Jan 12 ,2026
Synopsis
European equity markets set to open broadly flat to lower after last week's gains with fresh record levels across the region. The benchmark Stoxx 600 rose 2.3% last week (led by Tech sector) and ended above the 600 level and there was notable outperformance in the German DAX, which gained almost 3% on the week. The FTSE 100 climbed 0.8% to 10,124.60 points on Friday, led by Glencore and other miners after reports of Glencore-Rio Tinto resuming merger talks.
At the start of the new week, market reacting to revelation Fed served with DoJ grand jury subpoenas threatening criminal indictment of Chair Powell over his testimony in June about renovations of central bank's headquarters. NY Times sources earlier said Powell being probed whether he lied to Congress about scope of project. Powell described action as retribution for Fed setting rates independently of Trump's preferences and vowed to remain in his job. Comes after Trump in December voiced his displeasure at Powell and expressed a desire to fire him.
Iran the focus of latest geopolitical headlines after President Trump confirmed US military weighing "strong options" for Tehran as regime intensifies crackdown against large-sale demonstrations. Iran threatened to retaliate against any strike, putting American bases, commercial interest and as well as Israel in its crosshairs. Oil spiked following initial headlines before erasing gains as market reassesses whether renewed hostilities would directly impact crude flows from Strait of Hormuz.
This week's agenda sees the release of Germany 2025 GDP, UK Nov industrial/manufacturing production, final Dec CPIs from across the region as well as earnings/updates from the likes of bp (BP.LN), Brunello Cucinelli (BC.IM), Jeronimo Martins (JMT.PL), Repsol (REP.SM), Richemont (CFR.SW) and Whitbread (WTB.LN). Note that in the US, Q4 earnings season kicks off on Tuesday with JPM/DAL/BK earnings and continues to ramp from there with notable prints expected from BAC, C, WFC on Wednesday; GS, MS, BLK on Thursday.
European macro data releases out today include Denmark Dec CPI, Eurozone Jan economic index - Sentix, Switzerland Dec consumer confidence - SECO
In central banks, ECB's de Guindos fireside chat at 9:50CET during presentation of the euro yearbook 2025 at Instituto Español de Analistas and Bundesbank's Balz lecture at 17:00CET at business4school, title 'The Bundesbank and its tasks'. Bank of France's Villeroy speech in Paris. ECB publishes first of the Economic Bulletin pre-releases at 10:00CET. In politics, G7 finance ministers meet in Washington. Norway's Minister of Trade and Industry Myrseth will visit Trysil to gain insight into the largest tourism destination in the hinterland and an industry with significant export growth, whilst PM Støre, others, attend Central Board Meeting of the Labour Party (through Tue). In UK, there are MPs questions on housing, communities and local government one of which is 'what recent progress has made on delivering 1.5M new homes by the end of this Parliament', whilst committee topics include the work of the Chief of the Defence Staff at 14:00GMT. Polish President Nawrocki starts two-day visit to U.K.
Politics/Macro/World News
UK
France
Le Pen's political fate hangs in the balance as French appeal begins -- Reuters
Germany
Top company news
Earnings/updates
COPN.SW (Cosmo Pharmaceuticals) -- reports prelim FY revenue €104M at guidance midpoint (€102M-€107M) vs FactSet €129.2M [5 est, €89-237.8M]
VIRI.FP (Viridien) --reports prelim FY revenue >$1.15B vs FactSet $1.18B [5 est, $1.16-1.19B]
Also reporting today
Earnings:
UK: Knights Group Holdings (KGH.LN)
Trading Update:
DACHs: Volkswagen Group (VOW.GR) deliveries 2025
France: Airbus (AIR.FP) 2025 orders/deliveries investor call at 18:30CET
Southern Europe: Repsol (REP.SM), Brunello Cucinelli (BC.IM)
UK: Oxford Nanopore Technologies (ONT.LN), Polar Capital Holdings (POLR.LN)
Other: Íslandsbanki (ISB.IR)
Traffic: Heathrow Airport (+HTR.LN)
CMD/Events: Circio Holding (CRNA.NO) EGM rights issue, SmartCraft (SMCRT.NO) EGM cross-border merger and relisting to Nasdaq Stockholm
M&A
WKL.NA (Wolters Kluwer) -- acquires StandardFusion for ~€32M in cash
FAGR.BB (Fagron) -- completes acquisition of University Compounding Pharmacy in North America
