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StreetAccount Summary - Europe Pre-Open: FTSE flat, DAX +0.5%, CAC +0.5%, IBEX +0.5%, MIB +0.5%

Jan 06 ,2025

  • Synopsis

    • European equity markets set to open mostly higher (UK's FTSE 100 indicated flat). Last week, European equity markets posted a mixed performance in a holiday-shortened week with few notable developments. STOXX 600 was up just 0.20%, following choppy performance in Dec-2024 and the worst quarterly performance in nearly two years.

    • Asia equities trading mixed Monday. A very strong day in Taiwan and South Korea as tech stocks jump sharply. Japan stocks lagging. China services activity expands at fastest pace in seven months.

    • In Europe, still relatively quiet but newsflow likely to pick up in the latter part of the week with earnings/updates due from the likes of Sika (SIKA.SW), Tesco (TSCO.LN), Next (NXT.LN), Danske Bank (DANSKE.DC), Sodexo (SW.FP) and Volvo Car (VOLCAR.B.SS).

    • Focus on Austria political landscape with the country headed for fresh coalition talks led by the far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ) after efforts to form a centrist government without the FPO fell apart and prompted Chancellor Karl Nehammer to resign. Nehammer's successor, Christian Stocker, is open to negotiating with the FPÖ. Today, FPÖ leader Herbert Kickl is scheduled to meet with Austria's president, Alexander Van der Bellen.

    • Note that Sweden, Greece and Finland are closed today for the Epiphany holiday (with bank holidays in several other countries though stock markets remain open). In USA, NYSE and NASDAQ to close on Thu to honor Jimmy Carter.

    • European macro data releases out today include Germany prelim Dec CPI, Switzerland Nov Retail Sales, Sweden/Spain/Italy/France/Germany/Eurozone/UK Dec Services PMI, Eurozone Jan Sentix Investor Confidence, Portugal Nov Unemployment Rate, Netherlands Nov retail sales. Also Germany and UK Dec new car registrations.

    • In central banks, the first of the ECB Economic Bulletin pre-releases at 10:00CET. In UK, MPs return after Christmas Recess and begin with questions on defence, and parliament will debate a petition to call a General Election.

  • Macro/politics

    • ECB has been too slow to cut rates, Eurozone economists warn -- FT, citing poll

    • UK business morale hits two-year low after tax rises, survey shows -- Reuters, citing BCC

    • Austrian Far Right Leader Kickl Gets Chance to Form Government -- Bloomberg

    • Austria's president to meet far-right leader amid coalition speculation -- Guardian

    • Italy Plans $1.6 Billion SpaceX Telecom Security Services Deal -- Bloomberg

    • China's PBOC Vows More Support for Innovation and Consumption -- Bloomberg

  • Top company news

    • Earnings/updates

      • STLAM.IM (Stellantis) -- FCA US reports Q4 sales of 320,743 vehicles, (7%) y/y

      • VOW3.GR (Volkswagen) -- of America reports Q4 sales 103,194; +7.0% y/y

      • AI.FP (Air Liquide) -- announces availability of pre-FY 2024 results communication

      • BAKKA.NO (Bakkafrost) -- reports Q4 harvest volumes 20.4Kt vs prior 27.0Kt

    • M&A

      • MUX.GR (Mutares SE & Co KGaA) -- Iveco Group transfers full ownership of Magirus to Mutares; deal was announced 13-Mar

      • URW.FP (URW) -- sells 15% stake in Westfield Forum des Halles to CDC Investissement Immobilier for €235M

      • EXA.FP (Exail Technologies) -- acquires Leukos, a company specializing in lasers, including supercontinuum lasers. Terms were not disclosed

      • Databricks, Snowflake spoke (separately) about acquiring AI search startup Voyage - The Information

    • Healthcare

      • NOVO.B.DC (Novo Nordisk) -- FDA publishes Citizen Petition seeking to restrict compounded liraglutide (2-Jan)

      • NOVO.B.DC (Novo Nordisk) -- sponsored UK pharmacies to boost sales of Wegovy, Saxenda - Observer

      • SANN.SW (Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding) -- Santhera enters into supply and distribution agreement for AGAMREE (Vamorolone) with Clinigen Group

    • Other

      • GALP.PL (Galp Energia SGPS) -- Galp Energia ethics committee investigating complaint about CEO Filipe Silva - ECO

      • TGS.NO (TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Co.) -- TGS Announces Dawson III 3D Seismic Survey in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin

      • Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $103.7M, +20.7% y/y - Box Office Mojo

      • XPeng, Volkswagen enter MOU to jointly build super-fast charging network in China

  • Key rating changes

    • Upgrades

      • Jefferies upgrades ENQ.LN, IPCO.SS

      • RMS.FP (Hermes) -- to buy from hold at Stifel

      • SXS.LN (Spectris) -- to buy from hold at HSBC

      • RXL.FP (Rexel) -- to outperform from market perform at Bernstein

      • SAND.SS (Sandvik) -- to market perform from underperform at Bernstein

      • AKRBP.NO (Aker BP) -- to buy from hold at SEB

      • CURY.LN (Currys) -- to neutral from underperform at BNP Paribas Exane

    • Downgrades

      • EQNR.NO (Equinor) -- to neutral from buy at Sparebank 1 Markets

      • RBREW.DC (Royal Unibrew) -- to equal weight from overweight at Barclays

      • LIGHT.NA (Signify) -- to market perform from outperform at Bernstein

      • NEX.FP (Nexans) -- to market perform from outperform at Bernstein

      • ABBN.SW (ABB Limited) -- to underperform from market perform at Bernstein

      • EPI.A.SS (Epiroc) -- to underperform from outperform;at Bernstein

      • QIA.GR (Qiagen) -- to equal-weight from overweight at Morgan Stanley

      • Jefferies downgrades ENOG.IT, ENOG.LN; others

  • Data

    • Nikkei (1.47%) to 39307.05

    • Hang Seng (0.48%) to 19666.18

    • Shanghai Composite (0.27%) to 3202.64

    • S&P futures +5.5 vs prior close of 5989.5

    • €-$ +0.0007 or +0.07% to 1.0312

    • $-¥ +0.43 or +0.27% to 157.65

    • €-¥ +0.55 or +0.34% to 162.57

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