Apr 17 ,2024
Synopsis:
Asian markets set for negative start to Thursday trade. Nikkei and Hang Seng futures signaling mild opening declines while ASX futures marginally higher. S&P 500 futures flat after index logged fourth straight drop for first time since early January. Australian and New Zealand bonds rallying following earlier Treasury curve bull flattening. Dollar index edged back from five-month high though yen remains near troughs, prompting more Japan verbal intervention. Crude sold off with gold also retreating. Bitcoin down to late February lows.
Sentiment remains weighed down by hawkish repricing of Fed rate path with futures now only pricing in 1-2 rate cuts in 2024. Comes amid pickup in inflation concerns, reflecting sticky services components and input cost pressures from surging commodity prices. This has been accompanied by increasingly hawkish-leaning Fedspeak with Chair Powell this week conceding uncertainty whether rate cuts will happen this year.
US-China trade tensions notched higher after President Biden proposed hiking tariffs on Chinese steel and aluminum to 25% from current 7.5%. Potential for more tariffs with administration launching probe into Chinese shipbuilding, maritime and logistics sectors. USTR Tai also called for decisive action to project local EV sector, again taking aim at China's anti-competitive practices. Meanwhile Congress moving to fast track TikTok 'sale or ban' legislation.
Middle East remains on tenterhooks as markets await Israeli response to Iranian missile barrage. Reports noted Israel considered retaliatory strike Monday but decided to postpone for operational reasons. While western nations urging Israeli restraint, PM Netanyahu Israel would make its own decisions. Analysts gaming out possible scenarios for oil, though some thought crude's recent pullback suggests markets discounting likelihood of full-blown conflict.
Australian employment data comes after February's unexpected jobs surge was put down to one-off factors. Data forecast to show sharp pullback in headline jobs growth and 0.2 pp uptick in unemployment rate (that would still leave jobless rate tracking below RBA's H1 forecast). Economists have argued RBA rate cuts hinge on material loosening of labor market. Futures have pushed out expected rate cut timing to Mar-2025 from Nov earlier this month.
Pre-open Company News:
055550.KS -- StreetAccount Consensus Metrics Preview - Shinhan Financial Q1 Earnings
086790.KS -- StreetAccount Consensus Metrics Preview - Hana Financial Q1 Earnings
493.HK -- GOME Retail's Shanghai listco GOME Telecom Equipment accused of inflating revenue in FY20
2020.HK -- ANTA Sports Products reports Q1 operational update
9868.HK -- XPeng, Inc. releases ESG report
500425.IN -- Adani family infuses INR83.39B into Ambuja Cements, increasing stake by 3.6% to 70.3%
EB5.SP -- First Resources responds to Gecko Project's March news report, reiterates no relationship with CAA, NBA/Sulaidy Group; to conduct internal investigation
603019.CH -- Dawning Information Industry confirms FY prelim. results announced on 23-Feb
867.HK -- China Medical System Holdings releases ESG report 2023
4004.JP -- Quick Take - Resonac Holdings FY Guidance revisions
874.HK -- Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings receives NMPA marketing approval for sildenafil citrate chemical API for treatment of erectile dysfunction
1199.HK -- COSCO SHIPPING Ports releases sustainability report 2023
301219.CH -- Tengyuan Cobalt reports FY net income attributable CNY378.1M vs year-ago CNY274.5M
530019.IN -- Jubilant Cadista to close manufacturing operations of solid dosage formulation facility at Salisbury, Maryland
522.HK -- ASMPT initiated outperform at CLSA
On Deck:
China:
Economic:
08:00 CST: Foreign Direct Investment Y/Y; consensus
Hong Kong:
Earnings:
Pacific Basin Shipping (2343.HK)
Australia:
Economic:
11:30 AEST: Unemployment Rate; consensus 3.9%
11:30 AEST: Employment SA; consensus +5K
Earnings:
Santos (STO.AU), Challenger (CGF.AU), Growthpoint Properties Australia (GOZ.AU)
India:
Earnings:
HDFC Life Insurance (540777.IN)
Taiwan:
Earnings:
Yageo (2327.TT), Taiwan Semiconductor (2330.TT)
Market Data:
Gold (Jun 24): ($6.70) or (0.28%) to $2381.70
WTI Crude (May 24): +$0.09 or +0.11% to $82.78
$-¥: (0.42) or (0.27%) to 154.2770
$-KRW: (13.08) or (0.94%) to 1376.8700
A$-$: +0.00 or +0.58% to 0.6437
$-INR: (0.05) or (0.06%) to 83.5951
$-CNY: 0.00 or 0.00% to 7.2374
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