Dec 05 ,2025
Synopsis:
European equity markets closed mixed. Germany +0.7% outperformed and UK (0.5%) lagged. Follows broad strength in prior session. Autos, financial services and media were the best performing sectors whilst energy, banks and insurance were the worst performing.
Limited read-through for Europe from overseas markets. Market awaiting fresh catalysts with attention increasingly on next Wednesday's FOMC meeting. Market navigating another very busy week of AI news featuring more supply deals, chip production developments, and M&A/IPO activity. Sentiment surrounding European markets positive. Outlook for 2026 upbeat with sell-side anticipating healthy EPS growth and modest gains for regional equity markets.
On the macro data front, a string of supportive data from the euro area. Eurozone final Q3 GDP revised up to 0.3% versus prior 0.2%; German factory orders came in ahead of forecast; French industrial production beat; Italian retail sales ahead of forecast; only Spanish industrial production missed. Update from UK's Halifax showed slowdown in UK house prices on an annual basis, largely due to base effects.
Politico reported that ECB officials worried over Trump's Fed chair pick due to risk of inflationary spillover. German Chancellor Merz and French PM Lecornu survived critical budget votes. UK press focusing on potential shift in government position on Brexit after Deputy PM Lammy said rejoining customs union would boost growth.
On the corporate news flow front, at its CMD, Swiss Re (SREN.SW) announced that it targets FY26 net income of $4.5B vs FactSet $4.77B and will introduce sustainable annual buyback program in 2026 at $500M; still in the DACH region, SCHOTT Pharma (1SXP.GR) posted prelim FY numbers and - in the Nordics - Boliden (BOL.SS) issued its 2026 production guidance; in Belgium, UCB (UCB.BB) upgraded FY25 financial guidance amidst robust year to date performance.
Elsewhere, Unilever (ULVR.LN) announced that the demerger of its Ice Cream Business will complete on 6-Dec, Ocado Group (OCDO.LN) agreed one-off cash payment from Kroger of $350M to compensate Ocado following Kroger's recent decisions to optimise its CFC network and Ferd AS sold a 5.3% stake in Boozt Fashion (BOOZT.SS) for SEK105/sh.
Digest:
Sectors - STOXX Europe 600:
Outperformers:
Autos & Parts +1.49%, Financial Svcs +1.47%, Media +0.92%, Construct & Mtls +0.86%, Chemicals +0.61%, Technology +0.32%, Travel & Leisure +0.27%, Health Care +0.24%, Persnl & HHold Goods +0.13%, Ind Goods & Svcs +0.11%, Basic Resources +0.10%
Underperformers:
Oil & Gas (1.01%), Banks (0.69%), Insurance (0.66%), Utilities (0.58%), Real Estate (0.34%), Telecom (0.32%), Food & Beverage (0.24%), Retail (0.06%)
Macro:
Geopolitics
Central Banks
ECB frets at prospect of Trump ally running US central bank - Politico
EU
EU leaders race to save Ukraine funding deal as Kyiv's cash runs low - The Guardian
UK
Lammy breaks ranks on Brexit - The Telegraph
UK's FCA Dismisses Calls for Market Abuse Inquiry Into Budget - Bloomberg
France
Xi woos Macron with sightseeing trip, but little in the way of deals - Reuters
Germany
Italy
Meloni's Brothers of Italy picks fight with Bank of Italy over gold reserves - Politico
Netherlands
Dutch Pension Overhaul to Fuel Pivot From Long Bonds in EU - Bloomberg
Company news:
Notable Gainers
+8.6% IDEX.NO (IDEX Biometrics NOK3.29, +0.26) -- completes 7.3M private placement prices at NOK3/sh
