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StreetAccount Summary - Asian Market Recap: Nikkei +0.68%, Hang Seng Closed, Shanghai Composite +0.10% as of 03:10 ET

Dec 26 ,2025

  • Synopsis:

    • Asia equities ended mostly higher Friday to complete another strong week for technology stocks. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan comfortably led the region as technology stocks surged again. Less prominent moves in mainland China as Shanghai advanced but Shenzhen dipped a few points. Southeast Asia and India quiet. Market holidays in Hong Kong, Australia and Indonesia. US futures near unchanged, Europe reopened with small gains but several markets still on holiday. US dollar unchanged at three-month lows, yen weaker and AUD notably stronger, won also stronger on BOK comments on forex stabilization, yuan hovering around 7.0 per dollar after briefly breaking through Thursday. Treasury yields mostly higher, JGB yields off recent highs. Crude flat, precious metals led by a strong surge in silver. Base metals quiet. Cryptocurrencies rallyied.

    • Asia equities rounded off a holiday-shortened week with more advances, led by technology stocks as optimism over AI surged once again. Strong gains for Tokyo Electron (~8035.JP~), SK Hynix (~000660.KS~) and Samsung Electronics (005930.KS~) among other AI-related stocks although the Kospi held back by declines in several big exporters as the won appreciated. Nevertheless, the Kospi, Taiex and Nikkei completing a strong week with notable gains.

    • In regional developments, BOJ Governor Ueda repeated rate hikes were likely to continue if growth and inflation outlooks were realized. The BOK 2026 monetary policy statement said decisions on further rate cuts will be weighed on data and financial stability conditions, adding that it will implement forex stabilization measures. The PBOC's Q4 monetary policy report reiterated it will maintain moderately loose policy, increase counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments. Tokyo core inflation moderated but remained higher than the BOJ's target. Japan November industrial production contracted by more than forecast, retail sales shrank sharply y/y, and the unemployment rate remained unchanged.

    • Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) said it has no plans to list its India business for now. Fujitsu (7203.JP) is set to join a Softbank (9984.JP) led group to develop next-generation memory for AI and supercomputers. Toyota Motor (7203.JP) posted a fall in November sales on a sharp drop in China sales. A Hanwha Ocean (042660.KS) executive said the company's Philadelphia yard can build the US a nuclear submarine as well as its new battleship design.

  • Digest:

    • Japan to reduce issuance of superlong bonds as government unveils record FY26 budget:

      • Japan Ministry of Finance announced FY26 bond issuance plan with total sales ¥8.9T lower than FY25 supplementary budget. Issuance changes concentrated in superlong sector with combined 20Y, 30Y and 40Y sales down ¥4T from FY25 supplementary budget. Ten-year issuance unchanged while planned 2Y and 5Y sales to rise by ¥2.4T. MoF said will review issuance plan with bond market participants around June. Japan's cabinet signed off on ¥122.1T ($785B) draft budget for FY26, up 6% on FY25 (Nikkei). Newly issued bonds to total ¥29.6T, up ¥900B from FY25 initial budget. Assumed financing rate climbs to 3% from the 2% assumed for FY25 budget, translating to record debt-servicing cost of ¥31.28T (up 11%). Of FY26 budget, record ¥9.04T set aside for defense, while spending on chips and AI will also see sharp increase (Bloomberg). JGB 30Y and 40Y yields stabilizing with FX strategists saying reduction in superlong bonds was larger than expected (Bloomberg). Selling pressure more evident at the front-end with policy sensitive 2Y yield rising to highest since 1996 following December BOJ rate hike (and expectations for more).

    • BOJ Governor Ueda says rate hikes will continue if baseline scenario realized:

      • In a Thursday speech, BOJ Governor Ueda reiterated Bank will continue to tighten policy if baseline scenario is realized, particularly given that real rates remain at significantly low levels. Said December's rate hike decision was informed primarily by reduced US trade uncertainties and limited spillover to Japan, and high likelihood of wage hikes continuing into next year. As a result, cycle of wage growth and inflation is increasing likelihood of underlying inflation reaching 2% in second half of projection period. Ueda said structural labor market changes expected to keep conditions tight, fueling upward pressure in wages and encouraging firms to pass on costs to selling prices. Going into next year's wage talks, Ueda highlighted how union bargaining shifting in more forward-looking manner based on assumption prices will rise 2% in the future, a development likely to strengthen robustness of mechanism in which wages and prices rise moderately. While lack of clear guidance from Ueda on future rate path following December MPM drove further selling in yen this week, Thursday's speech affirmed intention to continue policy normalization with markets eyeing mid-2026 move.

