Dec 18 ,2023
Synopsis
European equity market futures point to a weaker open amidst lower Asian equities Monday. Japan benchmarks to end lower although well off their troughs, Australia finished modestly lower. Greater China markets weak, Taiwan and South Korea hovering around the flat mark. India flat at the open, Southeast Asia largely lower. US futures ticking higher.
Today's agenda sees EU foreign ministers meeting as well aevent organised by BritCham, the British Chamber of Commerce EU & Belgium. In the Netherlands, following meetings with leaders of parties which may go on to form a right-wing coalition, scout Ronald Plasterk is due to hand over his report on forming a new government to parliament. In the morning, Chancellor Scholz hosts Dutch PM Rutte.
In central banks, Riksbank's Bunge speech at 13:00CET at a seminar organised by the Swedish Association of Corporate Treasurers. Bank of Italy's Perrazzelli speech at 10:00CET and 16:15 at the conf 'New Frontiers in Banking and Capital Markets'. ECB's McCaul panellist at 21:10CET at event organised by Capital Link, others speakers include PM Mitsotakis 14:00.
On the macro front, Norway Nov CPI and PPI, Denmark Nov CPI and Oct trade balance as well as UK Dec house price index - Rightmove are out for release.
In earnings, CECONOMY (CEC.GR) reported FY adj. EPS €0.08 vs FactSet €0.14 whilst thyssenkrupp nucera (NCH2.GR) is out with Q4 EPS €0.03 vs year-ago (€0.01). EnergieKontor (EKT.GR) announced it will sell its Garbet onshore wind park project and raised FY23 guidance.
Friday post close, Diasorin's (DIA.IM) board approved its 2024-2027 Business Plan where it guides FY24 adj EBITDA margin 32% to 33.
Also of note, first day of trading for Syensqo (SYENS.BB) spin-off from Solvay (SOLB.BB)
Macro
ECB probably at rate peak but too soon to consider cuts, Nagel says - Bloomberg
UK recession risk returns with data signaling possible downgrade - Bloomberg
Labour lead slips to 13 points in poll that shows NHS is voters' main priority - Guardian
German budget consensus under fire over EVs, agricultural diesel - Reuters
German far-right party makes fresh electoral breakthrough - FT
Italy has failed to curb migration, Meloni admits at far-right festival - FT
Top company news
Earnings/updates
DACHs:
CEC.GR (CECONOMY) -- reports FY adj. EPS €0.08 vs FactSet €0.14 [5 est, €0.04-0.22]
NCH2.GR (thyssenkrupp nucera) -- reports Q4 EPS €0.03 vs year-ago (€0.01)
EKT.GR (EnergieKontor) -- sells Garbet onshore wind park project; raises FY23 guidance
Nordics:
ICEAIR.IR (Icelandair Group) -- provides update on air traffic controllers strikes
PNOR.NO (Petronor E&P) -- confirms 373.4K bbls of oil were lifted and sold from Djeno Terminal in the first week of Dec-23, generating cash inflow of $27.3M
Southern Europe:
DIA.IM (DiaSorin) -- board approves 2024-2027 Business Plan; guides FY24 adj EBITDA margin 32% to 33
M&A
SGSN.SW (SGS) -- to sell crop science activities to Eurofins Scientific; terms undisclosed
ECV.GR (Encavis) -- buys wind parks with 18MW total capacity for Encavis Infrastructure Fund IV; terms undisclosed
CADLR.NO (Cadeler) -- completes share exchange offer for Eneti Inc. at 86.39% acceptance rate
RNO.FP (Renault) -- Alpine Racing Ltd finalises sale of 24% of its share capital for €200M to investor group led by Otro Capital
RF.FP (Eurazeo) -- confirms in exclusive discussions to sell its stake in D.O.R.C. to Carl Zeiss Meditec
TIT.IM (Telecom Italia) -- TIM receives Vivendi's lawsuit; NetCo deal goes ahead as planned
AFX.GR (Carl Zeiss Meditec) -- AG announces agreement to acquire D.O.R.C. in a deal worth ~€985M (EV basis)
GSK.LN (GSK Plc) -- GSK searching for more deals in China - FT
VOD.LN (Vodafone Group) -- Iliad looking to finalize joint venture proposal with Vodafone to combine Italian operations by end of January - Reuters, citing sources
FME.GR (Fresenius Medical Care) -- Intermediate Capital Group finalising deal to acquire Cura Day Hospitals - Australian Financial Review
ENI.IM (Eni) -- considering sale of stake in Novamont - Reuters, citing source (11:01 ET)
CO.FP (Casino Guichard-Perrachon) -- Carrefour offers to acquire network of 7,000 small local stores owned by Casino - Les Echos
OIBR4.BZ (Oi SA) -- Telefonica considering trying to buy Oi unit - Reuters (14:09 BT/18:09 CET)
FRAS.LN (Frasers Group) -- in advanced talks to buy Matchesfashion from Apax Partners - Sky News
BG.AV (BAWAG Group) -- announces sale of start:bausparkasse AG; terms not disclosed
MUSTI.FH (Musti Group) -- Flybird Holding to commence voluntary recommended public cash tender offer for all shares in Musti Group Plc on 18-Dec-23
