Dec 10 ,2024
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open lower, whilst Asian equities are mostly higher on Tuesday. China markets are extending gains following the latest stimulus headlines. Korean stocks rebounded following the latest pledges of support. Japan is pushing higher, while Australia and Taiwan are weaker. S&P 500 futures flat.
Markets remain attuned to China stimulus headlines following the Politburo meeting. Dovish takeaways highlighted a looser monetary policy stance next year, along with an emphasis on domestic demand. Comes as China Economic Work Conference is slated to run this week, where leaders will discuss economic and policy priorities for 2025 amid calls for a meaningful step-up in fiscal support to revive domestic demand.
On today's agenda, ECOFIN meeting, ECB's de Guindos among the participants. Latest deadline for Belgium's Bart De Wever to break the deadlock in the federal government formation talks, with chances of an agreement looking remote (Brussels Times). Bruegel event The future of electricity demand; How can Europe increase electricity demand to drive decarbonization and economic growth?. Dubai International Motor Show (through Thu). EU's von der Leyen meets with the President of Moldova, Sandu, and EU's Ribera speech at 8:45CET at event hosted by Charles River Ass. Chancellor Scholz hosts President of the Republic of Serbia, Vučić. EU Agri-Food Days (through Thu) speakers include EU's Hansen. In UK, parliamentary committee topics include Work of the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) 10:00GMT and Ukraine 10:30
European macro data releases include Germany Nov final CPI, Italy Oct industrial production, Denmark Nov CPI, Norway Nov CPI, Sweden Oct industrial production, Netherlands Nov final CPI, Oct manufacturing production, Greece Nov CPI, Oct industrial production
In corporate news, Allianz (ALV.GR) introduces new group financial targets for the 2024-2027 period, including an EPS CAGR of 7-9% ahead of its CMD today. In Sweden, yesterday after the market close, Husqvarna (HUSQ.B.SS) guided Q4 operating income of (SEK 700M) - (SEK 800M) vs FactSet (SEK 467.1M), citing continued challenging market conditions with intensified promotional activities, particularly in North America, impacting the company's financial performance. In the Netherlands, Aalberts (AALB.NA) indicated that it is on track to realise 2026 objectives and set new targets for 2030 ahead of its CMD today. Other notable companies due to report today include Colruyt Group (COLR.BB) and Ashtead Group (AHT.LN).
In M&A, Roche (ROG.SW) commenced a tender offer for all shares of Poseida Therapeutics for $9.00/share in cash, plus non-tradeable contingent value right for up to $4.00/share in cash. In the UK, Bloomberg reported that Prudential (PRU.LN) is considering options, including selling a ~30% stake in Eastspring Investments. People familiar with the matter say that a potential stake sale may value Eastspring at ~$3B (£2.35B).
Kantar's latest UK grocery market share figures and update on inflation for the 12 weeks ending 1 December 2024 will be released at 8:00am UK time.
Politics/Macro/World News
AllianceBernstein to sue Switzerland over $17bn Credit Suisse debt wipeout - FT
Germany and France agree to work with Syrian rebels on 'basis of fundamental human rights' - Politico
Macron Widens Talks in Quest for Stable French Government - Bloomberg
Poland Calls on Germany to Show Leadership With Defense Spending - Bloomberg
Netherlands Nov CPI +4.0% y/y vs preliminary +4.0%
Netherlands Oct Manufacturing Production (0.6%) m/m vs consensus (2.5%) and prior revised (2.5%) from (3.0%)
Top company news
Earnings/updates
Nordics
HUSQ.B.SS (Husqvarna) -- estimates Q4 operating income of (SEK 700M) - (SEK 800M) vs FactSet (SEK 467.1M)
KIT.NO (Kitron) -- reports reiterates FY guidance at capital markets day; guides FY revenue €635-660M vs FactSet €647.6M
RUSTA.SS (Rusta) -- reports Q2 EPS SEK0.4 vs year-ago SEK0.4
France
EAPI.FP (Euroapi) -- appoints Emmanuel Blin as Chairman & David Seignolle as CEO, effective immediately; reaffirms FY24 guidance
DACHs
MRX.GR (Mister Spex) -- reports Black Friday results; like-for-like sales soared by over 30% compared to 2023
ALV.GR (Allianz) -- introduces new group financial targets for the 2024-2027 period including EPS CAGR of 7-9% -- CMD
Benelux
VVY.NA (Vivoryon Therapeutics) -- reports 9M net income (€17.1M) vs year-ago (€17.1M); extends cash runway
AALB.NA (Aalberts) --says it is on track to realise 2026 objectives; sets 2030 targets - CMD
Also due to report today
Earnings:
Benelux: Colruyt Group (COLR.BB)
DACHs: METRO (B4B.GR)
France: MedinCell (MEDCL.FP)
Other: Pepco Group (PCO.PW)
UK: Ashtead Group (AHT.LN), Moonpig Group (MOON.LN), NCC Group (NCC.LN), Begbies Traynor Group (BEG.LN), Solid State (SOLI.LN), Naked Wines (WINE.LN)
Trading Update: Groupe Partouche SA (PARP.FP)
CMD/events:Deutsche Lufthansa (LHA.GR) - Technik, Barclays (BARC.LN) Private Bank and Wealth Management Deep Dive, adidas (ADS) - SdK event
M&A
CG (Carlyle Group) -- TeamViewer in advanced talks to acquire 1E from Carlyle Group for over $700M (€663M) - Bloomberg
PSTX (Poseida Therapeutics) -- Roche commences tender offer for all shares of Poseida Therapeutics for $9.00/share in cash, plus non-tradeable contingent value right for up to $4.00/share in cash
