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StreetAccount Summary - Asian Market Recap: Nikkei (1.12%), Hang Seng (1.10%), Kospi +2.31% as of 03:10 ET

Feb 20 ,2026

  • Synopsis:

    • Asia equities ended mixed Friday. Japan's two main benchmarks finished down but off their troughs. Hang Seng reopened with a sharp fall with a rotation out of 'traditional internet' names and into AI pure plays evident. Australia and Singapore ended flat. More strong gains for the Kospi. India ending a three-day down streak but still heading for a weekly loss. Taiwan and mainland China remain closed for a holiday. US futures higher, Europe opened with gains. Dollar steady, NZD and AUD under further pressure, yen marginally weaker, rupee steady amid reports of RBI intervention again early on. Treasury yield curve steepening, JGB yields lower across tenors again. Precious metals higher, crude oil higher and base metals mixed. Cryptocurrencies slightly higher.

    • Asia equities closing a holiday-impacted week mixed as geopolitical concerns begin to build and mainland China remained closed to cap volumes. Still, the MSCI Asia Pac ex Japan index will end with a w/w gain and within a point or two of a fresh record high with advances in South Korea pillaring gains as the Hang Seng saw a modest decline. Friday, Geopolitical tensions over Iran starting to seep into investors' mind with a tick higher in save-haven assets and crude oil prices, while defense stocks outperformed with Hanwha Aerospace (012450.KS) and SK Innovation (096770.KS) notable gainers, all despite most observers still seeing the buildup of US forces acting as a negotiating tactic.

    • In regional developments Friday, Japan core CPI was steady at 2.0% while headline inflation fell to its lowest in nearly four years. Flash February PMIs showed Japan's manufacturing activity expanded at its fastest since May-23; India's PMI also resumed its acceleration albeit with an uptick in inflation; Australia PMI lost a little momentum but remained in expansion. Malaysia's January exports grew 19.6% y/y in January on shipments of electronic goods including chips. Indonesia signed a trade deal with the US that reduces general tariffs to 19% and sees exceptions for palm oil. Seoul house prices and national household debt also rose as BOK prepares to meet to decide interest rates next week.

    • ITOCHU (8001.JP) has increased its stake in Hitachi Construction Machinery (6305.JP) to 33.4% from previous 20.4%. Nippon Steel (5401.JP) could sell an additional ¥300B worth of strategic shareholdings, according to a Nikkei report; company said China-driven supply glut could be nearing an end. Sony Group (6758.JP) is shutting down its Bluepoint Games, the PlayStation subsidiary responsible for developing the remakes of video games. Guzman & Gomez (GYG.AU) posted higher-than-expected H1 profits but warned of sluggish sales in a 'challenging' US consumer environment; shares down sharply.

  • Digest:

    • Hong Kong tech majors lag following holiday, AI startups surge:

      • Hang Seng resumed trade following LNY holiday with major tech platforms under some pressure. Several companies released updated AI models ahead of holidays and the big names touted usage metrics over the week (SCMP). Tencent (700.HK) said DAUs and MAUs on Yuanbao AI app topped 50M and 114M respectively. Alibaba (9988.HK) noted over 130M user experiences of its AI-powered shopping feature through Qwen. Numbers seemingly failed to impress with analysts flagging concerns about post-holiday retention rates. Companies had also invited scrutiny over costly promotional campaigns that invited regulatory warnings to curb involution-type competition. Tencent down 14% month-to-date to lowest since Jul-2025 with its CNY1B 'red packet' campaign to entice new users fueling concerns about impact on profits and margins (Bloomberg). AI startups faring better with Zhipu (2513.HK) and MiniMax (100.HK) extending month-to-date gains to 174% and 99% respectively. AI model updates have fueled hype surrounding the companies and have led to positive sell-side initiations (Bloomberg).

    • Trump administration ponders timing and length of military strikes against Iran:

      • Washington Post sources said Trump administration preparing for an extended military campaign against Iran, just waiting on arrival of USS Gerald R. Ford and accompanying warships as US amasses largest deployment to Middle East since 2003 Iraq war (Bloomberg). Timing of any strike remains fluid with Trump indicating Iran had ten days to reach nuclear deal (Reuters) while his advisers were told US forces deployed to region will be in place by mid-March. Earlier CNN report noted US military prepared to strike Iran as soon as this weekend. Other media sources said Trump considering limiting initial attack to few military or government sites in bid to pressure Iran into an agreement, before widening campaign if Tehran refuses. While diplomatic door has been left ajar, US officials skeptical about prospects of reaching a satisfactory agreement with Iran so far refusing US demands to give up uranium enrichment. Iran Supreme Leader Khamanei has also been posting series of defiant messages on X. Crude up 6% week-to-date to highest since Aug-2025, as market continues to fret about Strait of Hormuz disruptions and possible Iranian retaliation against Middle East oil facilities.

