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StreetAccount Summary - Europe Pre-Open: FTSE (0.2%), DAX flat, CAC +0.2%

Nov 02 ,2026

  • Synopsis

    • European equity markets set for a mixed open as a new month of trading gets underway. Europe's leading benchmark Stoxx 600 saw a gain of ~1.9% in October despite a challenging macro backdrop. Performance across the region was mixed. Italy's MIB and France CAC underperformed, while DAX and UK FTSE 100 outperformed and there was notable strength in Switzerland's SMI.

    • Asia equities again mixed Monday. Tech-leaning benchmarks also diverging with Japan's Nikkei and Taiwan's Taiex both lower but South Korea's Kospi notably higher. Turnaround in Asia AI trade with China semis, tech platforms and AI developers strengthening ahead of regulatory meeting on market support measures. China PMIs offered mixed read on manufacturing with official gauge falling back into contraction amid declines in new orders, exports and output. Official non-manufacturing PMI also returned to contraction. Contrasted with RatingDog manufacturing PMI remaining in expansion amid rise in output to six month high. Other Asia manufacturing PMIs signaled weaker activity among major tech-exporting nations with new orders slowing and cost pressures evident in Japan, Taiwan and South Korea.

    • Crude retreating (WTI (Dec 26) (3.19%) to $100.80) as Qatari mediators and Iranian officials continue diplomatic efforts with latest reports noting talks center on deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz within two days. While Iran reiterated its pre-conditions for reopening Hormuz, country's security chief Rezai noted change in tone from US and claimed readiness to accept Tehran's conditions. Fears of conflict following midterm elections remain high with Trump and Iran continuing war rhetoric.

    • This week's agenda sees Midterm Congressional elections on Tue, OPEC+ meeting, interest rate decisions by BOE and Norges Bank amongst others, Oct manufacturing/services PMIs from across the region as well as earnings/updates from the likes of ArcelorMittal (MT.NA), Bayer (BAYN.GR), BT Group (BT.A.LN), DHL Group (DHL.GR), Diageo (DGE.LN), Leonardo (LDO.IM), Maersk (MAERSK.B.DC), Novo Nordisk (NOVO.B.DC), Prudential (PRU.LN), Ryanair Holdings (RYA.ID) and Swiss Re (SREN.SW).

    • Of note, US clocks went back 1 hour on Sun (1st).

    • European macro data releases out today include Italy, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland Oct manufacturing PMI as well as final reads for Eurozone, France, Germany, UK, Germany Sep retail sales, Switzerland Sep retail sales, Austria Oct unemployment rate, Ireland Oct unemployment rate. Netherlands Sep Retail Sales +2.7% y/y vs consensus +2.8% and prior revised +3.8% from +3.5%

    • In corporate highlights, Alstom (ALO.FP), which issued a significant profit warning, slashing its FY26/27 EBIT margin guidance to ~1% from 6.5% and reporting an H1 EBIT margin of -4.0% against expectations of ~6.0% - this will be the main market mover of the morning. Ryanair (RYA.ID) delivered a broadly in-line Q3. Bakkafrost (BAKKA.NO) missed heavily on Q3 operational EBIT (DKK128M vs consensus DKK242M). Forvia (FRVIA.FP) reported stable Q3 revenues and confirmed FY guidance, with its Apollo interiors divestiture due to close in Q4. On the broker side, CaixaBank (CABK.SM) was upgraded to Overweight at Morgan Stanley, while Novartis (NOVN.SW), Roche (ROP.SW) and Haleon (HLN.LN) all saw downgrades from Deutsche Bank, UBS and Berenberg respectively. Euronext (ENX.FP) announced plans to nominate David Knibbe, current CEO of NN Group, as its new CEO. Notable reporters today include Grifols (GRF.SM), Lottomatica (LTMC.IM) and Coface (COFA.FP).