EKT.GR (EnergieKontor) -- sells Garbet onshore wind park project; raises FY23 guidance
HTG.GR (HomeToGo) -- to acquire KMW Reisen, Super Urlaub for €31M; conference call at 10:00 CET 18-Dec
NORTHM.DC (North Media) -- concludes agreement with Ge-Te Media Aktiebolag to acquire SDR Svensk Direktreklam AB and EGRO Konsult AB
WUW.GR (Wüstenrot & Württembergische) -- Wüstenrot Bausparkasse AG acquires start:bausparkasse AG (formerly Deutscher Ring Bausparkasse)
Chuck E Cheese looking at sale after receiving interest - Reuters
Healthcare
ALSEN.FP (Sensorion) -- announces preliminary safety results from NOTOXIS, its Phase 2a Proof of Concept (POC) clinical trial of SENS-401 (Arazasetron) in patients suffering from Cisplatin-Induced Ototoxicity
SANN.SW (Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding) -- receives EU approval for AGAMREE (Vamorolone) for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy
ULTI.NO (Ultimovacs) -- exploratory phase I TENDU study of TET for prostate cancer meets primary endpoint
MITRA.BB (Mithra Pharmaceuticals) -- receives positive DSMB opinion on DONESTA European phase 3 trial
IRLAB.A.SS (IRLAB) -- submits request for end-of-phase 2 meeting with FDA for phase III-ready mesdopetam program
ALCOX.FP (Nicox) -- Announces First Patient Screened in the Whistler Phase 3B Trial of NCX 470 in Glaucoma
NOVN.SW (Novartis) -- FDA discloses full approval of three generics of Novartis' Votrient
4507.JP (Shionogi & Co.) -- subsidiary, Swedish Orphan Biovitrum sign distribution agreement for Fetcroja
ONCO.SS (Oncopeptides) -- updates on the Type II application process
CLARI.FP (Clariane) -- and CRditt Agricole assurances sign real-estate partnership
EFYA.GR (PharmaCyte Biotech) -- SEC filing: 10-Q
Other
ACC.NO (Aker Carbon Capture) -- awarded feasibility study by waste-to energy player in Switzerland
IPH.FP (Innate Pharma) -- CEO/chairman Mondher Mahjoubi resigns, effective Jan 2024
MDXH (MDxHealth) -- completes transition to Nasdaq
VLRT.SW (Valartis Group) -- completes fixed-price buyback, acquires 103K shares priced at CHF13.75/share
SKA.B.SS (Skanska) -- to construct two new buildings in Fort Worth, Texas for $155M, about SEK 1.6B
EBUS.NA (Ebusco Holding) -- convenes EGM on 29-Jan-24 related to previously announced capital raising
SHEL.LN (Shell Plc) -- Shell files automatic mixed shelf of indeterminate amount - F-3ASR
SIE.GR (Siemens AG) -- Siemens Mobility supplies 75 Mireo trains for Leipzig and surrounding region
ENT.LN (Entain) -- near deal granting board seat to activist Ricky Sandler - Sunday Times
ALO.FP (Alstom) -- announces finalization of syndication of its new credit facility and the extension of the maturity of its two other RCF
TEP.FP (Teleperformance) -- to cancel 700,000 self-dependent shares
SBMO.NA (SBM Offshore) -- successfully raises a new $210M Revolving Credit Facility for MPF hull financing
MTRO.LN (Metro Bank Holdings) -- Metro Bank to retain residential mortgage portfolio
PRS.NO (Prosafe) -- completes subsequent offering priced at NOK60/share; total of ~517K shares will be allocated
SCATC.NO (Scatec) --
reaches financial close on the first 60MW of Botswana solar complex
signs $100M loan agreement with the World Bank's International Finance Corporation (IFC)
Buenaventura comments on acquisition of equity interest by Antofagasta plc
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $73.9M, (51.7%) y/y - Box Office Mojo
Regional Gaming Revenues - Massachusetts November 2023
Regional Gaming Revenues - New Jersey November 2023
SBTi actions in the past month include McDonald's, Nestle 2050 net zero approvals, Wizz Air removal (15-Dec)
Tabcorp awarded new Victorian Wagering and Betting License; indicative licence value of A$864M
Trading higher: APAC shipping sector higher following pause in Red Sea Routes
Key rating changes
Upgrades
UBS upgrades DB1.GR; downgrades MNDI.LN
ENT.LN (Entain) -- to buy from hold at Jefferies
Downgrades
SAVE.SS (Nordnet) -- underweight from overweight at Barclays
FRES.LN (Fresnillo) -- underweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
CNA.LN (Centrica) -- to hold from buy at Jefferies
LAGR.B.SS (Lagercrantz Group) -- to hold from buy at SEB
HMS.SS (HMS Networks) -- to sell from buy at DnB Markets
Data
Nikkei (0.64%) to 32758.98
Hang Seng (1.08%) to 16610.42
Shanghai Composite (0.50%) to 2927.74
S&P futures +12.5 vs prior close of 4768.0
€-$ +0.0022 or +0.20% to 1.0919
$-¥ +0.15 or +0.10% to 142.26
€-¥ +0.43 or +0.28% to 155.30
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