Sep 08 ,2024
Synopsis:
Asian markets set for negative start to Monday trade. Futures signaling sharp initial declines in Japan and more than 1% drop in Australia. S&P 500 futures flat following post-payrolls selloff on US markets. Australian bonds weakening, contrasting with Treasury curve bull steepening on Friday. FX markets steady with dollar erasing post-payrolls decline while yen continued to strengthen. Crude recovering after slipping to lowest since Juin-2023. Gold and copper flat after swinging down from earlier highs. Bitcoin clawing back heavy losses sustained Friday.
Markets begin new week grappling with renewed concerns about growth outlook following weak August US nonfarm payrolls jobs growth. Data seemed to put more traction behind "bad news is bad news" narrative with markets not judging figures bad enough to prompt a 50 bp Fed rate cut this month. Subsequent Fedspeak also seemed to reflect support for a 25 bp cut.
Soft US payrolls led to more yen strength with currency near highest against dollar since beginning of January. Another sizable Treasury rally heightened attention on narrowing US-Japan yield differential as concerns about US growth outlook contrasted with normalization rhetoric from BOJ policymakers, which also seemed to revive concerns yen carry unwind may have more room to run.
China inflation data forecast to show CPI inflation picked up in August though PPI deflation expected to have worsened. Comes after August official manufacturing PMI showed inflation metrics notably weaker with input and output prices falling relatively sharply. Similarly, Caixin PMI showed fall in average input costs amid declining raw material prices, prompting reduction in selling prices.
Pre-open Company News:
9684.JP -- Square Enix Holdings downgraded to underperform from hold at Jefferies
512179.IN -- Sunteck Realty releases business responsibility and sustainability report
543064.IN -- FDA categorizes inspection of Suven Pharmaceuticals' Casper Pharma facility in Hyderabad as voluntary action indicated and deems it as closed
M44U.SP -- Mapletree Logistics Trust upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
3569.JP -- Seiren holder Oasis Management discloses 6.28% stake
9969.HK -- InnoCare Pharma announces Phase 2 Meeting with FDA regarding development of orelabrutinib
1802.JP -- Obayashi initiated B+ at Mito Securities
2689.HK -- Nine Dragons Paper Holdings initiated buy at Citic Securities
968.HK -- Xinyi Solar Holdings upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
600398.CH -- HLA Group announces resignation of Ya Ping Qian as CFO
386.HK -- Sinopec (China Petroleum & Chemical) initiated outperform at Haitong
6699.HK -- Angelalign Technology upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS
US CPI, China activity data, ECB meeting among this week's highlights:
543275.IN -- Anupam Rasayan India releases business responsibility and sustainability report
4568.JP -- Daiichi Sankyo presents results from IDeate-Lung01 phase 2 trial of I-DXd at 2024 World Conference on Lung Cancer
On Deck:
China:
Economic:
08:00 CST: M2 NSA Y/Y; consensus +6.4%
08:00 CST: Loan Growth Y/Y; consensus
08:00 CST: New Yuan Loans; consensus
09:30 CST: CPI NSA Y/Y; consensus +0.7%
09:30 CST: PPI NSA Y/Y; consensus (1.5%)
Japan:
Economic:
08:50 JST: GDP Y/Y (Final); consensus (0.8%)
08:50 JST: GDP SA Q/Q (Final); consensus +0.8%
08:50 JST: Bank Loans NSA Y/Y; consensus
08:50 JST: GDP SAAR Q/Q (Final); consensus +3.1%
Earnings:
Kura Sushi (2695.JP)
Australia:
Earnings:
Highfield Resources (HFR.AU), Syrah Resources (SYR.AU)
Taiwan:
Economic:
16:00 TST: Export NSA Y/Y; consensus +9%
Market Data:
Gold (Dec 24): +$0.80 or +0.03% to $2525.40
WTI Crude (Oct 24): +$0.63 or +0.93% to $68.30
$-¥: +0.06 or +0.04% to 142.3720
$-KRW: (0.85) or (0.06%) to 1337.7700
A$-$: +0.00 or +0.06% to 0.6672
$-INR: +0.00 or +0.00% to 83.9876
$-CNY: (0.00) or (0.01%) to 7.0879
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