    • In central banks, Bundesbank's Nagel in monetary policy dialogue at 13:00CET at Bundestag committee and Köhler-Geib panellist at 16:00 at Bundesbank Invited Speaker Series (livestream). World in Progress forum (through Tue) sees Bank of France's Moulin and Bank of Spain's Escriva panellists at 16:00CET. Publication of the ECB's latest Survey of Monetary Analysts at 10:00CET. Irish central bank conf, speakers include Irish finance minister Harris, Irish central bank's Makhlouf, Denmark central banks' Krogstrup, EU's Albuquerque and ECB's Vujčić (speech, fireside chat from 9:45GMT) and Witlox. OECD Financial Markets Week in Paris (through Fri). In the UK, MPs continue to debate the recent budget. Chancellor Merz delivers a speech at Digital Summit in Berlin. EU's Hansen in Türkiye to participate in the third EU High-Level Dialogue on Agriculture whilst EU's Kallas meets UK defence minister Streeting and hosts the EU-UK Security and Defence dialogue and EU's Albuquerque delivers a speech and participates in a fireside discussion at the Financial System Conf. 2026. France, Italy, Spain Oct new car registrations are due for release.

  • Politics/Macro/World News

    • BoE Set To Raise Rates To 4% In Fight Against Inflation - FT

    • BoE explores easing key limit on riskier mortgage lending - FT

    • Millions in UK brace to remortgage on worse deals as rate rise looms - Guardian

    • Meloni targets Italy's wealthy with 'exit tax' -- Telegraph

    • British Food Standards Realigned With EU For First Time Since Brexit - Times

    • Allies fear Trump will target NATO in case of midterm loss - POLITICO

    • Fitch Revises France's Outlook to Negative; Affirms at 'A+'- link

    • Bitcoin stabilizing after Binance resumes withdrawals following crypto hack

  • Top company news

    • Earnings/updates

      • RYA.ID (Ryanair Holdings) -- reports Q2 EPS €1.54 ex-items vs FactSet €1.53 [7 est, €1.35-1.60]

      • ALO.FP (Alstom) -- reports H1 EBIT margin (4.0%) vs FactSet ~6.0%; adjusts FY26/27 EBIT margin guidance to ~1% from 6.5%

      • FRVIA.FP (Forvia) -- reports Q3 revenue €5.08B vs year-ago €5.03B; FY26 guidance confirmed

      • ARBN.SW (Arbonia) -- lowers FY guidance

      • BCP.PL (Banco Comercial Portugues) -- reports estimated ratios as of 30-Sep exceed new ECB minimum requirements

      • BAKKA.NO (Bakkafrost) -- reports Q3 operational EBIT DKK128M vs FactSet DKK242.1M [11 est, DKK194-342.7M]

      • MED.SW (Medartis Holding) -- Medartis reports growth in US business has accelerated driven by faster-than-expected adoption of TOUCH prosthesis; expects stronger outcome for 2026 financial year than previously anticipated

      • HLE.GR (FORVIA HELLA) -- reports FY revenue €5.93B vs FactSet €7.89B [1 est]

      • ALBPS.FP (Biophytis) -- reports H1 net income (€2.7M) vs year-ago (€4.5M)

      • ACAD.SS (AcadeMedia) -- reports Q1 EPS SEK1.31 vs FactSet SEK1.24 [4 est, SEK0.92-1.60]

      • Also reporting today

        • Earnings:

          • DACHs: AdvancedAdvT (06P0.GR), Amadeus FiRe (AAD.GR)

          • France: Coface (COFA.FP)

          • Nordics: Framery Group (FRAMERY.FH), Aspo (ASPO.FH), Ilkka (ILKKA.FH)

          • Southern Europe: Lottomatica Group (LTMC.IM), Grifols (GRF.SM), Corticeira Amorim (COR.PL)

        • CMD/Events: Kalmar (KALMAR.FH), Grupo Ezentis (EZE.SM) EGM, Saniona (SANION.SS) EGM, Gentoo Media (G2M.SS) EGM

    • M&A

      • FRVIA.FP (Forvia) -- Forvia interiors divesture to Apollo to close in Q4

      • OCI.NA (OCI NV) -- OCI announces EGM approval and updated timeline for combination with Orascom Construction

