4% RI.FP (Pernod Ricard €100.65, +1.36) -- FY eanrings
+1.1% CON.GR (Continental €75.88, +0.86) -- to sell its ContiTech business area Original Equipment Solutions to Regent for an undisclosed sum
Notable Decliners
-24.9% IMMNOV.SS (Immunovia SEK0.68, -0.22) -- Q2 earnings; to carry out rights issue of ~SEK100M
-16.2% PPH.LN (PPHE Hotel Group £13.80, -2.64) -- H1 earnings
-9.8% ADJ.GR (ADLER Group €0.22, -0.02) -- H1 earnings
-8.8% TIT.IM (Telecom Italia €0.41, -0.04) -- Iliad will consider domestic consolidation opportunities but will not pursue further talks with Telecom Italia
-8.6% PAAL.B.DC (Per Aarsleff Holding DKK635.00, -60.00) -- Q3 earnings
-8.5% ELON.SS (Elon AB SEK20.40, -1.90) -- Q2 earnings
-7.5% DRX.LN (Drax Group £6.49, -0.53) -- notified of investigation by FCA on certain historic statements regarding Drax's biomass sourcing, compliance with listing rules, disclosures
-7.0% ALFEN.NA (Alfen €9.76, -0.74) -- Jefferies downgrade
-6.5% VLK.NA (Van Lanschot Kempen €53.30, -3.70) -- H1 earnings
-5.5% PRTC.LN (PureTech Health £1.26, -0.07) -- H1 earnings
-5.4% ALBPS.FP (Biophytis €0.17, -0.01) -- Receives EMA and Belgian regulatory approval to initiate phase 3 Sarcopenia clinical trial
-4.8% DMP.GR (Dermapharm Holding €33.10, -1.65) -- Jefferies downgrade
-4.6% FIE.GR (Fielmann Group €53.90, -2.60) -- H1 earnings
-4.3% SWON.SW (SoftwareONE Holding CHF6.58, -0.30) -- H1 earnings
-3.8% STR.AV (STRABAG SE €78.40, -3.10) -- H1 earnings
-2.9% HTG.LN (Hunting £3.21, -0.09) -- H1 earnings
-1.2% GSK.LN (GSK Plc £14.62, -0.17) -- FC grants antitrust clearance for GSK Plc purchase of worldwide licenses from Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd.; UK's MHRA approves gepotidacin for treatment of uncomplicated urinary tract infections in females aged 12 years and older, weighing at least 40 kg
-1.1% RKT.LN (Reckitt Benckiser £55.20, -0.64) -- US FTC grants antitrust clearance for Reckitt Benckiser's sale of Essential Holdings to Advent
-0.7% BARC.LN (Barclays £3.69, -0.03) -- to sell its entire shareholding in JV Entercard Group AB to Swedbank AB
-0.7% SWED.A.SS (Swedbank SEK266.60, -2.00)
EU companies reporting tomorrow:
Earnings:
Benelux: Ackermans & Van Haaren (ACKB.BB), KBC Ancora (KBCA.BB), Recticel (RECT.BB), Sif Holding (SIFG.NA)
DACHs: DEAG Deutsche Entertainment (LOU.GR), Edisun Power Europe (ESUN.SW)
Norway: AF Gruppen (AFG.NO), Arendals Fossekompani (AFK.NO), Northern Ocean (NOL.NO), Zalaris (ZAL.NO), Omda AS (OMDA.NO), Jinhui Shipping & Transportation (JIN.NO), Avance Gas Holding (AGAS.NO)
Sweden: Coinshares International (CS.SS), Karolinska Development (KDEV.SS), Anoto Group (ANOT.SS)
Southern Europe: Intralot (INLOT.GA)
Data:
Economics:
Eurozone
Jul M3 Money Supply +3.4% y/y vs consensus +3.5% and prior +3.3%
Aug Economic Sentiment Indicator 95.2 vs consensus 95.9 and prior 95.8
Consumer Confidence (15.5) vs preliminary (15.5)
Services Sentiment Indicator 3.6 vs consensus 4.2 and prior 4.1
Italy Aug
Business Confidence 87.4 vs consensus 87.2 and prior 87.8
Consumer Confidence 96.2 vs consensus 96.6 and prior 97.2
Switzerland
Aug KOF Leading Indicator 97.4 vs prior revised to 101.1 from 101.1
Q2 GDP +0.1% q/q vs prelim +0.1% and prior revised +0.4% from +0.5%; +1.2% y/y vs conss +1.4% and prior revised +1.8% from +2.0%
Sweden Jul Trade Balance SEK4.5B vs consensus SEK8.0B and prior revised SEK12.6B from SEK13.3B
Belgium Aug CPI +1.9% y/y vs cons +2.1% and prior +1.9%; 0.0% m/m vs cons +0.2% and prior +0.5%
Markets:
WTI Crude (Oct 25): ($0.50) or (0.78%) to $63.65
€-$ +0.0033 or +0.28% to 1.1673
£-$ +0.0018 or +0.13% to 1.3517
€-£ +0.0014 to 0.8637
S&P 500 +0.02%
Performance year-to-date
FTSE 100: +12.77%
DAX: +20.75%
CAC: +5.17%
MIB: +24.16%
Stoxx 600: +9.07%
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