Back to Daily DR Market Summary

StreetAccount Summary - EU Market Recap: FTSE 100 (4.64%) to 7681.39, DAX (4.12%) to 19790.95, CAC40 (4.78%) to 6927.12, STOXX 600 (4.50%) to 473.99

Apr 07 ,2025

  • Synopsis:

    • European equity markets ended sharply lower but off worst levels of the session. Trade war fears continue to overhang markets. Multiple countries voicing willingness to talk with some offering trade concessions. However, unclear whether it will be enough with Trump again talking about tariffs as structural measure to rebalance trade and provide new source of government funding. More recent wires updates note Trump reportedly considering a 90-day pause in tariffs for all countries except China.

    • Meanwhile, EU Commission President von der Leyen extended olive branch to Washington amidst escalating trade tensions, proposing complete elimination of tariffs on industrial goods between the EU and US (ZDF). Von der Leyen added Europe always ready for good agreement, revealing EU repeatedly offered to abolish mutual tariffs, including in automotive. Conciliatory approach comes as German Economy Minister Habeck suggested potential use of EU's anti-coercion instrument against US measures if negotiations fail (Bloomberg).

    • In political developments in Europe, Politico reported National Rally President Bardella and Vice President Chenu revealed party considering ousting PM Bayrou a week after Le Pen convicted of embezzlement and barred from running for president. Both framed party's decision as a response on Bayrou's failure to act on their party's legislative priorities, such as lower energy prices or adopting a proportional voting system. However, timing of comments came as party officials suggest Le Pen conviction due to her popularity in the polls

    • In macro updates, German industrial production data missed expectations in Feb, down 1.3% vs consensus for 1.1% fall and prior 2.0% gain. Destasis said most of the decline down to decrease in construction industry (-3.2%) and there were also falls in food industry (-5.3%) and energy production (-3.3%). Latest Sentix survey for April showed big drop in Eurozone investor confidence to -19.5 versus consensus -8.9 and prior -2.9, which is the lowest level since October 2023. In the UK, March Halifax house price data eases (0.5%) m/m vs consensus +0.2% and prior revised (0.2%) from (0.1%), though unlikely to have a major influence. KPMG updated its UK growth outlook after last week's US tariff announcement and now sees UK growth of 0.8% this year vs prior 1.7% forecast and anticipates 1.4% growth next year.

    • In corporate news, in the UK, Shell Plc (SHEL.LN) Q1 2025 pre-update revealed Integrated Gas underperformance (910-950k boe/d production, below prior guidance). Ferrexpo (FXPO.LN) released Q1 production report and Kingfisher (KGF.LN) commenced first trance of up to £50M of previously announced £300M share buyback. Sirius Real Estate (SRE.LN) issued a trading update and expects to deliver FY results in line with market expectations. Out of DACHs, Qiagen (QIA.GR) guided Q1 adjusted EPS of at least $0.55 vs FactSet $0.49 with FY Adjusted EPS $2.35 vs prior guidance $2.28. Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG.GR) reported Q1 sales of 529,200 cars and vans, (7%) y/y.

    • In M&As, De La Rue (DLAR.LN) confirmed sale of authentication division for £300M to Crane NXT. CVC DIF (CVC.N) Aagrees to acquire 49% of VNG's BALANCE Erneuerbare Energien for an undisclosed sum. On the speculation front, people with knowledge of the matter say that ProSiebenSat.1 (PSM.GR) has lined up defence advisers amid takeover bid from MFE-MediaForEurope (MFEB.IM). Further in DACHs, Deutz AG (DEZ.GR) to acquire UMS and Rheinmetall (RHM.GR) acquires Hagedorn-NC GmbH. Also, Sartorius (SRT3.GR) to acquire microtissue business MatTek from BICO AB (BICO.SS) for $80M (~€72M).

  • Digest:

    • Sectors - STOXX Europe 600:

      • Outperformers

        • Basic Resources (2.48%), Travel & Leisure (2.76%), Banks (3.42%), Food & Beverage (3.76%), Autos & Parts (3.92%), Retail (4.07%), Telecom (4.10%), Ind Goods & Svcs (4.18%), Real Estate(4.45%)

      • Underperformers

        • Utilities (5.91%), Insurance (5.73%), Chemicals (5.41%), Financial Svcs (5.40%), Media (4.96%), Oil & Gas (4.85%), Construct & Mtls (4.73%), Health Care (4.68%), Persnl & HHold Goods (4.60%), Technology (4.51%)

    • Macro/Peripheral markets:

      • ECB

        • ECB's Schnabel warns of rising uncertainty as Trump tariffs threaten Eurozone economy (Reuters)

        • ECB warns trump tariffs risk Eurozone demand shock as rate decision looms (FT)

      • EU

        • EU response to Trump tariffs could amount to €400bn (RTE)

        • President Trump's tariff measures could slow euro area economic growth by between 0.5-1.0 percentage points says Greek central bank's Stournaras (FT)

        • Read-out of the Dialogue on Steel and Metals (release)

        • Remarks by Commissioner Šefčovič at the Foreign Affairs Council (Trade) press conference (release )

      • Geopolitics

        • Trump to listen to trading partners for great deals, aide Hassett says (Reuters)

      • UK

        • UK house prices up by 2.8% in Mar (Bloomberg)

        • UK's Starmer unveils emergency economic measures to counter Trump tariffs (Bloomberg)

        • UK plans sweeping quango cuts and agency mergers to slash public spending (Bloomberg)

        • UK eases EV mandate with hybrid extensions and lower fines to counter Trump tariffs (FT)

        • Tax hikes and Brexit slash foreign buyer demand for UK homes, with prime London hit hard (Bloomberg)

      • France:

        • LePen vows political fight against undemocratic ban as left warns of rule-of-law threat (Guardian)

