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StreetAccount Summary - Asian Market Recap: Nikkei (1.05%), Hang Seng +0.58%, Shanghai Composite +0.70% as of 03:10 ET

Dec 05 ,2025

  • Synopsis:

    • Asia equities edged higher Friday to finish the week with modest gains. Greater China led higher by tis tech stocks after a successful listing of Moore Threads Technology in Shanghai. More gains for the Kospi and Taiex boards, Australia also higher while India pared early losses to trade higher after the RBI rate decision. Losses in Japan and Singapore. US futures higher, Europe opened with small gains. US dollar DXY index consolidating overnight losses at 99, yen strengthened further on report BOJ was almost certain to hike rates this month; AUD and NZD also stronger, yuan resuming strengthening trend. JGB yields higher at the short end, lower at the long; Treasuries also mixed. Precious metals higher, crude futures slightly lower, copper leading base metals.

    • Asia ending the week on a positive note but volumes were noticeably lower ahead of several key catalysts later today and before year end. In the US, delayed September PCE index is not expected to be around the same level as August and not enough to alter the Fed's easing path with a cut expected next week. Consumer sentiment will also be watched closely. For the week, Asia equities closed modestly higher with Monday's steep selloff countered by a technology-led rally with most major benchmarks ending with modest gains.

    • In Friday's regional developments, the RBI cut its benchmark interest rate 25 bps as expected by a slim majority of economists and kept its neutral stance against some expectations for a hawkish pivot. It also announced another injection of liquidity into the financial system and a swaps purchase program to provide rupee support. Elsewhere, Bloomberg reported BOJ officials said the bank was ready to raise rates to 0.75% at its December meeting, sparking another step higher in JGB yields and the yen. Japan household spending unexpectedly contracted by the most since Jan-24 as car sales fell away. Philippine inflation fell to below expectations 1.5%, paving the way for the central bank to trim rates again.

    • Baidu (9888.HK) is said to be considering a Hong Kong IPO for its power enter chip unit Kunlunxin. Cambricon Technologies (688256.CH) denied it plans to triple its output of chips as reported on Thursday. Moore Threads (688795.CH) debuted on the Shanghai stockmarket and more than quadrupled by the close. LG Group (LG Electronics, 066570.KS) stocks traded higher on reports it was working on a deal to supply Microsoft with AI data center cooling solutions. Hon Hai Precision (2317.TT) reported monthly sales up 25.5% y/y as demand for AI related product continues to surge.

  • Digest:

    • BOJ ready to raise interest rates at December's meeting:

      • Bloomberg cited people familiar with the matter who said BOJ officials ready to raise interest rate by 25 bp to 0.75% at December's meeting, provided no economic or market shock in meantime. Reduced uncertainty surrounding US tariffs and scope for wage growth amid strong corporate earnings have given policymakers confidence in economic outlook. Also view that financial conditions will remain accommodative even if policy rate is raised given real rates are still negative. Board will stick with core stance that rate hikes to continue if economic and inflation realized. However, will also remain cautious on how much further rates can rise with BOJ having estimated neutral rate of 1-1.25%. Market had already moved to price in ~90% chance of December rate hike in wake of Governor Ueda's speech on Monday with sources saying that officials were aware how markets would interpret his remarks. Japan government officials also stated they would not object to a rate hike with Finance Minister Katayama saying she would leave policy specifics up to BOJ (Reuters).

    • RBI cuts benchmark interest rate by 25 bps despite 'goldilocks' economy:

      • RBI's MPC Friday cut benchmark repo rate 25 bps to 5.25% as expected by slim majority of analysts who had shifted towards hold decision in wake of strong quarterly GDP data last week. MPC voted unanimously for cut, while bank would maintain neutral stance versus some expectations of hawkish pivot. Governor Sanjay Malhotra said economy at rare 'goldilocks' moment with benign inflation and elevated growth; raised FY26 GDP forecast to 7.3% from 6.8% previously with Q3 high frequency datapoints remaining strong. Forecast headline and core inflation to stay near 4.0% in H1-26, lowered FY25 estimate. Warned merchandise exports faces headwinds but service exports remain strong. External uncertainties still pose outlook risk, trade deals with various countries present upside potential. Said would buy INR 1T of government securities via omo to inject 'durable liquidity' into financial system; engineer $5B forex swap this month in rupee support. Market reaction positive: main equity boards pared early losses, rupee rallied back through 90 per dollar, IGB yields dipped slightly.

    • Japan household spending shrinks by most since Jan-2024:

      • Japan October household spending contracted 3% y/y against forecasts for a 1% increase and September's 1.8% rise. Represented first decline in six months and largest drop since Jan-2024. Spending shrunk 3.5% on a m/m basis compared to prior month's 0.7% fall. Decline largely driven by sharp fall in auto and auto-related spending, and big drop in communications as consumers shifted to lower-priced plans. Food imports declined amid higher prices. While market almost fully pricing in December rate hike, weak consumption seen as potential complication to future increases. BOJ Outlook Report in October projected consumption to be more or less flat before returning to moderate increasing trend (also flagged downside risk to inflation if consumption declined). Japan GDP contracted 1.8% in Q3 amid negligible rise in private consumption, reflecting cost of living pressures that were shown up in real wages contracting further in September (October wage data due on 8-Dec).

