Nov 26 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets are set for a firmer open. Follows positive performance on Tuesday. Asian equity markets broadly higher, with strong gains for Nikkei, Kospi and Taiex. US equity futures firmer with S&P up ~0.4%. US markets finished higher on Tuesday, which was the third straight gain for S&P.
Focus on the UK 2025 Autumn Budget announcement at 12:30GMT. It will be defining moment for the government after months of speculation over the size of the fiscal gap, waning support for the Labour Party and speculation over future of PM Starmer and Reeves. Chancellor Reeves has said she will prioritize cutting the cost of debt, easing the cost of living and reducing waiting lists in the health service. Her decisions will be underpinned by new macroeconomic forecasts presented by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the independent fiscal watchdog at 14:30GMT. It has been widely reported that the OBR will cut its long-term forecast for productivity growth after it overestimated the economy's growth potential in prior updates. When taken together with government U-turns on spending cuts and higher borrowing costs, it has been estimated that fiscal consolidation of up to £30B will be needed.
In central banks, Bundesbank's Mauderer speech at 10:20CET at Impact Festival (through Thu) and Köhler-Geib panellist at 16:30 at event hosted by the bank. Norges Bank's Bache speaks at 11:00CET to the board of the The United Federation of Trade Unions. Croatia central bank's Vujčić speech at 15:00CET on Euro Area monetary policy outlook at Navigating Tomorrow conf organized by Danske Bank. ECB's Lane fireside chat at 17:05CET at "Macro Outlook" session at conf on Global Market Insights: Navigating the new geopolitical environment, organised by Santander CIB. ECB's Lagarde acceptance speech at 18:00CET at Transatlantikpreis ceremony 2025 at Steuben-Schurz-Gesellschaft and ECB publishes latest Financial Stability Review at 10:00CET.
Chancellor Merz will participate in the general debate on the 2026 budget in the German Bundestag and later in the day participates in the Baden-Württemberg Automotive Industry Strategy Dialogue in Stuttgart. Greece's PM Mitsotakis meets with EU's Tzitzikostas. Norway's minister of energy Aasland speech on energy policy at 19:00CET at Bergen Ap meeting.
On the macro front, Switzerland Nov economic sentiment index and publication of the DIW Economic Barometer.
In earnings, CMB.TECH (CMBT.BB) reported Q3 EPS $0.07 vs FactSet $0.05 whilst in the DACHs region, Aroundtown (AT1.GR) reported Q3 EPS €0.16 vs year-ago €0.09 and Adecco Group (ADEN.SW) reaffirmed long term financial framework in connection with its CMD. In the Nordics, Elekta (EKTA.B.SS) reported Q2 adj. EPS SEK0.64 vs consensus SEK0.61.
CMD and Investor Events include Adecco (ADEN.SW), Atlas Copco (ATCO.A.SS), Paxman (PAX.SS), Lassila & Tikanoja (LAT1V.FH), Xplora Technologies (XPLRA.NO), Hargreaves Services (HSP.LN), Infineon Technologies (IFX.GR) business update call, Deutsche Bank (DBK.GR) Capital Market Outlook 2026.
Macro
Minimum wage to increase by 4.1% from April, with bigger increases for younger workers (BBC, FT )
Britons brace for highly uneven impact of Rachel Reeves' 'stealth tax' (FT )
As potential Ukraine deal looms, France and Britain map out boots-on-ground role (Politico )
North Sea drilling restrictions to be relaxed in new Labour plan (BBC )
Top company news
Earnings/updates
Benelux:
CMBT.BB (CMB.TECH) -- reports Q3 EPS $0.07 vs FactSet $0.05 [2 est, $0.02-0.07]
DACHS:
ADEN.SW (Adecco Group) -- reaffirms long term financial framework - CMD
AT1.GR (Aroundtown) -- reports Q3 EPS €0.16 vs year-ago €0.09
FLU.AV (Flughafen Wien) -- announces project for the third runway will not continue; adjusts FY net income before minority interests guidance to ~€210M vs prior ~€230M
France:
TNG.FP (Transgene) -- launches fundraising campaign for ~€105M through issuance of new shares via private placement
Nordics:
EKTA.B.SS (Elekta) -- reports Q2 adj. EPS SEK0.64 vs consensus SEK0.61; reiterates FY 2025/26 outlook
LAT1V.FH (Lassila & Tikanoja) -- hosts a CMD focusing on the New Lassila & Tikanoja and Luotea
NORSE.NO (Norse Atlantic) -- reports Q3 net income ($7.8M) vs year-ago ($6.3M)
COSH.NO (Constellation Oil Services Holding) -- reports Q3 net income ($37.1M) vs FactSet ($33.9M) [2 est, ($36.9)-(31M)]
Southern Europe:
EDR.SM (eDreams ODIGEO) -- confirms and expands on short-term guidance
