Feb 07 ,2025
Synopsis
European indices are set to open mostly lower as Asian equities trade mixed Friday. Japan's Nikkei and Topix giving up some of yesterday's gains but should end with a weekly gain. Greater China boards higher but well off their peaks now. Australia and South Korea a few points lower, Taiwan and most of Southeast Asia higher.
US futures a little lower, Europe could also see some weakness early on.
Friday sees, in central banks, ECB's de Guindos speech at 9:45CET in conf "VI Encuentro Económico-Asegurador" organised by Mutualidad de Abogados de España. Czech central bank presents new economic forecasts at 11:00CET. Embracer Group (EMBRAC.B.SS) spin-off Asmodee (ASMDEE.SS) begins trading on Nasdaq Stockholm
Economic due today include: Germany Dec trade balance, industrial production, France Dec trade balance, Spain Dec industrial production, Switzerland Jan consumer confidence, Norway Dec manufacturing production, Denmark Dec manufacturing production, UK Jan house price index - Halifax, Austria Jan PPI
Yesterday after the close L'Oreal (OR.FP) reported FY EPS €12.66 vs FactSet €12.18
Earnings reported so far: Yit (YIT.FH) reports Q4 EPS (€0.18) vs FactSet €0.02. Talanx (TLX.GR) reports prelim FY net income €1.98B vs FactSet €1.95B; confirms FY25 guidance. Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG.NO) reports Q4 EPS NOK8.27 vs FactSet NOK8.59 [6 est, NOK7.53-9.17]; proposes a five-for-one stock split. Clas Ohlson (CLAS.BSS reports Jan sales +14% to SEK901M; organic sales +14% y/y. Banco de Sabadell (SAB.SM) reports Q4 net income €532M vs StreetAccount €439.9M. Vontobel Holding (VONN.SW) reports FY net income CHF266.1M vs FactSet CHF270.5M. Aperam (APAM.NA) reports FY net income €231M vs FactSet €251.8M [6 est, €244.0-262M]; guides Q1 EBITDA at a lower level versus Q4.
Trading Update due at 7am London Time: Buzzi (BZU.IM), Clas Ohlson (CLAS.B.SS), HEXAOM (ALHEX.FP)
Traffic: VINCI (DG.FP)
Politics/Macro/World News
Top company news
Earnings/updates
OR.FP (L'Oreal) -- reports FY EPS €12.66 vs FactSet €12.18 [24 est, €11.36-12.65]
DG.FP (VINCI SA) -- reports FY Attributable net income €5.15B vs consensus €4.74B
SCHA.NO (Schibsted) -- reports Q4 EPS (NOK1.37) vs year-ago NOK0.29
P911.GR (Porsche) -- guides FY24 automotive net cash flow margin 10%+ vs prior guidance 7-8.5%
PAH3.GR (Porsche Automobil Holding SE) -- Porsche SE provides update on impairment charges related to carry amounts in Volkswagen AG and Porsche AG
APAM.NA (Aperam) -- reports FY net income €231M vs FactSet €251.8M [6 est, €244.0-262M]; guides Q1 EBITDA at a lower level versus Q4
BIOA.B.SS (BioArctic) -- partner Eisai reports Q4/CY24 Leqembi sales ¥13.3B
BPE.IM (BPER Banca) -- reports Q4 adjusted net income €296.3M vs FactSet €258.3M (post EU close 6-Feb)
EMSN.SW (EMS-Chemie Holding) -- reports FY net income CHF466M vs FactSet CHF454.0M [5 est, CHF441.3-463M]
ELI.BB (Elia Group SA/NV) -- Elia group provides update on the Princess Elisabeth Island project
XFAB.FP (X-FAB Silicon Foundries) -- reports Q4 net income ($7.3M) vs FactSet $12M [1 est]; provides FY25 guidance
NSKOG.NO (Norske Skog) -- reports Q4 EPS (NOK6.54) from cont. ops and unclear if comparable to FactSet (NOK0.91) [2 est, (NOK1.00)-(0.83)]
GBT.FP (Guerbet) -- reports Q4 revenue €220.6M vs FactSet €224.5M [1 est]
ODF.NO (Odfjell) -- reports Q4 EPS $64.00 vs FactSet $0.72 [5 est, $0.59-0.84]
LNA.FP (LNA Santé) -- reports FY revenue €793.9M vs FactSet €798.2M [4 est, €791.5-804.6M]