    • Japan nationwide CPI distorted by policy-induced energy volatility:

      • Nationwide core CPI rose 2.0% y/y in January, matching expectations. Follows 2.4% in the previous month and marks the softest since Jan-24. Ex-fresh food & energy inflation was 2.6% vs consensus 2.7% and also moderating from 2.9% in December. Energy drags increased by 0.17 ppt to 0.42 ppt driven almost entirely by gasoline. Some of this reflected unfavorable base effects though also fell notably on a sequential basis for the second straight month after the special surcharge was scrapped as part of cost-of-living relief measures. Electricity and gas remained a slight drag as y/y comparisons were suppressed by base effects caused by prior rounds of government subsidies. Next round due to take effect from the January billing period in February and run through April. Other notable factors were also negative, led by ongoing deceleration in non-fresh food. Rice prices have slowed every month since more than doubling at its height in May last year though remains elevated at 27.9%. Processed food products also well off their peak of 10% increases in mid-2023 while still notably above the headline amid ongoing price hikes. BOJ has long predicted core CPI inflation will fall below 2% in H1 of FY26 due to policy measures and waning momentum in food prices before recovering to a level consistent with the price stability target in the second half of the projection period (any time from H2). Yet BOJ has emphasized underlying trend inflation as the key gauge, which board members have acknowledged is approaching the 2% threshold.

    • RBNZ Governor Breman warns prematurely tightening policy risks choking off recovery:

      • In a speech, RBNZ Governor Breman warned increasing official cash rate (OCR) now would not bring down inflation immediately due to 6-9 quarter lag but would instead hamper New Zealand's economic recovery and risk inflation undershooting target. Said policy will remain guided by new information and is not on preset course. While recovery is expected to broaden out, it is likely to be uneven with household consumption growth subdued. She reiterated board's expectation for inflation to return to 2% target midpoint over next 12 months, adding it needs to assess whether some of the recent increase is a sign of broader pricing pressures or just a temporary influence. For example, she highlighted role of strong growth in administered prices in keeping non-tradeables inflation sticky, noting underlying inflation is not as high as headline CPI suggests. She concluded that economy has room to recover while inflation returns to 2% though risks to inflation outlook are balanced. Breman's remarks put more downward pressure on policy-sensitive 2Y yield after markets pared odds of a rate hike by October to ~66% from 90% before Wednesday's 'dovish' hold.

    • Japan FY earnings projections turn positive, back on track to extend records:

      • Nikkei top story aggregated FY guidance among some 1,000 TSE Prime Market constituents with a March FY-end (supplemented by consensus forecasts) and found net profit projections now pointing to 1% growth, revised from a 2% decline, to record levels for the fifth straight year -- the longest streak since the 2008 financial crisis. AI demand combining with capital efficiency enhancements through measures such as divestment of non-core businesses as key drivers. Positive dynamics extending to shareholder payouts and wage hikes. Latest earnings season saw about a quarter of companies upgrading guidance. Gross margins seen edging up 0.1 ppt to a record 6.3%. Based on a smaller subset of some 600 names for which ROE consensus is available, more than 60% are set to surpass the 8% milestone urged by TSE as a KPI for enhanced corporate governance. With stock prices of many companies tracking at record highs, proportion of some 1,000 TSE Prime Market firms with a price-book ratio below 1 has shrunk 22 ppt from Jan-23 to 37% as of Jan-26. Outlook remains promising as fading US tariff overhang on automakers and rising rates fueling banking sector could take EPS growth into double digits. While ROE still lagging western peers above 10%, and some of the strength in Japan inflated by yen weakness, massive cash reserves present a resource for more growth investments and shareholder payouts.

    • Notable Gainers:

      • +10.9% 005850.KS (SL Corp): reports FY results; operating profit KRW407.10B vs FactSet KRW354.90B

      • +8.4% 034220.KS (LG Display): analyst notes Q1 operating profit expected to beat consensus by 54%

      • +8.1% 012450.KS (HANWHA AEROSPACE): Trump administration reportedly ponders timing and length of military strikes against Iran

      • +7.6% 096770.KS (SK Innovation): Trump administration reportedly ponders timing and length of military strikes against Iran

      • +4.7% 9880.HK (UBTECH Robotics): reportedly on humanoid robot performances at Chinese Spring Festival Gala

    • Notable Decliners:

      • -5.6% 2005.HK (SSY Group): guides 45-60% decline in FY net income attributable

      • -3.3% 8001.JP (ITOCHU): increases stake in Hitachi Construction Machinery to 33.4% from 20.4%

      • -2.1% 8103.JP (Meiwa Corp): Mitsubishi to sell 4.2M Meiwa shares via secondary offering

      • -2.0% 5401.JP (NIPPON STEEL): reportedly could sell additional ¥300B worth of strategic shareholdings

  • Data:

    • Economic:

      • Japan

        • January nationwide core CPI +2.0% y/y vs consensus +2.0% and +2.4% in prior month

          • CPI excl. fresh food & energy +2.6% y/y vs consensus +2.7% and +2.9% in prior month

          • Overall CPI +1.5% y/y vs consensus +1.6% and +2.1% in prior month

        • February flash manufacturing PMI 52.8 vs 51.5 in prior month

          • Services PMI 53.8 vs 53.7 in prior month

          • Composite PMI 53.8 vs 53.1 in prior month

    • Markets:

      • Nikkei: (642.13) or (1.12%) to 56825.70

      • Hang Seng: (292.59) or (1.10%) to 26413.35

      • Shanghai Composite: Closed

      • Shenzhen Composite: Closed

      • ASX200: (4.80) or (0.05%) to 9081.40

      • KOSPI: 131.28 or +2.31% to 5808.53

      • SENSEX: 239.63 or +0.29% to 82737.77

    • Currencies:

      • $-¥: +0.47 or +0.30% to 155.4550

      • $-KRW: (1.50) or (0.10%) to 1447.9800

      • A$-$: (0.00) or (0.28%) to 0.7039

      • $-INR: (0.07) or (0.08%) to 90.9665

      • $-CNY: (0.00) or (0.01%) to 6.9078

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