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StreetAccount Summary - EU Market Recap: FTSE 100 (0.10%) to 8638.01, DAX (0.17%) to 22852.66, CAC40 (0.26%) to 8022.33, STOXX 600 (0.13%) to 548.93

Mar 24 ,2025

  • Synopsis:

    • European equity markets closed mostly lower. Basic resources, technology and banks the best performers; food & beverage, real estate, telecom lag. US equities higher in midday trading. Bond yields mixed. Treasuries weaker across the curve with yields up 6-8 bp; 2Y back above 4% and 10Y above 4.3%. Bund 2 bps firmer. Gilts little changed. Dollar stronger versus yen and kiwi, but softer elsewhere. Oil higher. Gold and industrial metals down.

    • Focus on trade and tariffs; of note, UK said to be considering changes to its digital tax to avoid US tariffs. Also more talk about trade uncertainty as a risk to both Q1 and 2025 consensus earnings estimates. Bloomberg sources noted Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement may be less severe than thought with certain countries exempted.

    • In macro headlines out of the region, attention on PMI data in Europe. Eurozone PMI data for Mar revealed modest economic expansion continuing for third consecutive month, with Composite Index reaching seven-month high of 50.4 versus 50.2 in Feb. Most notably, manufacturing production returned to growth for the first time in two years, posting strongest expansion since May-2022 at 50.7 versus 48.9 in Feb and 48.3 expected. Germany outperformed France with fastest overall growth in ten months, helped by revived manufacturing output on anticipated demand and potential benefits from Germany's new infrastructure and defense initiatives; France remained in contraction territory for a seventh consecutive month. UK composite PMI hit a six-month high of 52.0 versus consensus 50.3 and prior 50.5 amid a rebound in the services sector, which saw the fastest activity since August 2024. Breakdown showed services sector PMI at 53.9 versus 50.9 consensus and prior 51.0, but manufacturing hit an 18-month low of 44.6 versus 46.4 forecast and prior 46.9. S&P Global said the level of the composite PMI consistent with quarterly growth of 0.1%.

    • On the earnings front, INDUS Holding (INH.GR) Patrizia (PAT.GR) and S4 Capital (SFOR.LN) posted their latest earnings, whilst Sanofi (SAN.FP) posted its Q1 Aide Memoire. Iren (IRE.IM), Fincantieri (FCT.IM) and RCS Mediagroup (RCS.IM) also updated investors midday with latest FY results. Further in corporate news flow, Bayer AG (BAYN.GR) has been ordered to pay ~$2.1B in the Roundup weedkiller case, whilst Elliott stated that it shares the market's disappointment with the lack of clarity regarding RWE (RWE.GR) commitment to enhance shareholder returns,

    • In M&A, Tietoevry (TIETO.FH) sold its Tech Services business to funds advised by Agilitas for €300M. Plus500 (PLUS.LN) acquired the entire share capital of Mehta Equities Limited in India for ~$20M, Great Portland Estates (GPE.LN) bought One Chapel Place based on a property valuation of £56.0M while SolGold (SOLG.LN) finalised sale of 157.1M own shares to Jiangxi Copper Company for ~$18M. John Wood Group (WG.LN) extended deadline to 17-Apr for Dubai-based Sidara's new takeover offer. Vivendi (VIV.FP) crosses downwards the 20% threshold of TIM's (TIT.IM) ordinary shares and voting rights.

  • Digest:

    • Sectors - STOXX Europe 600:

      • Outperformers:

        • Basic Resources +1.25%, Technology +1.18%, Banks +0.69%, Travel & Leisure +0.59%, Autos & Parts +0.57%, Financial Svcs +0.55%, Retail +0.51%, Insurance +0.32%, Media +0.23%, Construct & Mtls +0.16%, Ind Goods & Svcs (0.10%)

      • Underperformers:

        • Food & Beverage (1.57%), Real Estate (1.28%), Telecom (1.05%), Health Care (0.95%), Oil & Gas (0.77%), Persnl & HHold Goods (0.67%), Utilities (0.64%), Chemicals (0.59%)

    • Macro:

      • Central Banks:

        • Polish Policymaker Duda Says July Projection Key for Rate Moves (Bloomberg )

        • ECB's Cipollone says case to cut rates has strengthened (Expansion)

        • Some ECB officials question whether than can rely on Fed dollar funding in times of stress (Reuters)

      • UK:

        • UK financial watchdog to encourage retail investors to take more risk (FT)

        • Reeves defends fiscal plan ahead of statement (BBC, Sky News)

        • New poll shows risks for Keir Starmer over spending choices (FT )

      • Germany:

        • Merz and SPD try to narrow differences in German coalition talks (Reuters )

      • France:

        • France gets budget warning as DBRS turns negative on rating (Bloomberg)

      • Trade & tariffs:

        • EU Trade Chief Sefcovic to meet Greer, Lutnick in US on Tuesday (Bloomberg )

        • UK considers tech tax changes to get carve-out from Trump tariffs (Bloomberg)

      • Geopolitics:

        • US holds separate talks with Russians after meeting Ukrainians to discuss a potential ceasefire (AP )

        • Putin speaks to UAE president on Ukraine and OPEC+ (Reuters )

        • Greenland PM decries 'very aggressive' US posture ahead of Usha Vance, Mike Waltz visit (Politico )

    • Peripheral markets:

      • Italy:

        • German defence splurge could revive Italy's manufacturers, says minister (FT )

      • Greece:

        • Greece-Turkey High Cooperation Council on hold due to developments (Kathimerini )

      • Turkey:

        • Turkish protesters rise up against Erdoğan (FT )

        • EU warns Turkey as Erdoğan's repression intensifies (Politico )

