Nov 28 ,2025
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open higher, with Asia equities trading mixed Friday in a quiet session. US equity futures higher with S&P up ~0.1%. Bond yields firmer. US 10-year up 1 bp at 4.00%. Similar moves in regional Asian benchmarks. Dollar firmer. Oil up. Gold gains. Industrial metals higher. Bitcoin little changed after moving above $90K in prior session.
Limited fresh catalysts. In the absence of other news, path of least resistance is higher. Revival in December Fed rate cut expectations has aided sentiment this week. Some pushback against recent AI bubble concerns amid a still-strong demand outlook. European narrative has been positive. Focus on forward-looking indicators, fading currency headwinds and diminishing tariff impact. Some positive headlines on Ukraine war, though some skepticism it will lead to breakthrough on ceasefire agreement.
Lot of macro data to digest at month-end. German retail sales, import prices and labor market updates due. Final French GDP on the agenda. Latest monthly inflation updates to begin with French, German and Spanish readings ahead of Eurozone update next week. In the UK, think tanks weigh in on budget. Analysis warns of further fiscal pressures. Elsewhere, Labour government has abandoned part of his plans on workers' rights reform to make it less onerous on firms. Update from property portal Zoopla showed house price stagnation in run up to budget.
On the agenda for today, in central banks, Bundesbank's Balz and Nagel speak. Representatives of the Riksbank, the Swedish FSA, the Swedish National Debt Office and the government gather at 9:30CET for a meeting of the Financial Stability Council. ECB's Montagner speaks at 10:10 CET. EU's Dombrovskis holds a video conf with ECB's de Guindos. Bundestag sees the conclusion of budget week.
Light on the corporate calendar while busy day for macroeconomic releases. Of note, Germany Oct retail sales are due at 07:00 GMT, Nov unemployment rate due at 8:00 GMT and preliminary CPI at 13:00 GMT. France Nov preliminary CPI, Q3 final GDP, Oct consumer goods spending and Oct PPI are all out at 7:45 GMT. Italy Q3 final GDP out at 9:00 GMT, followed by Nov preliminary CPI at 10:00 GMT. Spain Nov preliminary CPI and Oct retail sales out at 8:00 GMT. Amidst other releases are Switzerland Q3 final GDP, Nov leading indicator - KOF, Oct retail sales, UK Nov house price index - Nationwide and more.
Politics/Macro/World News
ECB officials look beyond inflation to bigger threats for Europe ( Bloomberg )
Billionaire Haven Switzerland Set to Reject 50% Inheritance Tax (Bloomberg )
Rutte hails 'renewed energy' on Ukraine peace as Putin pours cold water (FT )
Belgium says using frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine will endanger a peace deal (FT )
Putin says US-Ukraine text could form basis for future peace deal (Reuters )
UK October car manufacturing (23.8%) y/y to 59,010 units - SMMT
Top company news
Earnings/updates
OHLA.SM (Obrascon Huarte Lain) -- 9M net income attributable (€45.6M) vs year-ago (€58.3M)
CPI.AV (CPI Europe) -- 9M FFO €186.1M vs year-ago €230.9M
DESN.SW (Dottikon ES Holding) -- H1 net income CHF47.6M, +47% vs year-ago CHF32.3M
DDRIL.NO (Dolphin Drilling AS) -- Q3 EPS ($0.06) vs year-ago ($0.14)
SRB.LN (Serabi Gold) -- Q3 EPS $0.21 vs year-ago $0.11; on track for FY gold production guidance
ARCH.NO (Archer Limited) -- confirms prelim Q3 earnings as per 4-Nov update
M&A
DHER.GR (Delivery Hero) -- under pressure from several large shareholders to conduct strategic review - Bloomberg
PGHN.SW (Partners Group Holding) -- Digital Realty Trust, Equinix among bidders entering into next round of bidding for Partners Group-owned atNorth - Bloomberg (27-Nov, 9:17 ET, 15:17 CET)
CTPNV.NA (CTP NV) -- CTP announces acquisition of Italy's VLD S.r.l. for €241M
AAL.LN (Anglo American) -- Canada grants national-security approval for Anglo American's purchase of Teck TECK.B.CN -- Globe and Mail (roughly 11:30 ET/16:30 GMT)
HSBA.LN (HSBC Holdings) -- NAB considered the only serious contender for HSBC's Australian business - The Australian
PUM.GR (Puma) -- ASICS Corp clarifies that there is no truth in media reports suggesting its interest in acquisition of Puma
SMCP.FP (SMCP) -- was informed today of the initiation of a process to sell shares representing up to 51.2% of its share capital.
TC1.GR (Tele Columbus) -- ~97.67% holder Kublai to implement a squeeze-out to acquire remaining stake in the company
Healthcare
GNFT.FP (GENFIT) -- appoints Pejvack Motlagh as new Chief Medical Officer
Other
BMPS.IM (Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena) -- Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena, in response to press reports published today, announces that it has received notification from the Milan Public Prosecutor's Office of a search warrant
ARCAD.NA (ARCADIS) -- announces four new data center wins in Germany; combined value of the wins is €8M
Key rating changes
Upgrades
HEIA.NA (Heineken) -- to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank
JMAT.LN (Johnson Matthey) -- to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
MOWI.NO (Mowi) -- to buy from hold at Berenberg
MONC.IM (Moncler) -- to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan
SFER.IM (Salvatore Ferragamo) -- at JPMorgan
Downgrades
ABI.BB (Anheuser-Busch InBev) -- to hold from buy at Deutsche Bank
AZE.BB (Azelis Group) -- to neutral from overweight at JPMorgan
BRBY.LN (Burberry Group) -- to underweight from neutral at JPMorgan
EZJ.LN (EasyJet) -- to outperform from market perform at Bernstein
EVK.GR (Evonik Industries) -- to neutral from overweight at JPMorgan
IMCD.NA (IMCD) -- to neutral from overweight at JPMorgan
WCH.GR (Wacker Chemie)-- to underweight from neutral at JPMorgan
WTB.LN (Whitbread) -- to underperform from outperform at Bernstein
Initiations
RAA.GR (Rational) -- buy at Goldman Sachs
SWON.SW (SoftwareONE Holding) -- buy at Berenberg
Other Actions
HIK.LN (Hikma Pharmaceuticals) -- resumed buy at Peel Hunt; prior rating was buy
KIT.NO (Kitron) -- resumed buy at Nordea; prior rating was buy
Data
Nikkei +0.17% to 50253.91
Hang Seng (0.29%) to 25871.27
Shanghai Composite +0.26% to 3885.48
S&P futures +7.0 vs prior close of 6828.0
€-$ (0.0013) or (0.11%) to 1.1584
$-¥ +0.12 or +0.08% to 156.43
€-¥ (0.04) or (0.02%) to 181.21
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