Sep 04 ,2025
Synopsis:
European equity markets closed mostly firmer while French CAC closed lower. Media, telecom, retail are amidst the best performers, while travel/leisure, basic resources and chemicals amidst the biggest laggards. US equity markets mostly higher in midday trading. Treasuries firmer with yields down 2-3 bp. Bund 2 bps lower at 2.72%. OAT 5 bps lower. Gilts off 2 bps. Dollar index up 0.3%. Gold down 0.9%. Bitcoin futures down 1.9%. WTI crude down 1.1% after falling 2.5% on Wednesday. Industrial metals weaker.
A relatively quiet macro calendar in Europe today. Swiss CPI met expectations, unchanged from prior 0.2% y/y reading. Eurozone retail sales weaker than forecast. Construction PMIs remain weak across Europe. French press increasingly focused on possible Socialist leadership ahead of PM Bayrou's confidence vote.
Comments from European central bank officials have not really shifted the ECB and BoE narrative. ECB policymakers supporting expectations for a steady hand next week. BoE Governor Bailey sounded more cautious on the prospect of further rate cuts due to upside inflation risk. Played down recently volatility in long-end of the Gilt curve but said it will affect pace of bond sales.
In corporate news, bioMerieux (BIM.FP) released H1 earnings and adjusted its FY guidance. Also in France, Voltalia (VLTSA.FP) reported H1 earnings and launched 2030 transformation plan SPRING; forecasts FY27 EBITDA of €300M-€325M. Nicox (ALCOX.FP) said it was financed into Q3 2026; expects to fully repay financial debts with NCX 470 de-risked and globally licensed. From the Benelux, D'Ieteren Group (DIE.BB) reported H1 earnings with adjusted net income €322.6M vs FactSet €424.5M. In the UK, Jet2 (JET2.LN) announced an 8% increase in Summer 2025 seat capacity to 18.5M and plans to reduce seat capacity slightly while maintaining attractive pricing for Winter 25/26. Currys PLC (CURY.LN) issued 17 weeks trading update with UK & Ireland like-for-like revenue +3% and announced new £50M buyback. Genus (GNS.LN), Grafton Group (GFTU.LN) and W.A.G. Payment Solutions (WPS.LN) also updated the market with their latest numbers.
On M&A front, Centrica plc (CNA.LN) acquires the Isle of Grain LNG terminal in partnership with Energy Capital Partners LLP from National Grid (NG.LN) for EV of £1.5B. Antin (ANTIN.FP) plans to take a majority stake in Matawan whilst Anchor AS completes offer for REC Silicon (RECSI.NO). Mediobanca (MB.IM) board maintains its assessment of Monte Paschi's (BMPS.IM) offer as "not fair and inadequate".
Digest:
Sectors - STOXX Europe 600:
Outperformers:
Media +2.02%, Telecom +1.81%, Retail +1.45%, Banks +1.36%, Construct & Mtls +1.34%, Technology +1.25%, Insurance +1.09%
Underperformers:
Travel & Leisure (0.74%), Basic Resources (0.47%), Chemicals (0.30%), Persnl & HHold Goods (0.14%), Autos & Parts (0.10%), Health Care +0.03%, Ind Goods & Svcs +0.13%, Real Estate +0.38%, Utilities +0.43%, Food & Beverage +0.43%, Oil & Gas +0.47%, Financial Svcs +0.54%
Macro:
Central Banks:
BoE Governor Bailey says market turmoil will affect pace of bond sales (London Times)
Bailey warns against exaggerating rise in UK borrowing costs (Guardian)
BoE deputy governor Lombardelli says rates may need to settle only slightly below 4% (Bloomberg)
EU:
European parliamentarians attack EU-US trade deal and demand changes (FT)
France:
UK:
Germany:
Coalition wants to support struggling steel and automotive industries (Handelsblatt)
Growth outlook cut as Ifo warns of prolonged stagnation (Reuters)
Geopolitics:
Peripheral markets:
Sweden:
Government to cut tax on food to support households in election year (Bloomberg )
Italy:
Italy will not send troops to Ukraine to police a possible peace deal with Russia (ANSA )
Spain:
The solar industry is asking the government for help to save $1.2B in exports affected by Trump's tariffs (ElPais )
Company news:
Notable Gainers
x
Notable Decliners
x
EU companies reporting tomorrow:
Earnings:
Benelux: Belysse Group (BELYS.BB)
France: Viel & Cie (VIL.FP)
UK: Ashmore Group (ASHM.LN), Camellia (CAM.LN)
Sales/Traffic: Finnair (FIA1S.FH)
Data:
Economics:
Eurozone Jul Retail Sales +2.2% y/y vs cons +2.4% and prior revised to +3.5% from +3.1%; (0.5%) m/m vs cons (0.3%) and prior revised to +0.6% from +0.3%
Germany Aug Construction PMI 46.0 vs consensus 46.4 and prior 46.3
Switzerland Aug
Unemployment Rate 2.9% vs consensus 2.9% and prior 2.9%
CPI +0.2% y/y vs consensus +0.2% and prior +0.2%; (0.1%) m/m vs consensus 0.0% and prior 0.0%
Ireland Q2 GDP +17.1% y/y vs preliminary +12.5%; +0.2% q/q vs preliminary (1.0%)
Markets:
WTI Crude (Oct 25): ($0.40) or (0.63%) to $63.57
€-$ (0.0012) or (0.10%) to 1.1651
£-$ (0.0007) or (0.05%) to 1.3436
€-£ (0.0005) to 0.8670
S&P 500 +0.38%
Performance year-to-date
FTSE 100: +12.77%
DAX: +19.39%
CAC: +4.31%
MIB: +22.83%
Stoxx 600: +8.37%
This information and data is provided for general informational purposes only. The Bank of New York Mellon and our information suppliers do not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of this information or data. We provide no advice nor recommendation or endorsement with respect to any company or securities. We do not undertake any obligation to update or amend this information or data. Nothing herein shall be deemed to constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities.
Please refer to "Terms Of Use".
DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS:
NOT FDIC, STATE OR FEDERAL AGENCY INSURED
MAY LOSE VALUE
NO BANK, STATE OR FEDERAL AGENCY GUARANTEE