    • Moore Threads make strong debut in China amid Beijing's push for tech self-reliance:

      • Chinese GPU maker Moore Threads (688795.CH) surging in Shanghai trading debut after raising CNY8B ($1.13B) in second largest onshore IPO for this year on bets company will benefit from China's push for greater tech self-reliance (Bloomberg, Reuters). Stock of Moore Threads, dubbed by analysts as "China's Nvidia", jumped 469% after being sold CNY114.28 per share during IPO. Strong enthusiasm in offering saw retail portion oversubscribed 2,750 times even after clawback as analysts noted company could become crucial force in accelerating Beijing's push to wean itself off US technology amid geopolitical rivalry with Washington. Company is seen as beneficiary from void left by Nvidia's (NVDA) forced exit from Chinese market. Meanwhile Chinese regulators and stock exchanges have eased listing requirements for unprofitable firms on tech-heavy STAR board to boost local tech startups. Slew of chipmakers including MetaX, SJ Semiconductors and Xiamen UX IC are in IPO pipelines of Shanghai Stock Exchange. Strong listing of Moore Threads is seen to bode well for these chip firms going public.

    • BOJ rate hike expectations, elevated inflation, and supply pressures weigh on JGBs:

      • JGB yield backup has been a focus this week with policy-sensitive 2Y and benchmark 10Y rate both scaling highest levels since 2007 as December rate hike expectations firmed in wake of BOJ Governor Ueda's speech on Monday (market now pricing in 90% chance). Elevated inflation has underpinned the hawkish shift with board members cognisant of upside risks from yen depreciation and labor market shortages. Inflation expectations have firmed with Japan 10Y breakeven rate hitting 1.71% this week, highest since Oct-2013 (Nikkei). Fiscal stimulus scrutiny has also contributed to the upward pressure in longer-dated yields with 30Y rate approaching record high, notwithstanding brief respite from Thursday's well-received auction (Bloomberg). There are further risk events for bond markets to navigate. Ministry of Finance will meet with primary dealers on 12-Dec with Bloomberg sources noting dealers requested government to reduce superlong issuance. Wednesday's Fed meeting could set tone for yields before BOJ policy decision a week later. Next week also sees MoF auction 5Y and 20Y notes.

    • Notable Gainers:

      • +6.9% 4062.JP (IBIDEN): GIC discloses 5.07% stake

      • +5.2% 066570.KS (LG Electronics): expectations of AI data center collaboration with Microsoft

      • +3.2% 112610.KS (CS Wind): signs KRW179.60B (€105.0M) wind tower supply contract with Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy

      • +2.2% 011200.KS (HMM): Dongwon Group founder Kim Jae-chul remains very interested in acquiring HMM

      • +1.9% 2303.TT (United Microelectronics): reports November revenue NT$21.23B, +5.9% y/y; signs MOU with Polar Semiconductor to explore co-operation opportunities in 8-inch wafer manufacturing in U.S.

      • +1.4% 7984.JP (KOKUYO): to acquire Thien Long Group via stake purchase and tender offer for around ¥27.60B

      • +0.8% 028050.KS (Samsung E&A Co.): report of looking at acquiring Cenviro

    • Notable Decliners:

      • -12% 196170.KS (Alteogen): Halozyme announces German court today granted a preliminary injunction ordering Merck to refrain from distributing and offering Keytruda SC in Germany

  • Data:

    • Economic:

      • Japan October

        • Household spending (3.0%) y/y vs consensus +1.0% and +1.8% in prior month

          • Spending (3.5%) m/m vs (0.7%) in prior month

      • Singapore

        • October retail sales y/y +4.5% versus +2.7% in prior month

    • Markets:

      • Nikkei: (536.55) or (1.05%) to 50491.87

      • Hang Seng: 149.18 or +0.58% to 26085.08

      • Shanghai Composite: 27.01 or +0.70% to 3902.81

      • Shenzhen Composite: 30.35 or +1.24% to 2468.88

      • ASX200: 16.20 or +0.19% to 8634.60

      • KOSPI: 71.54 or +1.78% to 4100.05

      • SENSEX: 444.60 or +0.52% to 85709.92

    • Currencies:

      • $-¥: (0.35) or (0.23%) to 154.7680

      • $-KRW: (4.97) or (0.34%) to 1469.6900

      • A$-$: +0.00 or +0.23% to 0.6625

      • $-INR: +0.23 or +0.26% to 90.0655

      • $-CNY: (0.00) or (0.05%) to 7.0685

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