Southern Europe:
SUS.SS (Surgical Science Sweden) -- notes cancellation of MoU from Intuitive; estimates 2026 revenue impact ~(SEK60M)-(90M) compared to 2025
M&A
ANA.SM (Acciona) -- negotiates selling its wind assets in Galicia to Xunta for 700M -- Expansion
SHLF.NO (Shelf Drilling) -- and Ades International Holding complete merger
SGO.FP (Compagnie de Saint-Gobain) -- Saint-Gobain's CSR receiving interest for building blocks unit Hebel for as much as A$250M (€140.3M) - Australian Financial Review
YPFD.AR (YPF) -- Eni agrees to acquire a 50% share and operatorship in the exploration Block OFF-5 in Uruguay's offshore from YPF
EVOK.LN (Evoke Plc) -- Evoke evaluating options for selling its Italian unit - Sky News
UBXN.SW (u-blox Holding) -- Advent completes previously announced acquisition of u-blox Holding
HTRO.SS (Hexatronic Group) -- Hexatronic acquires US-based Communication Zone in a deal worth $20.4M (EV basis) plus $3.5M earnout
ALLIX.FP (Wallix Group) -- today announces the acquisition of Malizen
Healthcare
AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- announces FDA approval of Imfinzi in patients with early gastric and gastroesophageal cancers
UCB.BB (UCB) -- FDA grants orphan drug designation to zampilimab for IPF
VLA.FP (Valneva) -- announces positive final immunogenicity and safety data from Phase 2 study, VLA15-221, of Lyme disease vaccine candidate, VLA15.
OXUR.BB (Oxurion) -- has been notified that Atlas Special Opportunities II LLC holds ~6.2M shares in as of 21-Nov
TNG.FP (Transgene) -- Trade halt in Transgene pending results of capital release
MVIR.SS (Medivir) -- FDA grants orphan drug designation to MIV-711 for osteogenesis imperfecta
IBT.B.SS (Infant Bacterial Therapeutics) -- IBT changes the IBP-9414 pathway for approval following discussions with the FDA
Other
ALAFY.FP (Afyren) -- completes €23M capital increase to finance the optimization and expansion of its world-first biorefinery
KEMIRA.FH (Kemira) -- new CFO Tuomas Mäkipeska to start on 1-Apr-26
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- Sanofi headquarters searched as part of an investigation involving Société Générale on suspicions of tax fraud -- Le Monde
ALL.LN (Atlantic Lithium) -- receives £1M (~A$2.0M) placement proceeds from Long State; to undertake second placement to raise £2M (~A$4.1M)
SAP.GR (SAP) -- o9 Solutions, Inc. files a complaint in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Texas against SAP
VOW.GR (Volkswagen) -- facing notable decrease in workers taking up early retirement and voluntary redundancy - FT
TEF.SM (Telefonica) -- looking to cut over 6K jobs in Spain, says union - Bloomberg
NWG.LN (NatWest Group) -- Transcript Intelligence: NatWest Group Investor Meeting - Retail Banking
FGR.FP (Eiffage) -- Engie likely loses the €15B Paris district heating contract to.Eiffage -- Le Figaro
BEZ.LN (Beazley) -- Transcript Intelligence: Beazley Capital Markets Day
TIETO.FH (Tietoevry) -- Transcript Intelligence: Tietoevry Capital Markets Day
IOS.GR (IONOS Group) -- SE to commence already communicated 2M shares buyback today
European Parliament to vote on EUDR delay tomorrow; TSM sues former exec in intraday themes (25-Nov)
Ferrari signs green energy PPA with Shell
Venture Global accuses Shell of conducting campaign to damage its LNG business; criticizes its decision to appeal defeat in arbitration case - FT, citing staff note
Key rating changes
Upgrades
CARL.B.DC (Carlsberg) -- overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
UBS upgrades ENI.IM, NESTE.FH; downgrades SHEL.LN
BOL.SS (Boliden) -- to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank
SZG.GR (Salzgitter) -- to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank (earlier, timing uncertain)
Downgrades
EDR.SM (eDreams ODIGEO) -- equal weight from overweight at Barclays
HEN3.GR (Henkel) -- underweight from overweight at JPMorgan
IPN.FP (Ipsen) -- to underperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
VIRI.FP (Viridien) -- to neutral from outperform at Oddo
EGTX.SS (Egetis Therapeutics) -- to sell from hold at Pareto
Initiations
GLPG.NA (Galapagos) -- market perform at Bernstein
GNS.LN (Genus) -- buy at Berenberg
Data
Nikkei +1.85% to 49559.07
Hang Seng +0.42% to 26003.11
Shanghai Composite (0.10%) to 3866.11
S&P futures +23.3 vs prior close of 6781.5
€-$ +0.0018 or +0.16% to 1.1588
$-¥ +0.21 or +0.13% to 156.27
€-¥ +0.52 or +0.29% to 181.06
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