Oct 20 ,2024
Synopsis:
Asian markets set for mixed start to Monday trade. Futures signaling opening gains in Japan and slight decline in Hong Kong. ASX higher in initial trade. S&P 500 futures gaining after posting fresh all-time high on Friday. Australian and New Zealand bonds flat. Crude steady following last week's 9% drop. Gold making fresh record high. FX markets little changed with yen consolidating around 150-per dollar. Bitcoin pushing towards three-month high.
China expected to reduce 1Y and 5Y loan prime rates (LPR) by 20 bp today. PBOC Governor Pan had flagged similar sized cuts on Friday after China's major banks moved to lower their deposit rates. To be followed by MLF decision Friday, though no change expected there after rate was cut by 30 bp in September. Pan also foreshadowed 25-50 bp cut to RRRs for banks by year-end depending on liquidity conditions.
Takeaways from China activity data on Friday noted the upside surprise in headline metrics, with retail sales beat reflecting trade-in program. Some economists upgraded 2024 GDP growth forecasts, reflecting September's data but also impetus from recent stimulus measures. However, outlook for property market more uncertain with Hang Seng Mainland Properties index down 20% from early October highs amid lingering stimulus skepticism.
In prepared remarks on Friday BOJ Governor Ueda reiterated that global outlook remain uncertain with markets unstable, warranting ongoing close attention and assessment of impact on outlook scenario. BOJ expected to leave policy settings unchanged at its 31-Oct meeting, though recent rhetoric has leaned dovish and economists have nudged rate hike calls into Q1 2025.
Pre-open Company News:
032830.KS -- Samsung Life Insurance Co. upgraded to buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs
500188.IN -- Hindustan Zinc upgraded to neutral from sell at Phillip Capital
544045.IN -- DOMS Industries initiated buy at Prabhudas Lilladher
OSP.TB -- Osotspa Public downgraded to hold from add at CGS International
532497.IN -- Radico Khaitan initiated buy at DAM Capital
3008.TT -- LARGAN Precision downgraded to Trading buy from Buy at IBF Securities
2343.HK -- Pacific Basin Shipping upgraded to outperform from hold at Daiwa
600958.CH -- Orient Securities upgraded to hold from reduce at HSBC
600000.CH -- Shanghai Pudong Development Bank downgraded to hold from buy at HSBC
600660.CH -- Fuyao Glass Industry Group upgraded to buy from hold at Daiwa
601058.CH -- Sailun Group initiated buy at Daiwa
004170.KS -- Shinsegae downgraded to hold from buy at HSBC
533573.IN -- Alembic Pharmaceuticals announces USFDA final approval for Diltiazem Hydrochloride Extended-Release Capsules USP, 120 mg, 180 mg, and 240 mg
300433.CH -- Lens Technology reports Q3 net income attributable CNY1.51B vs year-ago CNY1.10B
788.HK -- China Tower upgraded to buy from neutral at Nomura
On Deck:
China:
Economic:
08:00 CST: Foreign Direct Investment Y/Y; consensus
09:30 CST: 1 Year Loan Prime Rate; consensus
Earnings:
Lens Technology (300433.CH)
Hong Kong:
Earnings:
ZTE (763.HK), CLP Holdings (2.HK), China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (81.HK)
New Zealand:
Earnings:
Genesis Energy (GNE.NZ)
India:
Earnings:
CG Power & Industrial Solutions (500093.IN), City Union Bank (532210.IN), UltraTech Cement (532538.IN), Bajaj Housing Finance (544252.IN), HFCL Ltd (500183.IN), 360 One Wam (542772.IN), Route Mobile (543228.IN)
Malaysia:
Economic:
00:00 EST: GDP NSA Y/Y (Preliminary); consensus +5.05%
Market Data:
Gold (Dec 24): +$8.20 or +0.30% to $2738.20
WTI Crude (Nov 24): +$0.18 or +0.26% to $69.40
$-¥: +0.01 or +0.01% to 149.5480
$-KRW: (0.50) or (0.04%) to 1369.0100
A$-$: +0.00 or +0.06% to 0.6711
$-INR: +0.00 or +0.00% to 84.0692
$-CNY: (0.00) or (0.01%) to 7.1008
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