      • MUX.GR (Mutares) -- is evaluating strategic exit options for portfolio company Efacec earliest in 2027

      • EQT.SS (EQT AB) -- Increasing speculation EQT will look to sell Icon Group - The Australian

      • FORTUM.FH (Fortum) -- carried out a compulsory acquisition of the remaining shares in Elmera Group ASA and owns 100% of the company

      • SBS.GR (Stratec) -- to sell Diatron MI to consortium for €10.0M plus earn-outs

      • ATORX.SS (Alligator Bioscience) -- to sell mitazalimab to Biossil for $0.75M (SEK7.4M) upfront

      • SIP.BB (Sipef) -- subsidiary Tolan Tiga Indonesia signs binding letter of intent to acquire minority stakes in Indonesian Group companies

      • IOT.IM (SECO SpA) -- SECO agrees to acquire 60% of Zhejiang Qiyang Intelligent Technology as well as the remainder of Fannal Electronics and SECO Asia

    • Healthcare

      • BAVA.DC (Bavarian Nordic) -- has been awarded a new multi-year contract by the UK Government through the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) for the supply of MVA-BN

      • FRE.GR (Fresenius) -- and WuXi Biologics enter exclusive development agreement to expand biosimilars pipeline

      • 068270.KS (Celltrion) -- receives EMA approval for phase 3 clinical trial of CT-P13 SC for rheumatoid arthritis

      • VIVE.SS (Vivesto) -- FDA grants Orphan Drug Designation to cantrixil for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia

      • SKAN.SW (SKAN Group) -- AG informs about the proceedings by the Office of the Attorney General of Switzerland from 2023

    • Other

      • TTE.FP (TotalEnergies) -- signs deals to cut methane emission; terms undisclosed

      • ENX.FP (Euronext) --plans to nominate David Knibbe as CEO and Chairman of the Managing board; Knibbe will join from NN Group where he is CEO

      • UPM.FH (UPM-Kymmene) -- registers demerger; WISA Group to start trading 2-Nov

      • Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $55.7M, (3.0%) y/y - Box Office Mojo

      • France Oct new passenger car registration +11.9% y/y (comparable working days) to 149,341 vehicles -- PFA

      • Sustainability Daily - Dockworkers strike worldwide over arms shipments; Meta facing AI, privacy probes

      • Virgin Media O2 to fire substantial portion of workforce within months - Sky News

  • Key rating changes

    • Upgrades

      • ARJO.B.SS (Arjo) -- to buy from hold at DNB Carnegie

      • DEBS.LN (Debenhams Group) -- to outperform from underperform at RBC Capital Markets

      • IG.IM (Italgas) -- to buy from hold at Berenberg

      • CABK.SM (CaixaBank) -- to overweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley

    • Downgrades

      • NOVN.SW (Novartis) -- to sell from hold at Deutsche Bank

      • HLN.LN (Haleon) -- to hold from buy at Berenberg

      • ROP.SW (Roche Holding) -- to neutral from buy at UBS

      • DOCS.LN (Dr. Martens) -- to underweight from equal weight at Barclays

      • BEI.GR (Beiersdorf) -- to hold from buy at HSBC

      • AVOL.SW (Avolta) -- to sector perform from outperform at RBC Capital Markets

      • Arctic Securities downgrades AKRBP.NO, EQNR.NO, VAR.NO

    • Initiations

      • LMP.LN (LondonMetric Property) -- neutral at Oddo

      • SAAB.B.SS (Saab) -- neutral at JPMorgan

  • Data

    • Nikkei (0.33%) to 63081.86

    • Hang Seng +0.54% to 23419.16

    • Shanghai Composite +0.94% to 3632.76

    • S&P futures +34.3 vs prior close of 7614.0

    • €-$ +0.0028 or +0.25% to 1.1188

    • $-¥ +0.34 or +0.22% to 157.84

    • €-¥ +0.81 or +0.46% to 176.59

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