May 09 ,2025
Synopsis
European indices are set to open higher as Asian equities trade mixed today. Japan outperforming with Nikkei back to pre-Liberation Day highs. Taiwan the other notable gainer with TSMC leading rally among semis
US equities were higher in Thursday trading, though stocks ended off best levels as market shed some of its gains in late afternoon weakness
US and UK provided some details on new trade agreement (many of which had already leaked), which marked the first for the White House since Trump reciprocal tariff announcement on 2-Apr. As expected, US to maintain 10% tariff on UK goods, which is estimated to generate $6B in annual revenue. UK will be able to send 100K vehicles to US and pay just a 10% tariff, marking a discount from the current 27.5% level.
In central banks, Bank of Finland's Rehn speech at 9:00CET at event co-hosted by Bruegel/Bank of Finland (livestream). BOE's Bailey speech ay 9:40BST at Reykjavik economic conf. Also, Bank of Lithuania's Šimkus at 14:10
Eco data reported so far today: Netherlands Mar Manufacturing Production (0.6%) m/m vs consensus (1.1%) and prior revised +0.9% from +1.2%
Economic data due today: UK Mar industrial/manufacturing production, Italy Mar industrial production, Norway Apr CPI, PPI, Sweden Mar industrial production, Denmark Mar trade balance, Greece Apr CPI, Mar industrial production, UK Apr house price balance - RICS, Apr GDP tracker - NIESR, Switzerland Apr consumer sentiment - SECO
Earnings reported so far: Orkla, Sonova Holding, bpost, Sif Holding, Catella, Höegh Autoliners, Capman, Commerzbank, Krones, Lonza.
Politics/Macro/World News
Top company news
Earnings/updates
LONN.SW (Lonza Group) -- Q1 qualitative update: strong CDMO performance
PRTA (Prothena Corp.) -- reports Q1 EPS ($1.12) vs FactSet ($0.97) [8 est, ($1.19)-(0.50)]
ENEL.IM (Enel) -- reports Q1 ordinary net income €2.18B vs StreetAccount €1.92B
CPR.IM (Davide Campari-Milano) -- reports Q1 EBIT €129.1M vs StreetAccount €142.1M
CBK.GR (Commerzbank) -- reports Q1 net income €834M vs consensus €698M; strong outlook for FY25 confirmed
TGS.NO (TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Co.) -- reports Q1 EPS $0.05 vs FactSet $0.22 [9 est, $0.05-0.44]
EUROB.GA (Eurobank Ergasias Services & Holdings) -- reports Q1 EPS €0.09 vs FactSet €0.09 [1 est]
KRN.GR (Krones) -- reports Q1 EPS €2.40 vs FactSet €2.47 [3 est, €2.35-2.58]
COL.SM (Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI) -- reports Q1 net income €45.8M vs FactSet €44M [1 est]
MEL.SM (Melia Hotels International) -- reports Q1 net income attributable €6.7M vs FactSet €6.8M [3 est, €5.4-8.2M]
ECMPA.NA (Eurocommercial Properties) -- reports Q1 EPS €0.66 vs year-ago €0.57
RENE.PL (Redes Energeticas Nacionais SGPS) -- reports Q1 net income €14.4M
AKER.NO (Aker ASA) -- reports Q1 NAV NOK834/share
MOL.HB (MOL Hungarian Oil & Gas) -- reports Q1 EPS Ft204.00 vs FactSet Ft128.62 [2 est, Ft124.49-132.75]
GEST.SM (Gestamp Automoción) -- reports Q1 net income €27M vs FactSet €38.4M [3 est, €33-47.1M]
NVG.PL (The Navigator Co.) -- reports Q1 net income €48.3M, (25%) vs year-ago €64.1M (post EU close 8-May)
HAUTO.NO (Höegh Autoliners) -- Apr trading update: transported 1.2M cbm of cargo on prorated basis
ISB.IR (Íslandsbanki) -- reports Q1 net income ISK5.2M vs year-ago ISK5.4M
CE.IM (Credito Emiliano) -- reports Q1 net income €229.3M vs FactSet €227.4M [5 est, €217-242M]
M&A
BP.LN (BP) -- vulnerable to takeover amid sliding share price; Shell, Chevron, ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies and Adnoc have all run the numbers - FT
UBSG.SW (UBS Group) -- in talks to sell O'Connor hedge fund unit to Cantor Fitzgerald -- Bloomberg
COP.GR (CompuGroup Medical) -- holder CVC Capital Partners to make public delisting offer in the amount of €22.00 per CGM Share
OET.NO (Okeanis Eco Tankers) -- declares option to purchase back VLCC vessels Nissos Kea, Nissos Nikouria, and Nissos Anafi
AKER.NO (Aker ASA) -- reports Q1 NAV NOK834/share
SBX.NO (Seabird Exploration) -- expects combination with Energy Drilling to be completed around 26-May
Healthcare
UCB.BB (UCB) -- receives approval from PMDA in Japan for at-home self-administration with infusion pump or new manual push syringe method for RYSTIGGO
IGMS (IGM Biosciences) -- discloses it receives notice of termination from Sanofi regarding 28-Mar-22 Collaboration and License agreement - 8-K
INDV.LN (Indivior) -- announces Joe Ciaffoni takes up role as CEO effective 8-May - 8-K
Other
AMS.SM (Amadeus IT Group) -- Amadeus IT Group's French subsidiary Amadeus sas will launch a share buy-back program
WTB.LN (Whitbread) -- selects Christine Hodgson as preferred candidate to replace Adam Crozier as chair - Sky News (8-May, 13:46 BST)
EPI.A.SS (Epiroc) -- to buy back not more than 1.9M series A shares
BPSO.IM (Banca Popolare di Sondrio) -- BPER Banca receives Bank of Ireland approval to increase stake in Arca Vita International DAC following completion of offer for Banca Popolare di Sondrio
DOCM.SW (DocMorris) -- shareholders approve CHF 200M capital increase through a rights issues
SWON.SW (SoftwareONE Holding) -- SoftwareOne appoints Hanspeter Schraner as new Group CFO as of 1-Jun-25
IAG said to be planning order for ~30 Boeing Dreamliners -- Bloomberg (earlier)
Market themes today include gains in tariff-exposed segments, quantum computing; while pharma lags on expected EO (8-May)
Key rating changes
Upgrades
Morgan Stanley upgrades HLN, HLN.LN
Downgrades
WKL.NA (Wolters Kluwer) -- to neutral from buy at UBS
GLE.FP (Societe Generale) -- to neutral from buy at UBS
KOG.NO (Kongsberg Gruppen) -- to sell from hold at DnB Markets
BALD.B.SS (Fastighets Balder) -- to hold from buy at Pareto
SAGA.B.SS (Sagax) -- to hold from buy at SEB
Other Actions
PTEC.LN (Playtech) -- resumed buy at Jefferies
Data
Nikkei +1.53% to 37493.03 Hang Seng (0.10%) to 22753.54 Shanghai Composite (0.22%) to 3344.78 S&P futures +0.0 vs prior close of 5684.5 €-$ (0.0003) or (0.03%) to 1.1226 $-¥ (0.34) or (0.23%) to 145.57 €-¥ (0.42) or (0.26%) to 163.40
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