Oct 30 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets set to open mixed in a busy session for earnings/updates with the likes of ABI.BB, GLE.FP, STAN.LN, BBVA.SM, SHEL.LN, SU.FP and RCO.FP among those reporting.
Market processing hawkish initial takeaways from Fed meeting, which included a widely expected 25 bp rate cut and commentary from Chair Powell that a December rate cut is not a foregone conclusion, "far from it." Added that FOMC committee had strongly differing views about how to proceed in December. Focus on Powell's remarks saw Treasury yield curve bear flatten as market-implied odds of a December rate cut fell to 57% from 91% a day ago.
Meanwhile in Europe, an uneventful ECB policy meeting is anticipated with the Governing Council widely expected to leave the key deposit rate unchanged at 2% for the third meeting in a row today No updates to macroeconomic forecasts are due until December and for the most part ECB officials have said policy is in a good place and it is prepared to look through minor deviations from its inflation target.
Asia equities turning negative Thursday on the conclusion of the Trump-Xi meeting. Declines in mainland China markets while the Hang Seng has also largely reversed a morning gain. Presidential meeting between Trump and Xi ended with the US agreeing to lower China tariffs to 47% in exchange for a resumption of soybean purchases, pausing on rare earth curbs for a year, and cracking down on fentanyl precursors. Separately, US and South Korea finalized trade deal that will see Seoul invest$350B in US in return for tariff relief.
In the Netherlands, the centrist D66 party made huge gains in Dutch elections, likely giving it the lead in government formation as the party of far-right leader Geert Wilders lost support, notes Reuters. The Netherlands is set to elect its youngest ever prime minister with Rob Jetten, the 28-year-old leader of the centrist D66 party.
European macro data releases include Germany Q3 preliminary GDP, Oct unemployment change, preliminary CPI, France Q3 preliminary GDP, Sep household consumption, Italy Q3 preliminary GDP, Sep unemployment rate, Spain Oct preliminary CPI, Eurozone Q3 preliminary GDP, Oct economic sentiment, Switzerland Oct leading indicators - KOF, Sweden Sep retail sales, Finland Q3 preliminary GDP, Denmark Sep unemployment rate, Austria Q3 preliminary GDP, Sep PPI, Portugal Q3 preliminary GDP, Sep retail sales, Greece Sep unemployment rate, PPI, Belgium Oct CPI, Ireland Oct preliminary HICP
Also on today's agenda, Croatia central bank's Švaljek presentation at 10:00CET at roundtable organized by the Croatian Chamber of Economy. Turkish President Erdoğan hosts Chancellor Merz. A joint press conf. is planned after the meeting. EU's Šefčovič participates in a parliamentary hearing in the Italian Senate. EU's Serafin in Greece (through Fri) as part of the 'Tour d'Europe' to consult on the European long-term budget. Meets with Greece's PM Mitsotakis. others, and tomorrow finance minister Pierrakakis. Amongst events are Handelsblatt Corporate Climate Adaptation Conf. (through Fri), 7th Frankfurt Regulatory Conf, IFRS Sustainability Symposium and 43rd UNESCO General Conf, the latter decides on the organization's policies, program, and budget. Japan Mobility Show gets underway.