    • Tokyo core inflation eases, Japan industrial production shrinks:

      • Tokyo core inflation fell to 2.3% y/y in December from 2.8% in prior month, lower than consensus 2.5%. Overall inflation dropped to 2.0% from 2.7%. Largely reflected declines in volatile food and energy costs. Inflation eased to 2.6% from 2.3% when stripping out these two categories. Data considered unlikely to derail BOJ tightening stance with central bank increasingly of view underlying inflation will reach 2% target in second half of projection period. Separately, Japan industrial production shrunk 2.6% m/m in November, larger fall than 1.9% forecast and more than reversing prior month's 1.5% gain. Weakness driven by declines in output of autos, ICT and electronic equipment. However, firms more optimistic about near-term outlook with METI survey projections forecasting 1.3% rebound in December industrial production and 8% growth in January. November retail sales rose 1% y/y, roughly in-line with consensus 0.9% though slower than prior month's 1.7% increase.

    • BOK says further rate cuts hinge on inflation, growth and financial stability conditions:

      • BOK 2026 monetary policy statement said board will decide whether and when to make further rate cuts depending on inflation and growth developments and financial stability conditions. Inflation expected to remain around 2% target but subject to upside risks from exchange rate and domestic demand. Growth outlook also subject to significant upside and downside risks. Stressed continued vigilance needed on financial stability implications from house prices, household debt risks and FX volatility. Recall BOK left policy rate unchanged in November and dialed back its easing stance amid rise in inflation, improving economy and financial stability risks, strengthening economist views that rate cut cycle is at, or near, an end. On FX, BOK said will strengthen monitoring and implement stabilization measures to address excessive herd behavior, address structural imbalances in supply and demand, and enhance accessibility for foreign investors. Comes after South Korean financial authorities on Wednesday outlined series of FX market actions they said reflected government's strong determination to stabilize won. Intervention saw won strengthen most against dollar in six months, sending USDKRW to lowest level since early November.

    • Notable Gainers:

      • +7.2% 000408.CH (Zangge Mining): Zangge Mining provides FY26 production plan: to begin production of industrial salt

      • +5.3% 005930.KS (Samsung Electronics): Samsung Electronics has no plans to list India business for now - PTI

      • +1.2% 8473.JP (SBI Holdings): SBI Holdings looking to form closer capital relationships with regional banks - Nikkei

      • +0.8% 6702.JP (Fujitsu): Fujitsu partnering with SoftBank to develop next-gen AI memory chip that can rival current HBM - Nikkei

    • Notable Decliners:

      • -1.8% 600779.CH (Sichuan Swellfun): Sichuan Swellfun denies rumour on planned acquisition of the company

  • Data:

    • Economic:

      • Japan

        • November Unemployment Rate 2.6% versus 2.6% in prior month

        • December CPI Tokyo y/y +2% versus +2.7% in prior month

        • November Industrial Production m/m (preliminary) (2.6%) versus consensus (1%) and +1.5% in prior month

        • November Retail Sales y/y (6.2%) versus (5.5%) in prior month

        • November Retail Sales m/m +0.6% versus +1.6% in prior month

      • Singapore

        • November Manufacturing Production NSA Y/Y +14.3% versus +28.9% in prior month

    • Markets:

      • Nikkei: 342.60 or +0.68% to 50750.39

      • Hang Seng: 0.00 or 0.00% to 25818.93

      • Shanghai Composite: 4.06 or +0.10% to 3963.68

      • Shenzhen Composite: 8.11 or +0.32% to 2541.94

      • ASX200: 0.00 or 0.00% to 8762.70

      • KOSPI: 21.06 or +0.51% to 4129.68

      • SENSEX: (352.55) or (0.41%) to 85056.16

    • Currencies:

      • $-¥: +0.47 or +0.30% to 156.4100

      • $-KRW: (1.22) or (0.08%) to 1444.0100

      • A$-$: (0.00) or (0.08%) to 0.6700

      • $-INR: +0.01 or +0.02% to 89.7775

      • $-CNY: (0.01) or (0.09%) to 7.0086

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