Apr 15 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets set to open slightly higher whilst Asian equities are mixed Tuesday. Greater China markets underperforming with tech stocks weighing on Hang Seng. Japan, Korea and Taiwan extending gains with semis strengthening further. S&P 500 futures flat afterhours.
Trump administration formally launched national security probes into pharmaceuticals and semis before potential tariffs. Trump himself foreshadowed new tariff rate on semiconductors to be announced soon and he has previously threatened tariffs on pharmaceuticals. At same time Trump flagged temporary tariff exemption for automakers, which follows Friday's move to exempt electronics from 10% baseline tariffs and 125% China tariffs. Press reports detailing White House demands in trade talks also being viewed as de-escalatory signal.
Rate reprieve helping sentiment following big backup in Treasury yields that was seen to have dented their haven status. White House playing down systemic implications with Treasury Secretary Bessent rejecting notion of foreign government selling and attributing volatility to deleveraging. Bessent also noted readiness to address dislocations if appropriate, for example with buybacks. At same time, Street remains cautious about potential for ongoing volatility amid heightened tariff uncertainty with term premium continuing to push higher.
In central banks, ECB releases at 10:00CET its latest euro area bank lending survey. The IEA publishes its latest oil market report. In Portugal, general election tv debates on TVI at 21:00CET (Pedro Nuno Santos (PS) x André Ventura (Chega)) and on SIC Notícias at 22:00 (Rui Rocha (IL) x Inês Sousa Real (PAN)).
Elsewhere, Assogestioni holds the 15th edition of the largest international event dedicated to the managed savings industry. Chairman of Commerzbank (CBK.GR) Jens Weidmann speaks at 17:30BST at event title 'Geography is back: A German view on Europe's perspectives in times of global uncertainty' hosted by the LSE European Institute and OMFIF. In Greece, IOBE hosts press conf at 12:00CET in connection with its Quarterly Report on the Greek Economy. The digital transformations in the labor market is among the topics being discussed at informal meeting of EU social affairs ministers (through Wed). London hosts Sudan Ministerial Conf, EU's Lahbib among the participants (Guardian, Sudan objects to the conf organised by the European Union, UK, Germany and France (Sudan Tribune)). Also of note, MHA (+MHA.LN) due to make stock market debute on London Stock Exchange
Macro data due today include: Germany Apr ZEW survey, France Mar final CPI, UK Feb unemployment rate, Mar claimant count change, retail sales monitor - BRC, Norway Mar trade balance, Eurozone Feb industrial production.
In earnings news, Ericsson (ERIC.B.SS) reported Q1 earnings and indicated increased uncertainty on the outlook for Q2. In France, yesterday after the market closed, LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton (MC.FP) released its Q1 revenue with numbers below consensus, leading to a likely negative read across the wider luxury sector and setting a negative tone for the upcoming reporting season, whilst Publicis Groupe (PUB.FP) issued Q1 revenue this morning with results ahead of consensus and reaffirmed its outlook for 2025. In the DACHs region, Sulzer (SUN.SW) and Sika Group (SIKA.SW) are amongst others in the region to update investors with their latest numbers.
Politics/Macro/World News
'Good chance' of US-UK trade deal, says Vance - BBC
UK Consumer Spending Remains Strong in Boost for Growth Hopes - Bloomberg
EU to Lay Out Road Map for Cutting Reliance on Russian Energy - Bloomberg
Government secures raw materials to save British Steel - release
UK Consumer Spending Remains Strong in Boost for Growth Hopes - BRC
Top company news
Earnings/updates
France
MC.FP (LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) -- reports Q1 revenue €20.31B vs StreetAccount €21.11B
CDI.FP (Christian Dior) -- Christian Dior reports Q1 revenue €20.31B, (2%) vs year-ago €20.69B
WAGA.FP (Waga Energy) -- reports FY net income (€17.6M) vs FactSet (€21.7M) [4 est, (€25.2)-(19M)]
PUB.FP (Publicis Groupe) -- reports Q1 revenue €3.54B vs consensus €3.51B; reaffirms FY25 guidance
DACHS
SIKA.SW (Sika Group) -- reports Q1 revenue CHF2.68B vs FactSet CHF2.69B [4 est, CHF2.67-2.71B]
DRW3.GR (Drägerwerk) -- announces preliminary Q1 EBIT €0.4M vs year-ago €15.1M
B8FK.GR (Biofrontera AG) -- reports FY EBIT (€5.5M) vs prior guidance (€5.5M)-(€3.5M)
KURN.SW (Kuros Biosciences) -- reports Q1 adjusted EBITDA CHF3.3M vs FactSet CHF2.7M [1 est]
SUN.SW (Sulzer) -- reports Q1 order intake at CHF 1.02B vs consensus CHF 1.02B; confirms FY25 guidance
CICN.SW (Cicor Technologies) -- reports Q1 revenue CHF131.1M vs FactSet CHF139.4M [1 est]
BRNK.GR (Branicks Group) -- reports Q1 lettings totaled 77,173 sqm
