Jan 07 ,2026
Synopsis
European equity markets are set for a mixed open amidst Asia equities stalling in their new year's rally. Declines in Japan triggered by ratchet higher in diplomatic tryst with Beijing. Mainland China markets also lower, Hang Seng underperforming. South Korea and Taiwan seeing red as profit taking sets in. Small gains for the ASX and in Singapore, India flat, Southeast Asia still positive. US futures edge lower.
Bullish sentiment remains the main theme, kicking off a strong start to the year especially in Asia. AI optimism most frequently cited as a key driver. Market attention on Venezuela increasingly breaking down to crude oil implications (while also compounding broader geopolitical risks). President Trump said on social media that Venezuela will send 30-50M barrels of oil to US at market prices and proceeds to be controlled by Trump. UK and France have signed a declaration of intent on deploying troops in Ukraine if a peace deal is made with Russia.
In the UK, following MPs questions on Northern Ireland, the first weekly PMQs following Christmas break at 12noon GMT and then Opposition Day Debate (topic tba) whilst committee topics include The Seventh Carbon Budget at 14:30. Norway's finance minister Stoltenberg keynote address at ~18:00CET at a symposium held to mark the 70th birthday of Germany's President Steinmeier. Stoltenberg will also meet with the Federal President, Chancellor Merz and minister of finance Klingbeil. Norway's PM Støre, ministers for Fisheries & Oceans and Energy, Næss and Aasland, others, attend Norwegian Confederation of Employers' (NHO) annual conf. EU's Hansen, Šefčovič and Várhelyi host a meeting of EU agriculture ministers in Brussels to discuss the future of farming and food security in Europe and outline the main expectations for EU action in 2026. Cyprus' opening ceremony of the Presidency of the Council of the EU at 17:00CET.
Macro data due for release include Germany Dec unemployment rate, construction PMI, Nov retail sales, France Dec consumer confidence, Italy/Finland/Austria/Netherlands Dec preliminary CPI, Eurozone Dec flash CPI, Sweden Dec services PMI, Ireland Dec unemployment rate, Austria Nov PPI, UK Dec construction PMI, Portugal Nov unemployment rate
In earnings, Redcare Pharmacy (RDC.GR) reports prelim Q4 revenue €794M vs FactSet €817.3M whilst in Norway, Salmar (SALM.NO) reports Q4 consolidated harvest volumes (1,000 tgw) 84.1 and Lerøy Seafood Group (LSG.NO) is out with Q4 total harvest volume of salmon and trout (GWT) 49,300 vs year-ago 56,800.
Politics/Macro/World News
UK and France to send troops to Ukraine if peace deal agreed -- BBC
French Government Sees Deficit Near 5.4% If No 2026 Budget - Bloomberg
White House says using US military is 'always an option' for acquiring Greenland - Guardian
Finland Dec Preliminary HICP +1.8% y/y vs consensus +1.6% and prior +1.5%
Netherlands Dec Preliminary CPI +2.8% y/y vs consensus +2.9% and prior +2.9%
Top company news
Earnings/updates
DACHs:
RDC.GR (Redcare Pharmacy) -- reports prelim Q4 revenue €794M vs FactSet €817.3M [4 est, €810-822.3M]
GLJ.GR (GRENKE) -- reports FY leasing new business €3.29B vs guidance of €3.2-3.4B
Nordics:
SALM.NO (Salmar) -- reports Q4 consolidated harvest volumes (1,000 tgw) 84.1
LSG.NO (Lerøy Seafood Group) -- Q4 trading update: total harvest volume of salmon and trout (GWT) 49,300 vs year-ago 56,800
EMGS.NO (Electromagnetic Geoservices) -- reports Q4 vessel activity and multi-client sales update
BNOR.NO (BlueNord) -- reports preliminary Dec net production 47.4 mboepd
M&A
HO.FP (Thales) -- Covivio and Blue Owl Capital announce €503M strategic partnership to share Thales sites in Vélizy
LAND.SW (Landis+Gyr) -- EU clears AURELIUS' acquisition of Landis+Gyr's EMEA business
OS (OneStream) -- to be acquired by Hg
LKOH.RU (Lukoil) -- Chevron, Quantum Energy Partners working together on joint bid for Lukoil's international assets, valued at $22B - FT
