Oct 03 ,2024
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open in negative territory amidst Asian equities mixed Thursday. Nikkei rebounding amid tamping down of rate hike speculation. Real estate developers driving Hang Seng's pull back following prior rally. Mainland China and Korean markets closed for holiday. Taiwan shut due to typhoon activity. S&P 500 futures flat afterhours. Bonds weaker with JGB and Treasury yields up 1-2 bp. Yen sustaining further losses against dollar. Crude pushing higher amid heightened Middle East tensions. Gold fluctuating while base metals generally weaker. Bitcoin recovering after earlier falling towards two-week low.
Of note, Germany has a public holiday for Unity Day (stock market is open).
Central bank narrative in focus. In an interview with the Guardian , BoE Governor Bailey said it is watching developments in the Middle East and the impact on oil, but held out the prospect of being a bit more aggressive on rate cuts if the news on inflation continued to be good. Bailey noted that the economy had proved more resilient than expected and came through shocks better than feared. Backed the government's focus on capital investment and defended the Bank's handling of the inflation shock.
Among central banks speakers, Riksbank's Jansson speech at 8:00CET at event seminar organised by Danske Bank, BOE's Lovell panellist at 8:45CET at The Economist EuroFinance International Treasury Management Conf (Wed-Fri) and BOE's Benford speech at 9:00BST at event organised by the A-Team Group. Bank of Latvia's Krasovska panellist at 15:20CET at the RIGA COMM (through Sat) panel discussion on Latvia's FinTech strategy. In other developments, Chancellor Scholz delivers a speech in the afternoon in Schwerin
Macroeconomic data due today include: Italy, Spain, Sweden Sep services PMI as well as final reads for Eurozone, France, Germany and UK, Switzerland Sep CPI, Eurozone Aug PPI.
In corporate news, yesterday after the close Air Liquide (AI.FP) issued pre-Q3 sales update: currency impact estimated to be ~(3%) for both Group and Gas & Services revenue. Still in France, Bouygues' Bouygues Telecom (EN.FP) confirmed its 2024 guidance. In the DACH region, Zurich Insurance Group (ZURN.SW) on track to exceed all current targets. Sika (SIKA.SW) to hold CMD today where CEO Thomas Hasler will highlight how higher requirements for durability and circularity are changing the industry. In the UK, British Land Co. (BLND.LN) provided H1 trading update. Tesco (TSCO.LN) and Galliford Try Holdings (GFRD.LN) are expected to update investors today.
Macro/Politics/World News
Double-down or pivot to Labour: the choice facing Tory think-tanks - FT
Why Macron Is Warning the EU 'Could Die' - Bloomberg
Bank of England governor watching Middle East crisis closely - Guardian
EU has enough support to impose Chinese EV tariffs, sources say - Reuters
UK house sales rise at fastest pace in three years, data shows - FT
UK Jobs Market Tightens Amid Fears Over Taxes, Worker Rights - Bloomberg
Brexit talks are back, forever - Politico
Top company news
Earnings/updates
AI.FP (Air Liquide) -- issues pre-Q3 sales update: currency impact estimated to be ~(3%) for both Group and Gas & Services revenue
ZURN.SW (Zurich Insurance Group) -- on track to exceed all current targets
EN.FP (Bouygues) -- Bouygues' Telecom confirms its 2024 guidance
VNA.GR (Vonovia) -- updates on liquidity generation: expects 2024 total liquidity inflow of around €4B, on a par with previous year's level
BLND.LN (British Land Co.) -- provides H1 trading update
BCP.PL (Banco Comercial Portugues) -- informs about specific items impact on Q3 financial results of Bank Millennium, S.A.
M&A
TIT.IM (Telecom Italia) -- receives non-binding offer for Sparkle for an enterprise value of €700M
VNA.GR (Vonovia) -- updates on liquidity generation: expects 2024 total liquidity inflow of around €4B, on a par with previous year's level
BLND.LN (British Land Co.) -- acquires portfolio of seven high quality retail parks for £441M
CO.FP (Casino Guichard-Perrachon) -- completes two waves of store disposals
SVEG.NO (Sparebanken Vest) -- Sparebanken Sør general meeting approves merger with Sparebanken Vest
LRE.SM (Lar España Real Estate) -- Helios RE increases price of takeover bid for Lar España to €8.3 per share
NVM.GR (Novem Group) -- announces potential delisting acquisition offer for shares from entity affiliated with main shareholder and potential delisting
TXT.IM (TXT e-Solutions) -- acquires Focus PLM S.r.l. for an undisclosed sum
Healthcare
IBAB.BB (Ion Beam Applications) -- and Jules Bordet Institute to lead IHI project Accelerate.EU to create complete Astatine-211 value chain
IRLAB.A.SS (IRLAB Therapeutics) -- announces positive data from the first part of it's Phase I study with IRL757
Other
MC.FP (LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) -- Formula One announces LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton to become a global partner in 2025
GOGL.NO (Golden Ocean Group) -- Golden Ocean's board extends existing buyback program for further 12 months
SIKA.SW (Sika Group) -- Sika to hold CMD today
BLND.LN (British Land Co.) -- intends to raise gross proceeds of £300M through institutional placing
Key rating changes
Upgrades
BMW.GR (Bayerische Motoren Werke) -- upgraded to equal weight at Barclays
TEF.SM (Telefonica) -- upgraded to hold at HSBC
IMB.LN (Imperial Brands) -- upgraded to overweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
Downgrades
AML.LN (Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings) -- to hold from buy at Jefferies; to hold from buy at HSBC
MBG.GR (Mercedes-Benz Group) -- to equal weight at Barclays
PAH3.GR (Porsche Automobil Holding SE) -- to underweight at Barclays
STLAM.IM (Stellantis) -- to equal weight at Barclays
ELISA.FH (Elisa Oyj) -- to hold from buy at HSBC
PROX.BB (Proximus) -- to reduce from hold at HSBC
TELIA.SS (Telia Co.) -- to sell from hold at ABG Sundal Collier
BATS.LN (British American Tobacco) -- to underweight at Morgan Stanley
Initiations
BUFAB.SS (Bufab) -- initiated buy at ABG Sundal Collier
Other Actions
SDF.GR (K+S AG) -- transferred neutral at JPMorgan; prior rating was overweight
Data
Nikkei +2.00% to 38563.72
Hang Seng (1.98%) to 21998.70
Shanghai Composite +0.00% to 3336.50
S&P futures (10.0) vs prior close of 5760.3
€-$ (0.0017) or (0.15%) to 1.1030
$-¥ +0.24 or +0.16% to 146.64
€-¥ (0.05) or (0.03%) to 161.72
This information and data is provided for general informational purposes only. The Bank of New York Mellon and our information suppliers do not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of this information or data. We provide no advice nor recommendation or endorsement with respect to any company or securities. We do not undertake any obligation to update or amend this information or data. Nothing herein shall be deemed to constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities.
Please refer to "Terms Of Use".
DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS:
NOT FDIC, STATE OR FEDERAL AGENCY INSURED
MAY LOSE VALUE
NO BANK, STATE OR FEDERAL AGENCY GUARANTEE