Nov 20 ,2024
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open in positive territory amidst mixed Asian equities on Wednesday. Greater China markets little changed while Japan and Australia seeing mild declines. S&P 500 futures higher afterhours.
Debate is heating up within Germany's SPD as to whether Scholz is still the right candidate for chancellor. SPD senior figures held a telephone conf on Tuesday, but no results have been made public. Pressure is piling on Scholz to let someone else lead his Social Democrats into the Feb-25 snap election. There are growing calls in the SPD for Scholz to step aside in favour of his more popular defence minister, Boris Pistorius (Welt , Reuters , Süddeutsche Zeitung).
In the UK, weekly PMQs at 12noon GMT, whilst Sec. of State at Scotland Office before committee at 9:30, with other committee topics include Work of the Dept for Energy Security and Net Zero at 15:00 (speakers include Chair at Great British Energy). Norway's defence minister Gram attends meetings in the Northern Group - UK-led format involves 12 countries - 3 Baltic countries, 5 Nordic countries, Poland, the Netherlands and Germany, and the Nordic-Baltic Eight (NB8), both in Copenhagen. Also, OMFIF / Frankfurt School of Finance and Management event on macroeconomics and capital markets.
On the central bank front, ECB publishes at 10:00CET its latest Financial Stability Review and ECB's Lagarde speech at 14:00CET at ECB conf on financial stability and macroprudential policy 2024, with ECB's de Guindos speech ay 19:00CET. BOE's Ramsden speech at 16:00GMT on monetary policy at the Univ. of Leeds whilst Bank of Greece's Stournaras speech at 18:30GMT at event organised by Birkbeck, Univ of London. Ireland central bank's Makhlouf speech at 19:00GMT at Financial Services Ireland Annual Dinner and Latvia central bank's Kazāks participates in a discussion on LTV. BaFin annual conference of insurance supervision.
Macro data due include UK Oct CPI/RPI/PPI input/output, Germany Oct PPI, Denmark Q3 preliminary GDP and Eurozone Sep construction output.
In earnings, SGS (SGSN.SW) is hosting its CMD where it said it focuses on Strategy 27 and confirms financial objectives and willa acquire MP Machinery. dormakaba Holding (DOKA.SW) also reiterated its mid-term targets ahead of its CMD. In France, STMicroelectronics (STMPA.FP) reiterated its $20B+ revenue ambition by 2030 in connection with its CMD and introduces 2027-2028 intermediate model whilst VINCI (DG.FP) reported Oct airport passenger traffic, +6.2%. Renalytix (RENX.LN) reported Q1 GAAP EPS ($0.04) vs year-ago ($0.11).
On the M&A front, Symrise (SY1.GR) made an offer to acquire Probi for SEK350/share in cash whilst Bloomberg reported Rubis (RUI.FP) is exploring a potential sale. Grifols (GRF.SM) said its board would not recommend shareholders accept potential offer by Brookfield (BAM) at indicated price.
CMD/investor events hosted by STMicroelectronics (STMPA.FP), Nexans (NEX.FP), SGS (SGSN.SW), dormakaba Holding (DOKA.SW), F-Secure (FSECURE.FH), Sinch (SINCH.SS) and Deutsche Rohstoff (DR0.GR).
Macro
Top company news
Earnings/updates
DACHs:
SGSN.SW (SGS) -- focuses on Strategy 27 at its Capital Markets Event, fully confirms financial objectives, acquires MP Machinery
DOKA.SW (dormakaba Holding) -- reiterates its mid-term targets - CMD
EFGN.SW (EFG International) -- reports 10-months business update: net new assets CHF 7.4B, corresponding to annualised growth rate of 6.3%
BALN.SW (Baloise) -- reports YTD business volume CHF6.89B as of 30-Sept vs year-ago CHF6.94B
KTCG.AV (Kapsch TrafficCom) -- reports H1 EPS (€0.73) including items vs year-ago €3.59; reaffirms FY2024/25 outlook
France:
STMPA.FP (STMicroelectronics) -- reiterates $20B+ revenue ambition by 2030; introduces 2027-2028 intermediate model -- CMD
DG.FP (VINCI SA) -- Vinci Airports Oct airport passenger traffic, +6.2%
Nordics:
EOLU.B.SS (Eolus Vind) -- reports Q3 EPS (SEK3.16) vs FactSet (SEK1.30) [1 est]
PEN.NO (Panoro Energy) -- reports Q3 EPS $0.00 vs year-ago $0.24
NRC.NO (NRC Group) -- reports Q3 EPS (NOK0.13) vs year-ago NOK0.66
UK:
RENX.LN (Renalytix) -- reports Q1 GAAP EPS ($0.04) vs year-ago ($0.11) - 10-Q
Southern Europe:
TLGO.SM (Talgo) -- reports 9M net income €6.7M vs FactSet €8.4M
M&A
GIMB.BB (Gimv) -- sells it's majority stake in outpatient rehabilitation specialist rehaneo to Fremman Capital
