Oct 20 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets set to open broadly higher, extending last week's gains when the STOXX Europe 600 closed up +0.37%. The Stoxx Europe 600 ended marginally higher in volatile trading in a week dominated by trade tensions and early Q3 earnings.
Asian equities trading higher Monday. Japan rally strengthening with Takaichi set to become PM following coalition agreement. Hang Seng leading rally across Greater China with tech platforms and semis seeing big gains. China Q3 GDP growth fell to lowest in a year, though figures slightly better-than-expected (expanded 4.8% y/y in Q3 vs consensus 4.7%) as tepid domestic demand offset positive contribution from exports. September activity data mixed.
This week sees EU leaders summit, Eurozone, France, Germany, UK Oct flash manufacturing/services PMIs as well as earnings/updates from Atlas Copco (ATCO.A.SS), Barclays (BARC.LN), DNB Bank (DNB.NO), Nokia (NOKIA.FH), Orange (ORA.FP), Roche Holding (ROG.SW), Sanofi (SAN.FP), SAP (SAP.GR), Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken (SEB.A.SS), UniCredit (UCG.IM), Unilever (ULVR.LN) and Vivendi (VIV.FP). Of note, on Fri, there's the Ireland Presidential election
On today's agenda: macro data releases include Germany Sep PPI. In central banks, ECB, BIS, CEPR conf (through Tue) sees ECB's Schnabel welcoming remarks at 10:00CET and panellist at 16:00. Bundesbank's Balz panellist at 19:00CET at event co-hosted by Ludwig Erhard Foundation. Bundesbank's Nagel, Croatia central bank's Vujčić panellists at 21:00CET at event hosted by NYU Stern School of Business. Bank of Finland's Institute for Emerging Economies will release its update to Russia forecast for years 2025-27.
On the corporate front, focus on news Kering (KER.FP) and L'Oréal (OR.FP) enter long-term strategic partnership, includes sale of Creed and establishment of 50-year licenses valued at €4B. The partnership includes the rights to enter into a 50-year exclusive license for the creation, development, and distribution of fragrance and beauty products for Gucci, commencing after expiration of the current license with Coty. Kering will also grant L'Oréal 50-year exclusive licenses for the creation, development, and distribution of fragrance and beauty products for Bottega Veneta and Balenciaga, starting upon closing of the announced transaction. Sandvik (SAND.SS) is scheduled to report Q3 earnings at 11:30 CET. TKMS AG & Co. (TKMS.GR) (thyssenkrupp's marine business) spin-off due to start trading. VW (VOW.GR)confirms CEO Oliver Blume's double role to conclude at year-end '25; to remain VW CEO through 2030. Meanwhile, Porsche (P911.GR) has appointed Michael Leiters as CEO of Porsche AG, effective as of 1-Jan-26
Politics/Macro/World News
Geopolitics
France
Standard & Poor's cuts France to A+/A-1 from AA-/A-1+, outlook stable
UK
Ireland
Presidential race heats up in final days before vote -- RTE
Top company news
Earnings/updates
SOBI.SS (Swedish Orphan Biovitrum) -- reports preliminary Q3 revenue SEK7.78B vs FactSet SEK7.73B [9 est, SEK7.34-8.27B]; adjusted EBITA margin 47%; To record a non-cash impairment charge of SEK 6,612 M relating to the impairment of the product and marketing right for Vonjo; to report Q3 on 20-Oct
IBE.SM (Iberdrola) -- reports provisional Q3 total electricity production 29,726 GWh, (0.8%) y/y (post EU close 17-Oct)
FRVIA.FP (Forvia) -- reports Q3 revenue €6.12B vs StreetAccount €6.11B; reaffirms FY guidance
ARYN.SW (Aryzta) -- reports Q3 revenue €554.3M, +0.4% y/y
Also reporting today
Earnings:
Nordics: Sandvik (SAND.SS)
Trading Update:
France: ATOS (ATO.FP), Thermador Groupe (THEP.FP), SergeFerrari Group (SEFER.FP)
M&A
KER.FP (Kering) -- and L'Oréal enter long-term strategic partnership, includes sale of Creed and establishment of 50-year licenses valued at €4B
HOLN.SW (Holcim) -- to acquire Xella for transaction value of €1.85B
MOWI.NO (Mowi) -- Mowi's acquisition of controlling stake in Nova Sea AS received approval of EU Commission
BYW6.GR (BayWa) -- Ano longer assumes the sale of Cefetra Group B.V. will be closed with the entities of the First Dutch Group
IAR.B.SS (IAR) -- I.A.R. Systems Group AB applies for delisting
Healthcare
JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) -- announces results from OrigAMI-4 study of SC amivantamab at ESMO