Politics/Macro/World News
Top company news
Earnings/updates
Benelux
ABI.BB (Anheuser-Busch InBev) -- reports Q3 underlying EPS $0.99 vs consensus $0.96; approves 6 billion USD share buyback program, an interim dividend of 0.15 EUR per share for the fiscal year 2025
INGA.NA (ING Groep) -- reports Q3 net income €1.79B vs consensus €1.61B; raises FY25 total income outlook and announces €1.6B buyback
DSFIR.NA (DSM-Firmenich) -- reports Q3 adj. EBITDA €540M vs FactSet €541.5M [5 est, €525-557M]; lowers FY adj. EBITDA guidance
France
RCO.FP (Remy Cointreau) -- reports Q2 Sales €268.8M vs consensus €273.3M; lowers FY guidance to organic decline in current operating profit of between low double digits and mid-teens vs prior guidance a mid-single digit decline
AIR.FP (Airbus SE) -- reports Q3 adj EBIT €1.94B vs consensus €1.76B; FY25 guidance maintained, now including impact of currently applicable tariffs
GLE.FP (Societe Generale) -- reports Q3 group net income €1.52B vs consensus €1.30B
ACA.FP (Credit Agricole) -- reports Q3 EPS €0.53 vs FactSet €0.53 [7 est, €0.50-0.56]
SU.FP (Schneider Electric) -- reports Q3 revenue €9.72B vs consensus €9.78B
LSS.FP (Lectra) -- reports Q3 net income €7.2M vs FactSet €7.6M [2 est, €6.4-8.7M]
UK
PRU.LN (Prudential) -- Q3 update: APE sales +10% y/y to $1.72B
STAN.LN (Standard Chartered) -- reports Q3 underlying EPS $0.52 vs consensus $0.43
WG.LN (John Wood Group) -- Wood Group (John) PLC updates on FY24 & HY25 Results and Meetings
DACH
1COV.GR (Covestro) -- reports Q3 net income (€47M) vs FactSet (€69.1M) [2 est, (€92)-(46.3M)]; now expects FY EBITDA between €700-800M vs prior guidance €700M - €1.1B and FactSet €800.16M
SDZ.SW (Sandoz Group) -- reports Q3 revenue $2.83B vs FactSet $3.09B [3 est, $2.85-3.57B]
AVOL.SW (Avolta) -- reports Q3 CORE revenue CHF3.79B vs StreetAccount CHF3.89B; reaffirms medium-term targets
CLN.SW (Clariant) -- reports Q3 adjusted EBITDA CHF162M vs consensus CHF150M; confirms FY outlook
WCH.GR (Wacker Chemie) -- reports Q3 EPS (€1.73) vs consensus (€0.84); now guides FY Negative net result significantly below that of the previous year
LHA.GR (Deutsche Lufthansa) -- reports Q3 net income €1.0B vs StreetAccount €966.7M; confirms FY outlook
SIGN.SW (SIG) -- guides FY26 adj EBIT margin to be above level of 2025; to re-instate dividends -- CMD (
KGX.GR (Kion Group) -- reports Q3 EPS €0.87 vs consensus €0.72; narrows FY revenue, adj. EBIT & ROCE guidance, increases for free cash flow
KBX.GR (Knorr-Bremse) -- reports Q3 EPS €0.89 vs FactSet €0.98 [6 est, €0.92-1.02]; Operating EBIT €251M vs FactSet €249.4M [9 est, €223.2-267M]; confirms EBIT and cash flow guidance for the 2025 fiscal year.