    • Company news:

      • Notable Gainers

        • +16.0% PCELL.SS (PowerCell Sweden SEK28.62, +3.98) -- order

        • +10.8% RKH.LN (Rockhopper Exploration £0.42, +0.04) -- Sea Lion operator's update

        • +8.6% UBI.FP (Ubisoft Entertainment €13.20, +1.05) -- promising early sales performance of latest Assassin's Creed (AC) game instalment

        • +6.2% WIHN.SW (WISeKey International Holding CHF8.52, +0.50) -- subsidiary SEALS to acquire 30% Stake in WeCanGroup

        • +6.1% SFOR.LN (S4 Capital £0.35, +0.02) -- FY earnings

        • +5.5% VLA.FP (Valneva €3.57, +0.19) -- supply of IXCHIQ against Chikungunya outbreak in La Reunion

        • +3.0% WAWI.NO (Wallenius Wilhelmsen NOK95.40, +2.80) -- 10-years contract extension worth worth $2B with auto OEM

        • +2.7% METN.SW (Metall Zug CHF1,155.00, +30.00) -- FY earnings

        • +2.5% AEVS.SW (AEVIS VICTORIA CHF12.40, +0.30) -- FY earnings

        • +1.6% RWE.GR (RWE €32.59, +0.50) -- Elliott statement

        • +1.2% IRE.IM (Iren €2.24, +0.03) -- earnings

      • Notable Decliners

        • -10.3% CORE.A.SS (Corem Property Group SEK4.72, -0.54) -- divests five properties in Halmstad for total underlying property value SEK 290M

        • -9.4% OHLA.SM (Obrascon Huarte Lain €0.42, -0.04) -- Obrascon Huarte Lain Board reviews CEO's suitability amid legal issues and files insider trading complaint against a Director - El Confidencial

        • -8.6% DBV.FP (DBV Technologies €0.83, -0.08) -- expects cash and cash equivalents will be sufficient to fund its operations only into April 2025; FDA supportive opinion for Viaskin BLA in 4 - 7-year-olds

        • -5.4% CLARI.FP (Clariane €4.16, -0.24) -- new Chair

        • -3.8% BMS.LN (Braemar £2.50, -0.10) -- trading update

        • -2.9% FCT.IM (Fincantieri €10.78, -0.32) -- earnings

        • -2.5% TIETO.FH (Tietoevry €18.23, -0.46) -- sell Tech Services business for €300M

        • -2.0% TET.LN (Treatt £3.48, -0.07) -- CFO resigns

        • -1.2% ODL.NO (Odfjell Drilling NOK59.60, -0.70) -- CFO steps down

    • EU companies reporting tomorrow:

      • Earnings:

        • DACHs: Baloise (BALN.SW), Vetropack Holding (VETN.SW), Medacta Group (MOVE.SW), SKAN Group (BVHN.SW), MCH Group (MCHN.SW), TAG Immobilien (TEG.GR), Deutsche Wohnen (DWNI.GR), Jenoptik (JEN.GR), Viscom (V6C.GR), Medios (ILM1.GR)

        • France: Groupe Crit (CEN.FP), Exclusive Networks (EXN.FP), HERIGE (ALHGR.FP), ABC arbitrage (ABCA.FP)

        • Nordics: Cadeler (CADLR.NO), Constellation Oil Services Holding (COSH.NO)

        • Southern Europe: Sabaf (SAB.IM), TERNA Rete Elettrica Nazionale (TRN.IM), Cairo Communication (CAI.IM), Equita Group (EQUI.IM)

        • UK: Kingfisher (KGF.LN), Smiths Group (SMIN.LN), Bellway (BWY.LN), Tullow Oil (TLW.LN), A.G. BARR (BAG.LN), Ashtead Technology Holdings (AT.LN), IP Group (IPO.LN), Michelmersh Brick Holdings (MBH.LN), Ultimate Products (ULTP.LN), Xaar (XAR.LN), W.A.G. Payment Solutions (WPS.LN), M.P. Evans Group (MPE.LN), EKF Diagnostics Holdings (EKF.LN), Personal Group Holdings (PGH.LN), Henry Boot (BOOT.LN)

      • Trading Update: HORNBACH Holding (HBH.GR)

      • CMD/events: Shell (SHEL.LN), Kuhne + Nagel International (KNIN.SW), TUI (TUI1.GR), DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR.NA) sustainability, Legrand (LR.FP) Corporate Social Responsibility, Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Rovi (ROVI.SM), Holcim (HOLN.SW) for Amrize spinoff

  • Data:

    • Economics:

      • Mar Flash Manufacturing PMI

        • Eurozone 48.7 vs cons 48.3 and prior 47.6

        • Germany 48.3 vs cons 47.1 and prior 46.5

        • France 48.9 vs cons 46.2 and prior 45.8

        • UK 44.6 vs consensus 46.4 and prior 46.9

      • Mar Flash Services PMI

        • Eurozone 50.4 vs cons 51.2 and prior 50.6

        • Germany 50.2 vs cons 51.6 and prior 51.1

        • France 46.6 vs cons 46.3 and prior 45.3

        • UK 53.2 vs consensus 51.2 and prior 51.0

    • Markets:

      • WTI Crude (May 25): +$0.92 or +1.35% to $69.20

      • €-$ (0.0021) or (0.19%) to 1.0795

      • £-$ +0.0014 or +0.11% to 1.2910

      • €-£ (0.0025) to 0.8362

      • S&P 500 +1.59%

      • Performance year-to-date

        • FTSE 100: +5.69%

        • DAX: +14.78%

        • CAC: +8.69%

        • MIB: +14.00%

        • Stoxx 600: +8.14%

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