Jan 09 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open mixed amidst Asia equities lower Thursday as the risk-off momentum builds: Hang Seng reversing early gains to now be negative, mainland China boards also under pressure again. Losses in Japan, Australia and Taiwan as the technology rally fades, South Korea a few points higher. India under water, Singapore retreating from record high seen yesterday. Southeast Asia mostly lower. US futures lower. US dollar consolidating overnight gains, yen coming off lows but AUD and NZD weaker; yuan is flat. Treasuries mixed, JGB yields lower, CGB yields a little stronger. Crude flat, precious metals a smidge higher, base metals again mixed.
In central banks updates, ECB releases latest Economic Bulletin at 10:00CET. Central bank speakers include BoE's Breeden delivering a speech at the University of Edinburgh at 16:00GMT. Elsewhere, The Shelf in 2024 will be presented at 10:00CET by Norwegian Offshore Directorate. Spain's Minister of Transport and Sustainable Mobility Santiago speaks at 9:00CET at event hosted by Nueva Economía Fórum. Airbus (AIR.FP) releases orders and deliveries for the full year 2024 at 17:45CET, conf. call 18:30.
Economic data include: Eurozone Nov Retail Sales, Germany/Denmark Nov Trade Balance, Germany/Denmark Nov Industrial Production, Norway Dec PPI, Ireland Nov Retail Sales.
In corporate news, Sika Group (SIKA.SW) reported yesterday after the close FY sales of CHF11.76B vs StreetAccount CHF11.72B and confirmed FY outlook. VAT Group (VACN.SW) is out with preliminary numbers including Q4 revenue CHF283M vs FactSet CHF260.3M. Tecan Group (TECN.SW) also issued a preliminary update with FY sales CHF 934.3M vs FactSet CHF 919.1M. ABOUT YOU Holding (YOU.GR) reports Q3 EAT (€3.9M) vs FactSet (€20.2M) and reiterates its FY24/25 guidance.
Politics/Macro/World News
Reeves eyes spending cuts if UK bond slump eats up headroom - Bloomberg
Treasury forced to intervene in market turmoil - Telegraph
UK labour market freeze deepens as firms absorb tax rises, REC survey shows - Reuters
France's Villeroy urges big budget cuts to cure fiscal sickness - Bloomberg
UK power prices skyrocket as freezing weather tightens market - Bloomberg
UK shop prices dropped in December but prices likely to rise in 2025, BRC says - Reuters
Britain's Bond turmoil invokes memory of 1976 debt crisis - Bloomberg
Top company news
Earnings/updates
SIKA.SW (Sika Group) -- reports FY sales CHF11.76B vs StreetAccount CHF11.72B
VACN.SW (VAT Group) -- reports preliminary Q4 revenue CHF283M vs FactSet CHF260.3M [5 est, CHF209-290.3M]
TECN.SW (Tecan Group) -- reports preliminary FY sales CHF 934.3M vs FactSet CHF 919.1M
RDC.GR (Redcare Pharmacy) -- reports preliminary Q4 total sales €674M, +27% y/y
OVH.FP (OVHCloud) -- reports Q1 revenue €263.5M, +10% vs year-ago €239.8M
SNBN.SW (Schweizerische Nationalbank ) --reports preliminary FY net income ~CHF80B; profit on foreign currency positions ~CHF 67B
COPN.SW (Cosmo Pharmaceuticals) -- reports preliminary FY revenue €265.7M vs FactSet €268.3M [2 est, €267.4-269.2M]
M&A
GLEN.LN (Glencore) -- Two potential buyers submit offers for Glencore's stake in Koniambo Nickel SAS - Reuters
PRY.IM (Prysmian) -- exploring dual listing in New York and additional US acquisitions, as it hopes to insulate itself from tariffs - FT, citing CEO
AFP.SW (Aluflexpack) -- In the takeover of Aluflexpack AG by Constantia Flexibles GmbH, yesterday, a remedy package has been formally submitted to the European Commission
Healthcare
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- Sanofi's new Sarclisa subcutaneous formulation met co-primary endpoints in the IRAKLIA phase 3 study in multiple myeloma
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- Roche announced that its whole slide imaging system, Roche Digital Pathology Dx, has received an additional 510(k) clearance from the FDA
UCB.BB (UCB) -- announces partnership with Ailux Biologics, a Division of XtalPi, on Biologics AI Platform
DBV.FP (DBV Technologies) -- announces 3-year results from EPITOPE Phase 3 open-label extension study
NWRN.SW (Newron Pharmaceuticals) -- licenses evenamide to Myung In Pharma in South Korea
Other
INTRUM.SS (Intrum) -- has entered into a Swedish company reorganisation
FGR.FP (Eiffage) -- renews €2B revolving credit facility
BAKKA.NO (Bakkafrost) -- provides update on revenue tax on salmon farming in the Faroe islands
NDX1.GR (Nordex) -- UKA orders 80 turbines from the Nordex Group for projects over 540 MW in Germany
LTMC.IM (Lottomatica Group) -- Gamma Intermediate sells 24M Lottomatica Group shares priced at €12.5 per Share through a private placement by way of an accelerated bookbuilding offering through Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan
Key rating changes
Upgrades
PGHN.SW (Partners Group Holding) -- to overweight from equal weight at Barclays
AMS.SM (Amadeus IT Group) -- to buy from hold at HSBC
AMBU.B.DC (Ambu) -- to buy from hold at Carnegie Securities
ATCO.A.SS (Atlas Copco) -- to buy from hold at Carnegie Securities
DNLM.LN (Dunelm Group) -- to buy from hold at HSBC
SSE.LN (Scottish and Southern Energy) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
VITR.SS (Vitrolife) -- Vitrolife long-term recommendation upgraded to market perform from underperform at Handelsbanken
VOLV.B.SS (Volvo) -- to overweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
PIRC.IM (Pirelli & C.) -- to outperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
Downgrades
EVO.SS (Evolution) -- to neutral from buy at Goldman Sachs
TRST.LN (Trustpilot Group) -- to hold from buy at Danske Bank
JUST.LN (Just Group) -- to add from buy at Peel Hunt
CVC.NA (CVC Capital Partners) -- to equal weight from overweight at Barclays
PAH3.GR (Porsche Automobil Holding SE) -- to underperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
WISE.LN (Wise Plc) -- to hold from buy at HSBC
SMHN.GR (SÜSS MicroTec) -- to hold from buy at Jefferies
VACN.SW (VAT Group )-- to hold from buy at Jefferies
Other Actions
DHER.GR (Delivery Hero) -- reinstated overweight at Barclays; prior rating was overweight
Data
Nikkei (0.94%) to 39605.09
Hang Seng +0.03% to 19285.16
Shanghai Composite (0.37%) to 3218.36
S&P futures (11.5) vs prior close of 5959.3
€-$ (0.0014) or (0.14%) to 1.0306
$-¥ (0.23) or (0.14%) to 158.13
€-¥ (0.46) or (0.28%) to 162.94
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