SHEL.LN (Shell Plc) -- signs deal to acquire 35% stake in two offshore oil blocks in Angola from Chevron subsidiary; terms not disclosed - Bloomberg
SIE.GR (Siemens AG) -- Siemens eyeing acquisitions in AI, life sciences and operations software - Bloomberg
TKA.GR (ThyssenKrupp) -- considering selling TKSE in several stages - Reuters
RUM (Rumble) -- announces confidential submission of S-4 in connection with previously proposed business combination with Northern Data
KBC Group and Van Lanschot Kempen Investment Banking to combine specialist equities activities into 50/50 JV
Healthcare
BAYN.GR (Bayer AG) -- Bayer files patent infringement complaint against Covid-19 vaccine makers regarding use of IP to improve mRNA stability - The Independent
VTYX (Ventyx Biosciences) -- Shares of Ventyx Biosciences continue higher in after-hours
4523.JP (Eisai) -- EA Pharma initiates Phase III trial of EA8001 in Japan (earlier, timing uncertain)
GNFT.FP (GENFIT) -- announces Ph 1 safety profile and anti-inflammatory activity for ACLF lead asset G1090l
ADXN.SW (Addex Therapeutics) -- announces Neurosterix starts a Phase 1 clinical study with NTX-253 for Schizophrenia
Other
EXA.FP (Exail Technologies) -- announces signing of two contracts for DriX H-9 surface drone
NDX1.GR (Nordex) -- obtains orders for 414 MW in France, Belgium and Portugal (
BSLN.SW (Basilea Pharmaceutica) -- and Prokaryotics enter collaboration to develop a broad-spectrum antifungal for the treatment of severe invasive infections
SIE.GR (Siemens AG) -- and NVIDIA expand partnership to build industrial AI operating system
SGO.FP (Compagnie de Saint-Gobain) -- announces intention to delist from the London Stock Exchange
ORSTED.DC (Ørsted) -- Sunrise Wind to challenge US's 22-Dec lease-suspension order in court
IDR.SM (Indra Sistemas) -- Indra Group awarded FAA radar system replacement contract
TE.FP (Technip Energies) -- wins two large contracts totaling €250M-€500M for Bina and Mumbai refineries in India
ECMPA.NA (Eurocommercial Properties) -- declares an interim dividend for the financial year ended on 31-Dec-25 of €0.72 in cash per share
ComEx to require financial commitment for large scale projects to keep costs down; Nestle recalls formula products in intraday themes (6-Dec)
MSCI announces it will not exclude digital asset treasury companies from its indices as part of February 2026 index review
Tradeweb Markets discloses amendments to master data license agreement with Refinitiv - 8-K
Key rating changes
Upgrades
Barclays upgrades BAYN.GR, NOVN.SW, ROG.SW; downgrades BIM.FP, DIA.IM, GSK.LN, others
Bernstein upgrades ABBN.SW, ATCO.A.SS; resumes ASSA.B.SS, ENR.GR, SIE.GR
ATCO.A.SS (Atlas Copco) -- to outperform from market perform at Bernstein
ELISA.FH (Elisa Oyj) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
LHA.GR (Deutsche Lufthansa) -- to overweight from underweight at Morgan Stanley
MT.NA (ArcelorMittal) -- to overweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
VOD.LN (Vodafone Group) -- to buy from hold at Berenberg
Downgrades
RXL.FP (Rexel) -- hold from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
ELISA.FH (Elisa) -- to underperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
NWG.LN (NatWest Group) -- to equal weight from overweight at Barclays
SW.FP (Sodexo) -- to underweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
EVK.GR (Evonik Industries) -- to sell from hold at Berenberg
TUI1.GR (TUI Group) -- to hold from add at Peel Hunt
Initiations
MICC.NA (Magnum Ice Cream Co) -- hold at Jefferies
IRES.ID (Irish Residential Properties REIT) -- outperform at Oddo
AVIO.IM (Avio) -- buy at Jefferies
Data
Nikkei (1.06%) to 51961.98
Hang Seng (1.25%) to 26377.58
Shanghai Composite (0.06%) to 4081.35
S&P futures (5.5) vs prior close of 6987.8
€-$ +0.0011 or +0.09% to 1.1701
$-¥ (0.31) or (0.20%) to 156.37
€-¥ (0.22) or (0.12%) to 182.91
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