PSG.GR (PharmaSGP Holding) -- reports preliminary FY adjusted EBITDA €37.2M vs year-ago €34.1M and FactSet €36.5M [1 est]
Benelux
FUR.NA (Fugro) -- expects to report lower Q1 2025 revenue and EBIT compared to a strong Q1 2024; remains confident to deliver within mid-term EBIT margin target range of 11-15% for FY 2025
TOM2.NA (TomTom) -- reports Q1 net result €3.0M vs consensus (€5M)
Nordics
ERIC.B.SS (Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson) -- reports Q1 adj EBITA SEK 6.93B vs consensus SEK4.99B; increased uncertainty on outlook for Q2 remains
BWE.NO (BW Energy) -- issues Q1 operational update; net production 3.2 mmbbls vs quarter-ago 3.1 mmbbls
SHOT.SS (Scandic Hotels Group) -- reports Q1 EPS (SEK0.58) vs FactSet (SEK0.79) [3 est, (SEK1.15)-(0.53)]; expects a good Q2 with slightly higher occupancy and average room rates y/y
AZA.SS (Avanza Bank Holding) -- reports Q1 EPS SEK4.50 vs FactSet SEK4.18 [9 est, SEK3.72-4.51]
Southern Europe
GALP.PL (Galp Energia SGPS) -- provides Q1 trading update
Also due to report today includes
Earnings:
DACHs: Pentixapharm Holding (PTP.GR)
Southern Europe: OVS (OVS.IM), Thessaloniki Port Authority (OLTH.GA)
UK: Next 15 Group (NFG.LN), S&U (SUS.LN), accesso Technology Group (ACSO.LN), Everyman Media Group (EMAN.LN), Futura Medical (FUM.LN), tinyBuild (TBLD.LN), Nanoco Group (NANO.LN)
Trading Update:
DACHs: Beiersdorf (BEI.GR), Gurit Holding (GURN.SW)
France: La Francaise des Jeux (FDJU.FP), Virbac (VIRP.FP), CATANA Group (CATG.FP)
UK: Wise (WISE.LN), B&M European Value Retail (BME.LN), Integrafin Holdings (IHP.LN), Atalaya Mining (ATYM.LN), Liontrust Asset Management (LIO.LN)
CMD/events: Evotec (EVT.GR) Cell & Gene Meeting
M&A
DLAR.LN (De La Rue) -- Atlas Holdings in advanced talks to acquire De La Rue for 130p/share - Sky News
AMAT (Applied Materials) -- purchases 9% Strategic Investment in BE Semiconductor Industries
HHH (Howard Hughes Holdings) -- Howard Hughes further extends standstill agreement with Pershing Square to 30-Apr-25 (from 15-Apr-25)
TIT.IM (Telecom Italia) -- signs agreement with Italian Treasury-led consortium for the sale of Sparkle
DSV.DC (DSV A/S) -- DSV expects to complete acquisition of Schenker 30-Apr
AGS.BB (Ageas) -- launches offering to raise €525M through an accelerated bookbuild offering of newly issued ordinary shares
WHA.NA (Wereldhave) -- announces strategic acquisition of adjacent units in Tilburg
XXL.NO (XXL ASA) -- announces offer document approved in connection with previously announced mandatory offer from Frasers Group
Healthcare
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- shared new progress from its mid- to late-stage respiratory pipeline, including preliminary phase 2 results for amlitelimab in adults with moderate-to-severe asthma.
BAYN.GR (Bayer AG) -- Bayer well prepared to deal with potential US tariffs on prescription drug imports - Handelsblatt
CUE (Cue Biopharma) -- and Boehringer Ingelheim enter strategic research collaboration and license agreement to develop and commercialize CUE-501 product candidate for autoimmune diseases
VLA.FP (Valneva) -- receives first marketing Authorization for IXCHIQ in a Chikungunya endemic country
AB.FP (AB Science) -- receives notice of allowance for US patent covering masitinib
Other
ASML.NA (ASML Holding) -- F1Q25 Earnings Preview
RR.LN (Rolls-Royce Holdings) -- Rolls-Royce Solutions America named principal contractor for $180M sale to Government of Israel
RYA.ID (Ryanair Holdings) -- Ryanair warns it could delay deliveries of Boeing aircraft if they become more expensive amid trade war - FT, citing CEO
CARL.B.DC (Carlsberg) -- says it is insulated from direct fallout of levies but warns of impact of US tariffs on consumer spending - FT, citing CEO
BAMI.IM (Banco BPM) -- Credit Agricole increases stake in Banco BPM to 19.8% - Bloomberg, citing regulatory filing
DEC.FP (JCDecaux) -- announces 9-Year CIPs contract with City of Rennes
Key rating changes
Upgrades
EQNR.NO (Equinor) -- to neutral from underperform at Oddo
NXT.LN (Next) -- to buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs
VOLV.B.SS (Volvo) -- to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital Markets
Downgrades
NESN.SW (Nestle) -- to neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
WAF.GR (Siltronic) -- to neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
TEL2.B.SS (Tele2) -- to hold from buy at DnB Markets
CRBN.NA (Corbion) -- to sell from hold at Berenberg
MC.FP (LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) -- to equal-weight from overweight at Morgan Stanley
Data
Nikkei +0.94% to 34300.83
Hang Seng +0.12% to 21443.00
Shanghai Composite (0.16%) to 3257.52
S&P futures (7.8) vs prior close of 5440.8
€-$ (0.0000) or (0.00%) to 1.1351
$-¥ +0.02 or +0.01% to 143.06
€-¥ +0.02 or +0.01% to 162.37
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