      • Germany:

        • German industrial output down by 1.3% in Feb (DeStatis)

        • Germany public sector secures 5.8% staggered wage hike after arbitration resolves union-employer deadlock (Bloomberg)

        • Merz ally confident in pre-Easter coalition deal despite tax and migration hurdles (Bloomberg)

    • Company news:

      • Notable Gainers

        • +16.4% VLX.LN (Volex £2.32, +0.33) -- FY trading update

        • +2.8% GAM.SW (Gam Holding CHF0.09, -0.00) -- new Cat Bond and ILS investment partnership with Swiss Re

        • +2.0% LEMON.FH (Lemonsoft €5.12, +0.10) -- to initiate change negotiations

        • +1.7% MBG.GR (Mercedes-Benz Group €49.80, +0.86) -- Q1 sales of

      • Notable Decliners

        • Tariff impact

          • -11.4% HCM.LN (Hutchmed £1.98, -0.26)

          • -11.0% INLOT.GA (Intralot €0.83, -0.10)

          • -7.9% ATO.FP (ATOS SE €0.00, -0.00)

          • -7.4% PGHN.SW (Partners Group Holding CHF994.40, -79.10)

          • -6.0% DLG.IM (De'Longhi €25.12, -1.60) -- Mediobanca downgrade

          • -5.9% DWS.GR (DWS Group €38.90, -2.46)

          • -5.5% SAF.FP (Safran €205.90, -12.00)

          • -5.4% MRO.LN (Melrose Industries £4.02, -0.23)

          • -5.2% KCO.GR (Kloeckner & Co. €6.35, -0.35)-- Warburg Research downgrade

          • -5.0% AMUN.FP (Amundi €59.25, -3.10)

          • -4.9% QBY.GR (q.beyond €0.70, -0.04)

          • -4.6% BAKK.LN (Bakkavor Group £1.77, -0.09)

          • -4.5% TNXT.IM (Tinexta €7.92, -0.38)

          • -4.5% ALO.FP (Alstom €17.50, -0.83)

          • -4.4% CLN.SW (Clariant CHF7.96, -0.36)

          • -4.0% ASC.LN (Asos £2.54, -0.11)

          • -3.7% SAB.SM (Banco de Sabadell €2.22, -0.09)

          • -3.5% STERV.FH (Stora Enso €7.87, -0.28) Barclays downgrade

          • -3.5% IPH.FP (Innate Pharma €1.66, -0.06) -- tariff impact

          • -3.5% SRT3.GR (Sartorius €181.30, -6.65) -- tariff impact

          • -2.9% ADS.GR (Adidas €190.15, -5.75) -- tariff impact

          • -2.7% BMPS.IM (Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena €6.08, -0.17) -- Barclays downgrade

          • -2.5% ATE.FP (Alten €80.20, -2.05)

            • BAER.SW (Julius Baer Group CHF49.99, -1.23); SIE.GR (Siemens AG €181.88, -3.96); SKF.B.SS (SKF SEK170.65, -3.65)-- BofA downgrade; FCT.IM (Fincantieri €9.30, -0.19) ; TKA.GR (ThyssenKrupp €8.21, -0.13); ECEL.LN (Eurocell £1.45, -0.02); SALM.NO (Salmar NOK469.80, -6.00) -- Barclays downgrade; BAMI.IM (Banco BPM €8.21, -0.08); MRN.FP (Mersen €17.84, -0.16); AF.FP (Air France-KLM €7.51, -0.07); KGX.GR (Kion Group €31.22, -0.19)

    • EU companies reporting tomorrow:

      • Earnings:

        • DACHs: DEAG Deutsche Entertainment (LOU.GR), Frequentis (FQT.AV)

        • France: Fleury Michon (ALFLE.FP)

        • Nordics: Industrivarden (INDU.A.SS)

        • Southern Europe: Fourlis Holdings (FOYRK.GA)

        • UK: JTC (JTC.LN), Staffline Group (STAF.LN), Hilton Food Group (HFG.LN)

  • Data:

    • Economics:

      • Germany

        • Feb Trade Balance €17.7B vs consensus €18.4B and prior €16.0B

        • Feb Industrial Production (1.3%) m/m vs consensus (1.1%) and prior +2.0%

      • Norway Feb Manufacturing Production +1.4% m/m vs consensus +0.9% and prior revised (1.6%) from (1.5%)

      • UK Mar Halifax House Price Index +2.8% y/y vs prior revised +2.8% from +2.9%

      • Eurozone

        • Apr Sentix Investor Confidence (19.5) vs consensus (8.9) and prior (2.9)

        • Feb Retail Sales +2.3% y/y vs consensus +1.8% and prior revised +1.8% from +1.5%

    • Markets:

      • WTI Crude (May 25): ($1.50) or (2.42%) to $60.49

      • €-$ +0.0030 or +0.27% to 1.0915

      • £-$ (0.0097) or (0.76%) to 1.2737

      • €-£ +0.0075 to 0.8557

      • S&P 500 (1.45%)

        • Performance year-to-date

        • FTSE 100: (6.02%)

        • DAX: (0.60%)

        • CAC: (6.15%)

        • MIB: (3.93%) Stoxx 600: (6.63%)

This information and data is provided for general informational purposes only. The Bank of New York Mellon and our information suppliers do not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of this information or data. We provide no advice nor recommendation or endorsement with respect to any company or securities. We do not undertake any obligation to update or amend this information or data. Nothing herein shall be deemed to constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities.
Please refer to "Terms Of Use".

DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS:
NOT FDIC, STATE OR FEDERAL AGENCY INSURED
MAY LOSE VALUE
NO BANK, STATE OR FEDERAL AGENCY GUARANTEE