7732.JP (Topcon) -- KKR, EQT make offers for Topcon - Bloomberg
PRU.LN (Prudential) -- considering options including selling ~30% stake in Eastspring Investments - Bloomberg
VLTSA.FP (Voltalia) -- sells 12 megawatts in France
BRNK.GR (Branicks Group) -- has notarized sale of logistics center in Hochheim on 29-Nov-24
AGAS.NO (Avance Gas Holding) -- completes eighth VLGC delivery to BW LPG
MGH.AU (MAAS Group) -- among the bidders for Buckeridge Group of Companies assets - The Australian
HIG reportedly has submitted formal bid for Kantar Media -- Sky News
Japanese banks seeking M&A targets in pursuit of overseas expansion - Bloomberg
Healthcare
ABBV (AbbVie) -- reports new results from two ongoing trials of epcoritamab in DLBCL presented at ASH
GSK.LN (GSK Plc) -- GSK announces overall survival (OS) results from planned interim analysis of DREAMM-7 trial
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- announces new data from three oral presentations on clinical benefit of Sarclisa-based quadruplets in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients at ASH '24
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- Genentech presents new and updated data from CD20xCD3 T-cell-engaging bispecific antibody program at 66th ASH Annual Meeting & Exposition
GRF.SM (Grifols) -- appoints Pascal Ravery and Paul Herendeen to its board
GMAB.DC (Genmab) -- Two Data Analyses from Clinical Trials Show Epcoritamab (DuoBody CD3xCD20) Induces Durable, Complete Responses as Monotherapy and Combination Treatment in Patients With Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (DLBCL)
VLA.FP (Valneva) -- Valneva announces the publication of an article on the global health and economic burden of mosquito-borne disease chikungunya in The BMJ, one of the world's leading peer-reviewed medical journals.
CPIX (Cumberland Pharmaceuticals) -- announces FDA approves ACETADOTE sNDA
NANO.FP (Nanobiotix) -- announces completion of phase 1 study of NBTXR3 (JNJ-1900) in pancreatic cancer
SANN.SW (Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding) -- receives positive recommendation from UK's NICE for Agamree as a treatment for DMD
MEDCL.FP (MedinCell) -- MedinCell, Arthritis Innovation Corporation unveil new positive Phase 3 results for mdc-CWM showing reduced pain and opioid use, and accelerated rehabilitation for major subgroup of patients following Total Knee Replacement
Other
SGSN.SW (SGS) -- unites testing, inspection and certification of climate action services under its new IMPACT NOW for sustainability suite
BORR.NO (Borr Drilling) -- secures contract commitment for jack-up rig Norve in West Africa, worth $58M
VPK.NA (Royal Vopak) -- completes €300M share buyback program
MELE.BB (Melexis) -- to commence share buy-back program of up to 850K shares for an amount of up to €50M
ALO.FP (Alstom) -- to provide operations and maintenance services for Metrolink in Southern California; base contract worth $515M or $860M if extended
ALV.GR (Allianz) -- SE to amend Dividend Policy and convert it into broader Capital Management Policy
CA.FP (Carrefour) -- completes €700M share buyback program announced on 20-Feb-24
INF.LN (Informa) -- SEC filing: SC 13D (Filed by PLC)
LI.FP (Klepierre) -- sees 7% footfall increase y/y in its European centers between 29-Nov and 1-Dec-24
SAAB.B.SS (Saab) -- receives Giraffe 4A radar order for the U.S. Air Force in Europe
BAMI.IM (Banco BPM) -- Credit Agricole could raise stake further in Banco BPM but only up to a maximum of 19.99% of the share capital
Key rating changes
Upgrades
ITG.LN (UNITE Group) -- to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
BLND.LN (British Land Co.) -- to buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs (timing uncertain)
TIT.IM (Telecom Italia) -- to overweight from equal weight at Barclays
AVCT.LN (Avacta Group) -- to hold from sell at Deutsche Bank
DWS.GR (DWS Group) -- to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
HIK.LN (Hikma Pharmaceuticals) -- to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital Markets
MEL.SM (Melia Hotels International) -- to outperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
Downgrades
GFC.FP (Gecina) -- to neutral from overweight at JPMorgan
LMP.LN (LondonMetric Property) -- to neutral from overweight at JPMorgan
COFB.BB (Cofinimmo) -- to underweight from neutral at JPMorgan
KOJAMO.FH (Kojamo) -- to underweight from neutral at JPMorgan
LI.FP (Klepierre) -- to underweight from neutral at JPMorgan
AKSO.NO (Aker Solutions) -- to hold from buy at Pareto
BT.A.LN (BT Group) -- to equal weight from overweight at Barclays
KPN.NA (Royal KPN) -- to equal weight from overweight at Barclays
COP.GR (CompuGroup Medical) -- to hold from buy at Berenberg
SDR.LN (Schroders) -- to neutral from overweight at JPMorgan
N91.LN (Ninety One Plc) -- to underweight from neutral at JPMorgan
ALLFG.NA (Allfunds Group) -- to underperform from outperform at Oddo
Initiations
TRUE.B.SS (Truecaller) -- buy at Nordea
SSPG.LN (SSP Group) -- buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
Others
TET.LN (Treatt) -- transferred hold at Deutsche Numis; prior rating was hold
Data
Nikkei +0.53% to 39367.58
Hang Seng +0.23% to 20461.62
Shanghai Composite +0.76% to 3428.44
S&P futures (5.0) vs prior close of 6065.8
€-$ +0.0009 or +0.09% to 1.0565
$-¥ +0.01 or +0.00% to 151.23
€-¥ +0.17 or +0.11% to 159.76
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