May 05 ,2025
Synopsis:
European equities ended mostly mixed to higher with FTSE closed for May Day. Follows third consecutive week of gains with Stoxx600 ~10% above Apr lows. Germany outperforms, France lags. In sectors, insurance, real estate and financials the best performers whilst energy and chemicals biggest decliners.
Dampened trade in Europe with key market closure. Latest Sentix Economic Index better than expected but still in contraction (8.1) vs consensus (14.9) and prior (19.5) while Switzerland March CPI drop to 0% vs consensus +0.3% and prior +0.3%, lowest level in over four years, as strong franc continues to reduce import costs flat. Central banks in focus later this week with announcements from Bank of England, Norges Bank and Riksbank.
In politics, Germany's new Grand Coalition government and Chancellor Merz to be voted in tomorrow. French PM Bayrou considering national referendum on comprehensive budget reform plan aimed at reducing country's mounting debt crisis. In other news, Zelenskiy said ceasefire agreement with Russia could happen at any moment. Nationalist George Simion won the first round of Romania's presidential election re-run on Sunday.
On the corporate front, Stabilus (STM.GR) reported Q2 results whilst Friday post close, Groupe Bruxelles Lambert (GBLB.BB) reported NAV €111.17 per share as of 31-Mar-25. In the Nordics, BW Energy (BWE.NO) and Ratos (RATO.B.SS) are out with reports. Eutelsat Communications (ETL.FP) announced CEO Eva Berneke will be replaced by Jean-François Fallacher while Volvo Car reported April car sales (11%) y/y to 58,881 units.
In M&A deals, Banco Santander (SAN.SM ) sold 49% of Santander Polska and 50% of Polish asset management business (TFI) to Erste Group Bank for total of €7.0B; agrees strategic cooperation across CIB and payments.
Looking ahead to tomorrow's EU econ-calendar, notable releases will include, amongst others, Italy, Spain Apr services PMI and final reads for Eurozone, France, Germany, UK, France Mar industrial production, Switzerland Apr unemployment rate, Spain Apr unemployment change, Eurozone Mar PPI and UK Apr retail sales monitor - BRC.
Digest:
Sectors - STOXX Europe 600:
Outperformers:
Insurance +1.02%, Real Estate +0.78%, Financial Svcs +0.56%, Media +0.46%, Banks +0.44%, Utilities +0.43%, Telecom +0.36%, Ind Goods & Svcs +0.27%, Travel & Leisure +0.26%, Autos & Parts +0.21%
Underperformers:
Oil & Gas (0.63%), Chemicals (0.42%), Food & Beverage (0.15%), Persnl & HHold Goods (0.12%), Construct & Mtls (0.08%), Technology (0.06%), Basic Resources (0.06%), Health Care (0.02%), Retail (0.01%)
Macro:
EU:
EU seeks to cut remaining Russian gas ties, but legal options limited -- Reuters
UK:
Nigel Farage reflects on 'astonishing' election success for Reform UK -- GBNews
Germany:
Germany's Incoming Cabinet Under Merz: Meet the Key Members -- Bloomberg
France:
French Poll Puts Philippe, Bardella in Tie in Presidential Vote -- Bloomberg
Italy:
An honest review of every (major) Italian lake -- Telegraph
EU companies reporting tomorrow:
Earnings:
Austria: Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI.AV), AMAG Austria Metall (AMAG.AV)
Benelux: Koninklijke Philips (PHIA.NA), PostNL (PNL.NA)
Denmark: Coloplast (COLO.B.DC), Vestas Wind Systems (VWS.DC), ALK-Abello (ALK.B.DC), DFDS (DFDS.DC), Trifork Holding (TRIFOR.DC)
Finland: NoHo Partners (NOHO.FH), Glaston (GLA1V.FH)
Germany: Continental (CON.GR), Fresenius Medical Care (FME.GR), Covestro (1COV.GR), Hugo Boss (BOSS.GR), Uniper (UN0.GR), MTU Aero Engines (MTX.GR), Rational (RAA.GR), Zalando (ZAL.GR), Scout24 (G24.GR), Redcare Pharmacy (RDC.GR), TeamViewer (TMV.GR), Kontron (KTN.GR), Evotec (EVT.GR), Elmos Semiconductor (ELG.GR), KSB (KSB.GR), Washtec (WSU.GR), Amadeus FiRe (AAD.GR), Norma Group (NOEJ.GR), Koenig & Bauer (SKB.GR), Nabaltec (NTG.GR), R. Stahl (RSL2.GR)
Greece: Piraeus Financial Holdings (TPEIR.GA)
Italy: Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP.IM), FinecoBank (FBK.IM), DiaSorin (DIA.IM), Lottomatica Group (LTMC.IM), Banca Popolare di Sondrio (BPSO.IM), Amplifon (AMP.IM), Anima Holding (ANIM.IM), Philogen (PHIL.IM), IGD (IGD.IM)
Norway: Telenor (TEL.NO), Gigante Salmon (GIGA.NO), Hexagon Purus (HPUR.NO), Otovo (OTOVO.NO)
Portugal: NOS (NOS.PL)
Spain: Indra Sistemas (ISM), Prosegur Compania de Seguridad (PSG.SM), Global Dominion Access (DOM.SM)
Sweden: Castellum (CAST.SS), Peab (PEAB.B.SS), Storskogen Group (STOR.B.SS), Bravida Holding (BRAV.SS), INVISIO (IVSO.SS), Lindab International (LIAB.SS), International Petroleum Corp (IPCO.SS), Nolato (NOLA.B.SS), Ambea (AMBEA.SS), RVRC Holding (RVRC.SS), Bahnhof (BAHN.B.SS), Proact IT Group (PACT.SS), HANZA AB (HANZA.SS), Haypp Group (HAYPP.SS), Stillfront Group (SF.SS), Acast (ACAST.SS), Vicore Pharma Holding (VICO.SS), Orrön Energy (ORRON.SS), Sedana Medical (SEDANA.SS), CTEK (CTEK.SS), Embellence Group (EMBELL.SS), SaltX Technology Holding (SALT.B.SS), Nordisk Bergteknik (NORB.B.SS), Orexo (ORX.SS), Wastbygg Gruppen (WBGR.B.SS), Mendus (IMMU.SS), PION Group (PION.B.SS)
Switzerland: Geberit (GEBN.SW), OC Oerlikon Corp. (OERL.SW)
Trading Update:
DACHs: R. Stahl (RSL2.GR), flatexDEGIRO (FTK.GR)
France: AXA (CS.FP), JCDecaux (DEC.FP), Figeac Aero (FGA.FP), Bonduelle (BON.FP), LNA Santé (LNA.FP)
Nordics: Demant (DEMANT.DC), ISS (ISS.DC), NNIT (NNIT.DC)
UK: International Workplace Group (IWG.LN)
Sales/Output: Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS (MOEX.RU), Avanza Bank Holding (AZA.SS), Nordnet (SAVE.SS)
Data:
Economics:
Switzerland April CPI y/y +0.03% vs prior +0.3%
Eurozone May Sentix Economic Index (8.09) vs prior (19.5)
Markets:
WTI Crude (25-Jun): ($1.72) or (2.95%) to $56.57
€-$ +0.0020 or +0.18% to 1.1326
£-$ +0.0031 or +0.24% to 1.3295
€-£ +0.0001 to 0.8520
S&P 500 (0.52%)
Performance year-to-date:
FTSE 100: +5.18%
DAX: +17.26%
CAC: +4.70%
MIB: +12.55%
Stoxx 600: +5.85%
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