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StreetAccount Summary - Asian Market Recap: Nikkei +1.81%, Hang Seng +0.43%, Shanghai Composite +0.69% as of 03:10 ET

Dec 22 ,2025

The Asian Market Recap will not be published from 25-Dec through 2-Jan. It will return on 5-Jan.

  • Synopsis:

    • Asia equities ended higher across the board Monday. Tech-dominated benchmarks in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan outperformed notably; Shenzhen and Shanghai also finished higher but Hong Kong while Hong Kong rallied into the close. Southeast Asia also closed with modest gains, India currently trading higher. US futures higher, Europe opened with small losses. US dollar flat, yen strengthening following intervention warnings, yuan also stronger again. Treasury yields higher across tenors, JGB yields also pushing higher again. WTI and Brent futures up on Venezuelan tensions, gold and silver touching record highs again. Iron ore and copper higher. Cryptocurrencies edging higher.

    • Asia stocks closed higher Monday in what is expected to be a truncated week's trading as regional holidays begin in earnest on Wednesday. Technology stocks boosted by a strong end to trading on Wall Street Friday and higher futures in Monday trading. Strong gains for SK Hynix (000660.KS) and Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) in South Korea on reports both companies were taking measures to ramp up production. The yen stabilized and strengthened slightly following warnings from Tokyo's forex diplomat and its finance minister over one-sided moves but the currency continues to trade close to the year's lows. Still, JGB yields continue to trade higher with the 10Y yield at 26-year highs and the 2Y at 28-year highs.

    • In other developments, China left its 1Y and 5Y loan prime rates unchanged as expected after PBOC held 7D reverse repo rate steady. South Korea's exports for the first 20 days of December increased again as shipments for semiconductors continued to grow. India and New Zealand signed a free trade agreement even as a US-India deal appears no nearer. Tensions on the Thailand-Cambodia border ratcheted higher over the weekend following Bangkok's bombing of targets deeper into Cambodia territory. In political developments, former Malaysia PM Najib was denied permission to serve his corruption conviction under house arrest.

    • Seven & i (3382.JP) CEO is said to be pressing for its US unit to move quicker on a turnaround plan as it seeks a listing of the business to fund new investments and lift shareholder returns. China Nonferrous Metals (1258.HK) has acquired an additional 55% stake in Kazakhstan's SM Minerals for around $89M. IndiGo (InterGlobe Aviation, 539448.IN) executives told a local media source that the likely delay in its international expansion plans is due to the current pilot shortage.

  • Digest:

    • China LPRs unchanged as expected:

      • China LPRs were steady at 3.00% in 1y and 3.50% in 5y, matching unanimous expectations, consistent with the seven-day reverse repo rate (Reuters). Marks the seventh straight month of no change with no indications of urgency among policymakers as 2025 economic targets set to be achieved. Modest easing projections have been pushed back into early next year given more recent evidence of weakening growth momentum, weighed down by longstanding weakness in the property market and consumer confidence, while fixed asset investment has posted record declines. Exports have been an unexpected bright spot as manufacturers have managed to secure alternative markets in adapting to US tensions, highlighted by latest official data showing China's annual trade surplus topped $1T for the first time with one month left to count. Yet, uncertainties to the outlook posed by signs of mounting trade frictions among non-US trading partners. Attention turns to the Government Work Report for guidance on the policy outlook for 2026. Conjecture on the official growth target so far pointing to another year of 'around 5%,' which means more stimulus is in order (Reuters). Risks skewed to the downside with a minority of government advisers looking for a target of 4.5-5.0%. Hopes lie mostly with fiscal support, though CEWC reaffirmed a "moderately loose" monetary policy, explicitly mentioning policy tools such as RRR and benchmark rates that typically portends follow-through.