AMGN (Amgen) -- and AstraZeneca announce FDA approves TEZSPIRE for chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps
AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- AstraZeneca's Saphnelo has been recommended for approval in EU by CHMP for systemic lupus erythematosus
AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- reports ENHERTU (fam-trastuzumab deruxtecan-nxki) followed by THP before surgery resulted in a pathologic complete response in 67% of patients with high-risk HER2-positive early-stage breast cancer in DESTINY-Breast11 Phase III trial
NOVN.SW (Novartis) -- presents new data from PSMAddition trial of Pluvicto at ESMO
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- announces new data published in The Lancet of its high-dose influenza vaccine Efluelda demonstrates superior protection for older adults against hospitalization vs standard-dose
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- FDA approves Genentech's Gazyva to treat LN
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- Roche presents new phase III pivotal data for vamikibart in uveitic macular edema (UME)
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- Roche presents results from phase III evERA Breast Cancer study of giredestrant at ESMO Congress 2025
EXEL (Exelixis) -- to present results from subgroup analysis of CABINET trial of CABOMETYX at ESMO
GMAB.DC (Genmab) -- presents updated data from RAINFOL-01 trial of Rina-S at ESMO
OLMA (Olema Pharmaceuticals) -- announces updated data from Phase 1B/2 study of palazestrant in combination with ribociclib
4568.JP (Daiichi Sankyo) -- presents results from DESTINY-Breast11 trial of ENHERTU at ESMO
4568.JP (Daiichi Sankyo) -- presents results from DESTINY-Breast05 trial of ENHERTU at ESMO
CELC (Celcuity) -- presents updated data from Phase 1 trial evaluating gedatolisib in combination with Nubeqa in men with mCRPC
ACTI.SS (Active Biotech) -- announces fully secured rights issue of ~SEK 70M
XBRANE.SS (Xbrane Biopharma) -- FDA issues CRL to Xbrane Biopharma's BLA for its ranibizumab biosimilar candidate for treatment of retinal disorders
ORY.SM (Oryzon Genomics) -- ORYZON receives feedback from the FDA to Phase III protocol in Borderline Personality Disorder
AVCT.LN (Avacta Group) -- updates on faridoxorubicin at ESMO, to hold Investor Meet conference 21-Oct
Other
VOW.GR (Volkswagen) -- confirms CEO Oliver Blume's double role to conclude at year-end '25; to remain VW CEO through 2030
P911.GR (Porsche) -- has appointed Michael Leiters as CEO of AG, effective as of 1-Jan-26
BN.FP (Danone) -- says food industry is at tipping point due to demographic changes; says US push to counter food additives aligns with Danone's own initiatives - FT, citing CEO
LHA.GR (Deutsche Lufthansa) -- may cut 100 domestic flights each week next summer - Welt am Sonntag
TGS.NO (TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Co.) -- awarded OBN 4D contract in Gulf of America
TPEIR.GA (Piraeus Financial Holdings) -- commences additional tranche of share buyback program (17-Oct)
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $64.9M, (5.7%) y/y - Box Office Mojo
FineToday postpones Tokyo IPO due to market conditions
Rio Tinto talks up US growth plans and praises much-improved relationship with Chinalco - The Australian
Key rating changes
Upgrades
Jefferies upgrades ITH.LN; reinstates ENQ.LN
Morgan Stanley upgrades ADP.FP
OUT1V.FH (Outokumpu) -- to buy from hold at DNB Carnegie
RR.LN (Rolls-Royce Holdings) -- to hold from sell at Berenberg
SINCH.SS (Sinch) -- to buy from hold at Handelsbanken
VOLV.B.SS (Volvo) -- to hold from sell at DNB Carnegie
WAF.GR (Siltronic) -- to buy from hold at Jefferies
ANOD.B.SS (Addnode Group) -- to buy from hold at DNB Carnegie
Downgrades
YAR.NO (Yara International) -- to hold from buy at Danske Bank
MKS.LN (Marks & Spencer Group) -- to sector perform from outperform at RBC Capital Markets
BOL.SS (Boliden) -- to hold from buy at Pareto
Morgan Stanley downgrades AIA.GA, FRA.GR
Initiations
DBK.GR (Deutsche Bank) -- hold at Jefferies
XVIVO.SS (Xvivo Perfusion) -- buy at Handelsbanken
Data
Nikkei +2.99% to 49005.38
Hang Seng +2.27% to 25819.95
Shanghai Composite +0.47% to 3857.62
S&P futures +24.5 vs prior close of 6702.5
€-$ +0.0006 or +0.05% to 1.1673
$-¥ +0.22 or +0.15% to 150.66
€-¥ +0.34 or +0.19% to 175.86
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