HFG.GR (HelloFresh) -- reports Q3 adjusted EBITDA €40.3M vs consensus €39.5M; reconfirms FY guidance
KTN.GR (Kontron) -- reports preliminary 9M EBITDA €194M including item
IDIA.SW (Idorsia) -- reports Q3 Non-GAAP EPS (CHF0.19) ex-items vs FactSet (CHF0.22) [2 est, (CHF0.25)-(0.19)]; reaffirms FY guidance
Southern Europe
CPR.IM (Davide Campari-Milano) -- reports Q3 adj EBIT €165.6M vs consensus €148.2M; comments on FY25 outlook
AMP.IM (Amplifon) -- reports Q3 net income €19.2M vs FactSet €14.5M [7 est, €8-22M]; lowers consolidated revenues growth at c.c. to between 2%-2.5% from prior ~3%
BBVA.SM (BBVA) -- reports Q3 net income €2.53B vs consensus €2.55B; to accelerate remuneration plans for shareholders
JMT.PL (Jeronimo Martins) -- reports Q3 net income €214M, +14% vs year-ago €187M
BCP.PL (Banco Comercial Portugues) -- reports 9M net income €775.9M vs year-ago €714.1M
Nordics
ELUX.B.SS (Electrolux) -- reports Q3 EPS SEK0.71 vs consensus SEK1.25; EBIT SEK890M vs consensus SEK875.0M
INTRUM.SS (Intrum) -- reports Q3 EPS SEK15.95 vs consensus SEK5.95
Also reporting today
Earnings:
Austria: Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI.AV), Andritz (ANDR.AV), AMAG Austria Metall (AMAG.AV)
Benelux:Ontex Group (ONTEX.BB),Universal Music Group (UMG.NA), Eurocommercial Properties (ECMPA.NA)
Denmark: Netcompany Group (NETC.DC), Tivoli (TIV.DC)
Finland: Kesko (KESKOB.FH), Yit (YIT.FH), Kojamo (KOJAMO.FH), Sanoma (SANOMA.FH), Qt Group (QTCOM.FH), Revenio Group (REG1V.FH), Finnair (FIA1S.FH), Oriola (ORIOLA.FH), Glaston (GLA1V.FH)
France: TotalEnergies (TTE.FP), AXA (CS.FP), Ayvens (AYV.FP), Technip Energies (TE.FP), Pluxee (PLX.FP), Imerys (NK.FP), TF1 (TFI.FP), X-FAB Silicon Foundries (XFAB.FP), Viridien (VIRI.FP)
Germany: Volkswagen (VOW3.GR), Scout24 (G24.GR), DMG MORI (GIL.GR), Puma (PUM.GR), Vossloh (VOS.GR), AlzChem Group (ACT.GR), Aixtron (AIXA.GR), Befesa (BFSA.GR), PSI Software (PSAN.GR), Baader Bank (BWB.GR), OVB Holding (O4B.GR), LPKF Laser & Electronics (LPK.GR)
Greece: Eurobank Ergasias Services & Holdings (EUROB.GA)
Italy: Prysmian (PRY.IM), BasicNet (BAN.IM), Elica (ELC.IM)
Norway: Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG.NO), Höegh Autoliners (HAUTO.NO), Scatec (SCATC.NO), Europris (EPR.NO), Pareto Bank (PARB.NO), Solstad Offshore (SOFF.NO), Akastor (AKAST.NO), Archer (ARCH.NO), Vistin Pharma (VISTN.NO), Aker Horizons (AKH.NO)
Spain: Repsol (REP.SM), Indra Sistemas (IDR.SM), Grupo Catalana Occidente (GCO.SM), Fluidra (FDR.SM), Melia Hotels International (MEL.SM), Pharma Mar (PHM.SM)
Sweden: Resurs Holding (RESURS.SS), ITAB Shop Concept (ITAB.SS), Acast (ACAST.SS), Hansa Biopharma (HNSA.SS), XANO Industri (XANO.B.SS), Eltel (ELTEL.SS), SynAct Pharma (SYNACT.SS), CTEK (CTEK.SS), Rottneros (RROS.SS), Minesto (MINEST.SS)
UK: Shell (SHEL.LN), Spectris (SXS.LN)
Other: Enerjisa Enerji (ENJSA.E.TI), Íslandsbanki (ISB.IR)
Trading Update:
Benelux: ARCADIS (ARCAD.NA), Recticel (RECT.BB)
DACHs: Vontobel Holding (VONN.SW), Molecular Partners (MOLN.SW), Grammer (GMM.GR)
France: Compagnie de Saint-Gobain (SGO.FP), Elis (ELIS.FP), Eramet (ERA.FP), Wavestone (WAVE.FP), Tarkett (TKTT.FP), 74Software (74SW.FP), Groupe Samse (SAMS.FP), Casino Guichard-Perrachon (CO.FP), Guillemot Corp. (GUI.FP), ATEME (ATEME.FP), Vantiva (VANTI.FP)