GRF.SM (Grifols) -- announces board would not recommend shareholders accept potential offer by Brookfield at indicated price
RUI.FP (Rubis) -- exploring potential sale - Bloomberg
PROB.SS (Probi) --
Symrise offers to acquire Probi for SEK350/share in cash
Probi's independent bid committee will now evaluate the Symrise's public takeover offer
SRI.IM (Servizi Italia) -- Cometa S.r.l. (owned by Aurum and Coopservice) announces final result of offer for Servizi Italia; holds ~95.1% (post EU close 19-Nov)
SGSN.SW (SGS) -- focuses on Strategy 27 at its Capital Markets Event, fully confirms financial objectives, acquires MP Machinery
SDG.FP (Synergie) -- announces acquisition of minority shareholder's stake in Italia
ALHEX.FP (Hexaom) -- Follow-up: Hexaom reports Q3 revenue €144.7M, (29%) vs year-ago €203.6M
Healthcare
NOVO.B.DC (Novo Nordisk) -- announced results from part 1 of the ongoing Phase 3 ESSENCE trial. Part 1 evaluated the effect of once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide 2.4 mg on liver tissue (histology)
UCB.BB (UCB) -- receives US FDA approval for BIMZELX (bimekizumab-bkzx) as the first IL-17A and IL-17F inhibitor for adults with moderate to severe hidradenitis suppurativa
INDV.LN (Indivior) -- presents data demonstrating rapid initiation (RI) with once-monthly SUBLOCADE superior to standard initiation for treating opioid use disorder at CSAM 2024
ABVX.FP (Abivax) --
files $350M equity shelf - F-3
enters into ATM program of up to $150M ADS' with Piper Sandler
RENX.LN (Renalytix) -- SEC filing: 10-Q
ORNBV.FH (Orion) -- and Alligator Bioscience amend their agreement concerning two bispecific antibodies
IBAB.BB (Ion Beam Applications) -- signs contract with Benebion for the installation of a Rhodotron at a facility in Mexico
ATORX.SS (Alligator Bioscience) -- Follow-up: Alligator announces sale of future financial commitments for two bispecific antibodies to Orion Corporation
Other
EBUS.NA (Ebusco Holding) -- completes €36M rights issue
NOKIA.FH (Nokia) -- T-Mobile (TMUS) says it hasn't made any decision to end supplier relationship with Nokia -- Bloomberg
ML.FP (Cie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SA) -- Michelin publishes global tire market data for Oct
EDEN.FP (Edenred) -- increases share buyback mandate by €39M
BORR.NO (Borr Drilling) -- receives notice of temporary suspension of operation for its rig "Arabia II", operating in Saudi Arabia
HTWS.LN (Helios Towers) -- Holder Arbejdsmarkedets Tillægspension to place ~50.6M shares in Helios Towers plc via BofA Securities
Boeing, Raytheon and BAE Systems named primary contractors for $6.2B sale to Republic of Korea
State Department approves possible Foreign Military Sale to Korea of F-15K Aircraft Upgrade
Key rating changes
Upgrades
COL.SM (Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI) -- buy from neutral at JB Capital Markets
EQNR.NO (Equinor) -- to buy from neutral at Redburn Atlantic
REMEDY.FH (Remedy Entertainment) -- to buy from accumulate at Inderes
Bernstein upgrades EDP.PL, EDPR.PL
JPMorgan upgrades BZU.IM, HOLN.SW
AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- to neutral from sell at UBS
EDEN.FP (Edenred) -- to hold from underperform at Jefferies
UU.LN (United Utilities Group) -- to buy from hold at Deutsche Numis
Downgrades
GLPG.NA (Galapagos) -- to reduce from hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
EZJ.LN (EasyJet) -- to hold from buy at HSBC (timing uncertain)
SSPG.LN (SSP Group) -- to neutral from overweight at JPMorgan
PHLL.LN (Petershill Partners) -- to hold from buy at Deutsche Numis
Other Actions
Barclays transfers ABN.NA, INGA.NA, KBC.BB
NCAB.SS (NCAB Group) -- initiated buy at Pareto
LNA.FP LNA (Santé) -- initiated buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
YUBICO.SS (Yubico) -- initiated buy at Nordea
AVOL.SW (Avolta) -- initiated buy at Berenberg
SGRO.LN (Segro) -- resumed hold at Jefferies; prior rating was hold
NEL.NO (NEL) -- reinitiated reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux
Data
Nikkei (0.16%) to 38352.34
Hang Seng +0.13% to 19688.83
Shanghai Composite +0.44% to 3360.64
S&P futures +14.8 vs prior close of 5938.8
€-$ (0.0007) or (0.07%) to 1.0589
$-¥ +0.72 or +0.47% to 155.38
€-¥ +0.62 or +0.38% to 164.50
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