May 05 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets are set for a mixed open with UK and Irish markets closed for a bank holiday. Asian equities weaker Monday. Thin-volume session with Japan, Greater China and Korean markets closed for public holidays. Australia and Taiwan trading lower, tracking weakness in S&P 500 futures. Australian and New Zealand bonds under pressure with curves flattening. Dollar weakening against majors while EM Asia currencies seeing sharp upswings. Crude selling off after OPEC+ agreed to another outsized production hike. Gold strengthening while Bitcoin pulling back from Feb-2025 highs.
In central banks, Bundesbank's Mauderer panellist title 'Europe needs greater cohesion than ever. But why?' at 17:00CET at event hosted by bank. In politics, Europe of research in Paris! event sees speeches by EU's von der Leyen and France's President Macron. Portugal general election radio debate between leaders of parties with seats in parliament at 9:30CET simultaneous on Antena 1/Observador/Renascença/TSF. North Rhine-Westphalia State Assn. of Business Assns. Entrepreneurs' Day; speakers include CDU's Merz at 18:00CET. Also in the evening, Chancellor Scholz will be bid farewell from his office by the Bundeswehr with a Grand Tattoo. Norway's PM Støre participate in a public meeting at 18:00CET at Søndre Nordstrand. NEXT Mila.
Macro data sees Switzerland Apr CPI, Eurozone May investor confidence - Sentix and Sweden Apr services PMI due for release.
On the corporate front, Stabilus (STM.GR) reported Q2 results whilst Friday post close, Groupe Bruxelles Lambert (GBLB.BB) reported NAV €111.17 per share as of 31-Mar-25. In the Nordics, BW Energy (BWE.NO) and Ratos (RATO.B.SS) are out with reports. Eutelsat Communications (ETL.FP) announced CEO Eva Berneke will be replaced by Jean-François Fallacher.
Politics/Macro/World News
OPEC+ plans to accelerates production hikes following Saturday's bumper increase
Ukraine's Zelenskiy, in Prague, says ceasefire could be put in place at any moment - Reuters
French PM: considering referendum proposal on budget - Reuters
Labour MPs press Keir Starmer to rethink benefits cuts after local elections - FT
Top company news
Earnings/updates
Benelux:
GBLB.BB (Groupe Bruxelles Lambert) -- reports NAV €111.17 per share as of 31-Mar-25
DACHs:
STM.GR (Stabilus) -- reports Q2 net income €11.2M vs FactSet €13.5M [1 est]
Nordics:
BWE.NO (BW Energy) -- reports Q1 net income $83M vs FactSet $57.3M [3 est, $47-66M]
RATO.B.SS (Ratos) -- reports Q1 EPS SEK0.76 vs FactSet SEK0.29 [4 est, SEK0.11-0.41]
M&A
KNOW.SS (Knowit) -- to divest Knowit Consulting Services to Right People Group for DKK96M (SEK140.1M) on cash and debt-free basis
SHEL.LN (Shell Plc) -- is reportedly in talks with advisors on a possible BP deal - Bloomberg
CPAY (Corpay) -- issues statement regarding Alpha Group International
AAL.LN (Anglo American) -- set to launch formal De Beers sale process 'very soon' - FT, citing De Beers CEO
KGF.LN (Kingfisher) -- completes sale of Brico Dépôt Romania
ABF.LN (Associated British Foods) -- Associated British Foods, Hovis discussing merger - Sky News
I-Squared-led consortium in talks to buy majority stake in Matterhorn Express Pipeline - Bloomberg
Unable to reach deal, Bharti Airtel, Tata Group terminate discussions on potential combination of Bharti Telemedia, Tata Group's DTH business
Bain circling Healthscope's debt - The Australian
Ravenswood contest nears conclusion as field of potential suitors narrows - The Australian
Healthcare
EKTA.B.SS (Elekta) -- announces preliminary results of the ERECT trial at the ESTRO annual congress
VLA.FP (Valneva) -- EMA's PRAC and ETF comment on the safety of Ixchiq
PHXM.FP (Phaxiam Therapeutics) -- announces the continuation of its observation period under the receivership procedure
EGTX.SS (Egetis Therapeutics) -- confirms availability of its first approved product, Emcitate (tiratricol) in Germany, as of 1-May
Other
ETL.FP (Eutelsat Communications) -- CEO Eva Berneke will be replaced by Jean-François Fallacher
BWE.NO (BW Energ) -- takes FID to develop Maromba field in Brazil; first oil is planned by end-2027 with expected plateau production of 60,000 bopd
SKA.B.SS (Skanska) -- awarded SEK880M construction contract in Gothenburg, Sweden
MZX.GR (Masterflex) -- to build new plant in Morocco, targets doubling sales in aviation business
EQV1V.FH (eQ) -- appoints Jouko Pölönen as CEO, effective no later than 5-Nov
XLS.SW (Xlife Sciences) -- 2024 project portfolio valued at CHF617.4-754.7M vs year-ago CHF611.7-747.8M
SUBC.NO (Subsea 7) -- awarded contract by Petrobas valued over $1.25B
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $144.7M, +95.9% y/y - Box Office Mojo
State Department approves possible Foreign Military Sale to Ukraine of F-16 training and sustainment and related equipment
Key rating changes
Upgrades
AIR.FP (Airbus SE) -- to buy at Jefferies
Initiations
ADS.GR (Adidas) -- overweight at Piper Sandler
Data
Nikkei closed
Hang Seng closed
Shanghai Composite closed
S&P futures (39.5) vs prior close of 5709.0
€-$ +0.0033 or +0.29% to 1.1339
$-¥ (0.59) or (0.41%) to 144.12
€-¥ (0.31) or (0.19%) to 163.40
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