Also reporting today
BPER Banca (BPE.IM)
M&A
BPE.IM (BPER Banca) -- shareholders to vote on 18-Apr on issuance of up to 657.4M shares in connection with offer for Banca Popolare di Sondrio (post EU close 6-Feb)
BPSO.IM (Banca Popolare di Sondrio) -- BPER Banca announces all share offer for Banca Popolare di Sondrio with implied value of €9.527/share (post EU close 6-Feb)
EQNR.NO (Equinor) -- PRIO SA in talks to buy Equinor's 60% in Peregrino oil field - Folha de S.Paulo
EQNR.NO (Equinor) -- PRIO denies report of talks regarding Equinor's stake in Peregrino oil field
RI.FP (Pernod Ricard) -- Inbrew Beverages and TPG may team up to acquire Imperial Blue - Economic Times
TPEIR.GA (Piraeus Financial Holdings) -- If negotiations succeed, Piraeus Financial to end up with 80% of Ethniki Insurance - Euro2day
LTG.LN (Learning Technologies Group) -- shareholders approve acquisition by General Atlantic (Leopard UK Bidco Ltd)
Healthcare
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- to commence €2B second tranche of already communicated €5B share buyback
GNFT.FP (GENFIT) -- outlines anticipated new clinical trial initiations, development milestones, and data readouts in 2025
MEDCL.FP (MedinCell) -- announces the EIB has removed two financial covenants from loan agreement, originally set to take effect on 1-Apr-25
Other
ABBN.SW (ABB Limited) -- ABB launches new share buyback program of up to $1.5B
AAL.LN (Anglo American) -- Botswana indicates interest in raising stake in De Beers, increasing chances for IPO - FT
KPN.NA (Royal KPN) -- The Netherlands Authority for Consumers and Markets approves creation of KPN and ABP's new tower company (TowerCo)
AVOL.SW (Avolta) -- Avolta's Hudson expands footprint at Omaha's Eppley airfield
APAM.NA (Aperam) -- proposes to maintain its base dividend at €2.00/share
Gogo|Satcom Direct finalizes multifaceted Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Airbus
Pegasystems selected to deliver digital platform for UK Armed Forces Recruitment Service contract with Serco
Key rating changes
Upgrades
(WIZZ.LN) Wizz Air Holdings upgraded to buy from hold at HSBC
JTC.LN (JTC) -- to buy from hold at Shore Capital Stockbrokers (earlier, timing uncertain)
MTRS.SS (Munters Group) -- to buy from hold at Berenberg
UNI.SM (Unicaja Banco) -- to buy from neutral at JB Capital Markets (earlier, timing uncertain)
WALL.B.SS (Wallenstam) -- to buy from hold at Danske Bank
WALL.B.SS (Wallenstam) -- Wallenstam long-term recommendation upgraded to outperform from market perform at Handelsbanken
Downgrades
MAERSK.B.DC (Maersk) downgraded to sell from hold at DnB Markets
MAERSK.B.DC (Maersk) downgraded to hold from buy at SEB
LIGHT.NA (Signify) -- to reduce from hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
VOLCAR.B.SS (Volvo Car) -- Volvo Car short-term recommendation downgraded to hold from buy at Handelsbanken
MYCR.SS (Mycronic) -- to hold from buy at Carnegie Securities
PDX.SS (Paradox Interactive) -- to hold from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
PEAB.B.SS (Peab) -- Peab short-term recommendation downgraded to sell from hold at Handelsbanken
Data
Nikkei (0.57%) to 38841.99
Hang Seng +0.40% to 20974.66
Shanghai Composite +0.38% to 3283.17
S&P futures (10.3) vs prior close of 6106.0
€-$ (0.0008) or (0.08%) to 1.0378
$-¥ +0.26 or +0.17% to 151.72
€-¥ +0.17 or +0.11% to 157.44
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