    • Post-BOJ yen weakness prompting concerns:

      • Nikkei discussed strengthening yen pressure after having extended declines in the European/US sessions Friday to a one-month low in the high 157 range against the dollar while hitting fresh all-time lows vs euro. Price action triggered more verbal intervention from Finance Minister Katayama, reaffirming MOF's vow to take appropriate action against excessive movements and speculators (Nikkei). Momentum was mainly attributed to market reactions to the BOJ's softer than expected hawkish policy stance. FX strategists see potential for near-term continuation towards 160 that will likely prompt FX intervention. In the meantime, yen depreciation is seen providing a tailwind for equities. Yen selling pressure intensified during Governor Ueda's press conference Friday afternoon where he reiterated difficulties in pinpointing neutral rates and hence requires a substantial range in estimates. Nikkei editorial discussed the prospects for the resumption of rate hikes leading to the fourth major reversal in yen carry trades since the late-90s which have previously caused upheaval in FX and stocks markets. Another key element relates to bond yields which have been driven up by concerns about fiscal spending and a deterioration in discipline. While the government acquiesced to a rate hike this time, lingering perceptions of government opposition giving rise to views that BOJ's normalization path will be impeded by the government, further reinforcing the gradual rate hike trajectory. So far, stock market narrative has recently shifted in favor of the view that current rate hikes reflect positive economic dynamics.

    • Street Takeaways: December BOJ rate hike

      • Economist takeaways from the BOJ meeting saw the rate hike as widely in line while noting the market disappointment at the lack of clearer guidance on the future rate hike path as well as neutral rates. Yet, the BOJ 's messaging was sufficiently hawkish to affirm views that rate hikes going forward will revert to a roughly semiannual pace established before US tariff turbulence disrupted the trajectory for most of this year. Also, terminal rate projections above 1% becoming more common after Governor Ueda said the policy rate at 0.75% was still somewhat below the neutral rate range and hinted that a policy rate of 1% would not necessarily be restrictive. However, predictions for the next policy change vary, posing the risk of near-term uncertainty. On the early side, the case for Apr-26 was based on BOJ's focus on shunto wage negotiations by which time the bulk of information will be on hand. Jun/Jul seemed to be the default (also for OIS market) and most consistent with a semiannual frequency after last week's move. More conservative forecasts do not see another policy change until Jan-27 given expectations for core CPI inflation to soften below the 2% target around 1H26. Ueda indicated they look more at underlying trend inflation though would likely face hurdles in proceeding with hikes while the mandated series is below target. Some debate about the reason BOJ refrained from providing clearer guidance with some putting it down to ongoing uncertainties, while others suggested officials were mindful of potential government backlash. FX remains the primary swing factor, where markets are convinced yen depreciation was a key driver of last week's move, and a continuation would increase inflation risks further, auguring for a sooner rather than later response.

    • Notable Gainers:

      • +6.8% 1258.HK (China Nonferrous Mining): acquires additional 55% stake in SM Minerals for $89M (HK$692.5M) cash

      • +4.7% 6594.JP (Nidec): chairman and founder Shigenobu Nagamori resigns; company has appointed Mitsuya Kishida, currently president and CEO, as chairman

      • +2.5% 2344.TT (Winbond Electronics): board approves capex budget NT$1.49B

      • +2% 036570.KS (NCsoft): to acquire 67% stake in INDYGO GROUP for KRW153.41B; INDYGO controls LIHUHU, a Vietnamese mobile casual game developer

      • +0.9% 035720.KS (Kakao): reportedly in talks with Upstage AI for sale of Daum

    • Notable Decliners:

      • -12.9% 1167.HK (Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group): Jacobio Pharmaceuticals Group, AstraZeneca enter license and collaboration agreement for Pan-KRAS inhibitor JAB23E73

      • -9.8% 2201.TT (Yulon Motor): sells Luxgen Automobile to Foxtron Vehicle Technologies for NT$787.6M

      • -3.6% 2282.HK (MGM China Holdings): appoints Kenneth Xiaofeng Feng as CEO

  • Data:

    • Economic:

      • No economic data today

    • Markets:

      • Nikkei: 895.18 or +1.81% to 50402.39

      • Hang Seng: 111.24 or +0.43% to 25801.77

      • Shanghai Composite: 26.92 or +0.69% to 3917.36

      • Shenzhen Composite: 27.82 or +1.13% to 2492.70

      • ASX200: 78.50 or +0.91% to 8699.90

      • KOSPI: 85.38 or +2.12% to 4105.93

      • SENSEX: 538.35 or +0.63% to 85467.71

    • Currencies:

      • $-¥: (0.30) or (0.19%) to 157.4560

      • $-KRW: +3.14 or +0.21% to 1478.8600

      • A$-$: +0.00 or +0.41% to 0.6638

      • $-INR: (0.07) or (0.08%) to 89.5589

      • $-CNY: (0.00) or (0.07%) to 7.0365

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