Nordics: Carlsberg (CARL.B.DC), Detection Technology (DETEC.FH)
Southern Europe: Stellantis (STLAM.IM), Puig Brands (PUIG.SM), Distribuidora Internacional De Alimentacion (DIA.SM)
UK: Haleon (HLN.LN), WPP Group (WPP.LN), Computacenter (CCC.LN), PPHE Hotel Group (PPH.LN), Zotefoams (ZTF.LN), Gem Diamonds (GEMD.LN)
CMD/events: Novartis (NOVN.SW) business update call
M&A
AAL.LN (Anglo American) -- Anglo American's sale of nickel business to MMG faces EU antitrust investigation - Reuters
VONN.SW (Vontobel Holding) -- agrees to sell cosmofunding to Zürcher Kantonalbank; terms undisclosed
WG.LN (John Wood Group) -- Wood Group (John) PLC updates on FY24 & HY25 Results and Meetings
DHG.ID (Dalata Hotel Group) -- Pandox announces cash acquisition of Dalata sanctioned by the High Court of Ireland
Virgin Media O2 in talks to acquire broadband network operator Netomnia for £2B - FT
Healthcare
DBV.FP (DBV Technologies) -- issues $30M of ADSs under ATM program
EVT.GR (Evotec) -- SEC filing: SCHEDULE 13D/A (Filed by Excalibur LuxCo SARL)
AVCT.LN (Avacta Group) -- Transcript Intelligence: Avacta Group at AACR-NCI-EORTC International Molecular Targets Congress - Abstract No #C123
Other
LOGN.SW (Logitech International) -- SEC filing: 10-Q
AVOL.SW (Avolta) -- awarded 11-year duty-free contract at John F. Kennedy International Airport's Terminal 8
Intraday themes include EV slowdown prompts GM layoffs; Microsoft investigation Azure outage (29-Oct)
POSCO in talks to form 50/50 cathode materials institutional sector JV with BASF - Chosun
Key rating changes
Upgrades
CPR.IM (Davide Campari-Milano) -- to neutral from underweight at JPMorgan
RENE.PL (Redes Energeticas Nacionais SGPS) -- to outperform from market perform at Bernstein
SWEC.B.SS (Sweco) -- to buy from hold at ABG Sundal Collier
SWEC.B.SS (Sweco) -- to buy from hold at Jefferies
NDA.SE.SS (Nordea Bank) -- to outperform from neutral at Autonomous Research
Downgrades
KNIN.SW (Kuehne & Nagel) -- to underweight from equal weight at Barclays
EUROB.GA (Eurobank Ergasias Services & Holdings) -- to hold from buy at HSBC
MOWI.NO (Mowi) -- to hold from buy at Nordea
SALM.NO (Salmar) -- to sell from hold at Nordea
NESTE.FH (Neste) -- to neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
DNB.NO (DNB Bank) -- to neutral from outperform at Autonomous Research
Initiations
BANB.SW (Bachem Holding) -- neutral at Oddo
RAT.LN (Rathbones Group) -- underperform at Jefferies
SMG.SW (SMG Swiss Marketplace Group) -- buy at UBS
SMG.SW (SMG Swiss Marketplace Group) -- neutral at Goldman Sachs
SMG.SW (SMG Swiss Marketplace Group) -- overweight at JPMorgan
SMG.SW (SMG Swiss Marketplace Group) -- equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
SMG.SW (SMG Swiss Marketplace Group) -- neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
Data
Nikkei +0.04% to 51325.61
Hang Seng (0.57%) to 26196.44
Shanghai Composite (0.61%) to 3991.68
S&P futures +1.0 vs prior close of 6922.8
€-$ +0.0019 or +0.16% to 1.1621
$-¥ +0.66 or +0.43% to 153.40
€-¥ +1.05 or +0.59% to 178.23
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