PIRC.IM (Pirelli) -- Shareholder pact between Camfin and Sinochem to be dissolved soon -- Il Messaggero
NB2.GR (Northern Data) -- reports option to reacquire and sell the Corpus Christi site for HPC purposes to expire
EPRO.B.SS (Electrolux Professional) -- completes acquisition of assets of Royal Range
CORE.A.SS (Corem Property Group) -- signs agreement to divest 417 Park Avenue in New York
EQT.SS EQT Life Sciences confirms agrees to sell Vivasure Medical to Haemonetics
EU clears Eni and Petronas' JV including assets in Malaysia and Indonesia
EU clears Volvo's acquisition of Swecon's business operations in Sweden, Germany and the Baltics
Healthcare
JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) -- announces new longer follow-up results from Phase 1B/2 OrigAMI-1 study evaluating amivantamab-vmjw; RYBREVANT longer-term results show promising and durable responses in difficult-to-treat colorectal cancer
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- Sanofi's Teizeild approved in the EU for patients with stage 2 type 1 diabetes
RGNX (REGENXBIO) -- issues 2026 catalysts, new Phase I/II RGX-202 functional data demonstrates long-term durable treatment effect at pivotal dose at 18 months
IDIA.SW (Idorsia) -- announces the publication in Nature Communications of promising results of MODIFY study evaluating lucerastat on kidney function in Fabry disease
MOLN.SW (Molecular Partners) -- provides update which it will present tomorrow at the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference
NYXH.BB (Nyxoah) -- Transcript Intelligence: Nyxoah Non Deal Roadshow
Other
EQT.SS (EQT AB) -- EQT reportedly selects Goldman, Morgan Stanley, and RBC to advise on potential IPO of First Student -- Bloomberg
SMWH.LN (WH Smith) -- seeking to replace Annette Court as chairman - Sky News
CO.FP (Casino Guichard-Perrachon) -- provides update on consent from creditors
KAR.SS (Karnov Group) -- share repurchase authorisation of up to SEK 500M
STLAM.IM (Stellantis) -- ending production of Jeep SUV and Chrysler minivan PHEVs, citing slowdown in EV sales, quality concerns, lowered fuel economy requirements -- CNBC, citing emailed statement
WPP.LN (WPP Group) -- WPP's exodus of talent leading major clients to explore marketing deals with rivals - Mail on Sunday
SRG.IM (Snam) -- announces the exchange price of its previously announced €500M green bonds exchangeable into existing shares of Italgas due 2031
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $94.0M, +19.7% y/y - Box Office Mojo
No ruling from Supreme Court on tariffs today; Stellantis scraps hybrids in intraday themes (9-Jan)
Trump says not looking at how much oil companies lost [in Venezuela] in the past, will start with even slate -- CNBC/WH meeting
Key rating changes
Upgrades
NXT.LN (Next) -- to outperform from market perform at Bernstein
Deutsche Bank upgrades BEI.GR, OR.FP
SGE.LN (Sage) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
NEWA.B.SS (New Wave Group) -- to buy from hold at Handelsbanken
SCR.FP (SCOR) -- to outperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
Downgrades
Deutsche Bank downgrades BARN.SW, BN.FP, HLN.LN
ABF.LN (Associated British Foods) -- to market perform from outperform at Bernstein
DIM.FP (Sartorius Stedim Biotech) -- to neutral from buy at Goldman Sachs
MNDI.LN (Mondi) -- to underweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
SWON.SW (SoftwareONE Holding) -- to underweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
NHY.NO (Norsk Hydro) -- to hold from buy at Handelsbanken
SUNN.SW (Sunrise Communications) -- to neutral from outperform at Oddo
PRU.LN (Prudential) -- to neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
PST.IM (Poste Italiane) -- to neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
SLHN.SW (Swiss Life) -- to underperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
Other Actions
SRT3.GR (Sartorius) -- target increased to €445 from €320 at KeyBanc
SOP.FP (Sopra Steria Group) -- initiated buy at UBS
Data
Nikkei +0.00% to 51939.89
Hang Seng +1.20% to 26547.60
Shanghai Composite +0.99% to 4161.25
S&P futures (39.5) vs prior close of 7005.0
€-$ +0.0038 or +0.33% to 1.1673
$-¥ (0.04) or (0.03%) to 157.99
€-¥ +0.59 or +0.32% to 184.43
WTI Crude (Feb 26): +$0.14 or +0.24% to $59.26
Gold (Feb 26): +$86.40 or +1.92% to $4587.30
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