+5.4% NESTE.FH (Neste €18.31, +0.94) -- BofA upgrade
+5.0% ALO.FP (Alstom €23.01, +1.09) -- Citi upgrade
+4.4% BUFAB.SS (Bufab SEK104.42, +4.42) -- Handelsbanken upgrade
+4.1% UBSG.SW (UBS Group CHF32.57, +1.28) -- report the Swiss government is preparing to water down part of UBS' capital rules
+3.6% ENSU.NO (Ensurge Micropower NOK0.83, +0.03) -- discloses subscription period for the subsequent offering
+3.2% SZG.GR (Salzgitter €37.60, +1.16)
+3.2% UCB.BB (UCB €247.50, +7.60) -- upgrades FY25 guidance
+2.8% VOLV.B.SS (Volvo SEK296.60, +8.10) -- Citi upgrade
+2.5% TKA.GR (ThyssenKrupp €9.43, +0.23)
+2.4% AFRY.SS (AFRY AB SEK156.60, +3.60) -- awarded new framework agreement with Regional Health Authority in Norway
+2.3% SAAB.B.SS (Saab SEK489.25, +11.00) -- BofA upgrade
+2.2% IWS.NO (Integrated Wind Solutions NOK46.70, +1.00) -- additional charter backlog
+2.1% KBX.GR (Knorr-Bremse €90.60, +1.90) -- Bank of America upgrade (we're told)
+1.1% OHLA.SM (Obrascon Huarte Lain €0.37, -0.00) -- announces resolution of the claim submitted in the litigation concerning the Sidra Hospital
Notable Decliners
-14.1% CANTA.SS (Cantargia SEK3.80, -0.63) -- updates on overall survival results from Phase 1B/2 TRIFOUR study
-6.7% BOOZT.SS (Boozt Fashion SEK105.60, -7.60) -- Ferd AS sells 5.3% stake in company for SEK105/share
-6.5% SREN.SW (Swiss Re CHF129.45, -9.05) -- CMD
-6.3% DMRE.GR (DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate €0.44, -0.03)
-5.3% MONY.LN (MONY Group £1.82, -0.10) -- Morgan Stanley downgrade
-4.9% OEM.B.SS (OEM International SEK150.40, -7.80) -- Handelsbanken downgrade
-4.3% BYG.LN (Big Yellow Group £10.24, -0.46) -- terminates discussions with Blackstone
-4.1% GNFT.FP (GENFIT €4.65, -0.20)
-3.7% LATO.B.SS (Latour Investment SEK225.50, -8.60) -- initiated sell at ABG Sundal Collier
-3.1% FYB.GR (Formycon €24.95, -0.80)
-2.8% GTT.FP (Gaztransport & Technigaz €169.70, -4.80) -- Goldman Sachs downgrade
-2.6% BP.LN (BP £4.53, -0.12) -- BofA downgrade; BP reportedly in advanced discussions over sale of $8B Castrol unit to Stonepeak -- FT
-1.5% ENI.IM (Eni €16.10, -0.25) -- JPMorgan downgrade
EU companies reporting Monday:
Earnings:
DACHs: Stabilus (STM.GR), TKMS (TKMS.GR)
CMD/Events: Smith & Nephew (SN.LN), Surgical Science Sweden (SUS.SS), Helvetia Holding (HELN.SW) Business Update Call, UCB (UCB.BB) BofA R&D Call
Data:
Economics:
Germany Oct Factory Orders +1.5% m/m vs consensus +0.5% and prior revised +2.0% from +1.1%
UK Nov Halifax House Prices +0.7% y/y vs consensus +1.7% and prior +1.9%
Norway Oct Manufacturing Production (0.9%) m/m vs consensus +0.9% and prior revised (1.4%) from (1.7%)
Spain Oct Industrial Production +1.2% y/y vs consensus +2.1% and prior revised +1.5% from +1.7%
Italy Oct Retail Sales +1.3% y/y vs consensus +1.1% and prior revised +0.7% from +0.5%
Eurozone Q3 GDP +1.4% y/y vs 2nd estimate +1.4%
France
Oct Trade Balance (€3.9B) vs consensus (€6.8B) and prior revised (€6.4B) from (€6.6B)
Oct Industrial Production +0.2% m/m vs consensus (0.3%) and prior revised +0.7% from +0.8%
Markets:
WTI Crude (Jan 26): +$0.38 or +0.64% to $60.05
€-$ (0.0014) or (0.12%) to 1.1631
£-$ (0.0009) or (0.07%) to 1.3317
€-£ (0.0003) to 0.8736
S&P 500 +0.11%
Performance year-to-date
FTSE 100: +18.28%
DAX: +20.69%
CAC: +9.94%
MIB: +27.05%
Stoxx 600: +14.02%
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