Feb 25 ,2026
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open higher, amidst largely higher session in Asia and US futures also slightly higher. US dollar weakening, Asia currencies broadly higher led by AUD. Treasury yields higher across tenors, JGBs mixed. Crude futures inching higher, precious metals very strong as the dollar weakens. Iron ore and copper both higher. Cryptocurrencies rallying but off peaks.
Software bounce (though off best levels) the big story with some semblance of reprieve surrounding Anthropic enterprise agent event. Big takeaway has seemingly revolved around partnerships and collaboration over replacement. Also pushback against some of the more dire industry/macro scenarios in the Citrini report that was such a big overhang on risk sentiment on Monday.
Geopolitics seems to have moved to the back burner despite still elevated expectations for a limited US strike on Iran. Chancellor Merz starts visit to China (through Thu) in Beijing the agenda includes meetings with President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Qiang, with post meeting joint press conf planned. In UK, after MP's questions on Scotland there's weekly PMQs at 12noon GMT followed by a general debate on Ukraine.
A busy day for earnings with E.ON SE (EOAN.GR), Fresenius (FRE.RG), Heidelberg Materials (HEI.GR) reporting Q4/ FY numbers out of DACHS, HSBC Holdings (HSBA.LN) also reports; in Italy, Telecom Italia (TIT.IM) posted FY numbers and Leonardo (LDO.IM) released prelim FY EBITA €1.75B vs guidance ~€1.66B and FactSet €1.69B.
In macro, key releases from Germany include Q4 final GDP, Mar consumer confidence - GfK; out of France Feb consumer confidence due and Eurozone Jan final CPI, Switzerland Feb economic sentiment index, expectations - ZEW also due.
Politics/Macro/World News
Top company news
Earnings/updates
EOAN.GR (E.ON SE) -- FY adj net income €3.02B vs cons €2.99B; guidance "upper part of guidance range €2.85 to €3.05B"
HSBA.LN (HSBC Holdings) -- FY EPS $1.20 vs cons $1.16
FRE.GR (Fresenius) -- Q4 Core EPS €0.78 vs cons €0.80; dividend +5% y/y, guides 2026
TIT.IM (Telecom Italia) -- FY EBITDA €4.35B vs FactSet €4.35B [11 est, €4.32-4.37B]
HEI.GR (Heidelberg Materials) -- Q4 operating EBIT (RCO) €921M vs cons €922M; guides FY26
LDO.IM (Leonardo) -- prelim FY EBITA €1.75B vs guidance ~€1.66B and FactSet €1.69B
SDZ.SW (Sandoz Group) -- FY core EPS $3.64 vs FactSet $3.40 [17 est, $3.02-4.20]; hikes divi by 33% and guides FY26
ITP.FP (Interparfums) -- FY net income attributable €126.6M vs FactSet €126.9M [12 est, €119-132.4M]
TEMN.SW (Temenos) -- Q4 EPS $1.32 vs FactSet $1.30 [7 est, $1.01-1.61]
ADEN.SW (Adecco Group) -- Q4 EPS €0.76 ex-items vs cons €0.71
SPM.IM (Saipem) -- Q4 adj net income €89M vs StreetAccount €112.1M
NDX1.GR (Nordex) -- Q4 net income €183.8M vs FactSet €151.0M [3 est, €108.0-196M]
SK.FP (SEB) -- FY net income €245M vs FactSet €231.0M [11 est, €177.8-265.8M]; comments on FY26 outlook; announces Rebound Plan; would impact up to 2,100 positions worldwide
VPK.NA (Royal Vopak) -- Q4 EPS €0.94 ex-items vs FactSet €1.00 [3 est, €0.70-1.55]; announces shareholder distributions program of ~€1.7B through year-end 2030
BB.FP (Bic) -- FY adj EPS €4.74 vs FactSet €4.70 [6 est, €4.09-5.23]
BVI.FP (Bureau Veritas) -- FY adj EPS €1.42 vs cons €1.43; hikes divi by ~2%, announces €200M buyback and guides FY26
NKT.DC (NKT A/S) -- FY net income €275M vs FactSet €217.1M [12 est, €207-229.2M]
ATE.FP (Alten) -- FY net income €106.9M, (43%) vs year-ago €186.4M
KOA.NO (Kongsberg Automotive) -- Q4 net income €2.8M vs FactSet €1.5M [2 est, (€0.4)-3.3M]
CFEB.BB (Cie d'Entreprises CFE) -- FY net income attributable €33.5M vs FactSet €25.0M [5 est, €21-28.5M]
IWS.NO (Integrated Wind Solutions) -- Q4 net income NOK5.7M vs year-ago NOK4.4M
VOW.NO (Vow ASA) -- Q4 EPS (NOK0.4) vs year-ago (NOK0.7); obtains covenant waivers for DNB facility for 1Q26 and 2Q26
ODL.NO (Odfjell Drilling) -- Q4 EPS $0.19 vs FactSet $0.18 [5 est, $0.15-0.24]; raises dividend
VRLA.FP (Verallia) -- FY net income €93.5M vs FactSet €164.8M [10 est, €123-265.9M]
GF.SW (Georg Fischer) -- FY net income CHF103M vs FactSet CHF224.4M [6 est, CHF82-368M]; guides 2026
OPM.FP (OPmobility) -- FY net income €185M vs FactSet €180.8M [10 est, €150.6-222M]
IPS.FP (Ipsos) -- FY adj net income €240.4M vs FactSet €218.5M
PUBLI.NO (Public Property Invest) -- Q4 EPS NOK0.32 vs FactSet NOK0.21 [3 est, NOK0.09-0.34]
PRS.SM (Promotora de Informaciones) -- FY net income (€27M) vs FactSet (€17.2M) [4 est, (€23)-(7M)]
4FZ.GR (Orbia Advance Corp SAB de CV) -- Q4 EPS ($0.08) vs year-ago ($0.03)
GRE.SM (Grenergy Renovables) -- Q4 net income €41.7M vs FactSet €48.0M [4 est, €39.6-53.9M]
ENC.SM (ENCE Energia y Celulosa) -- Q4 net income (€32.4M) vs FactSet (€18.2M) [3 est, (€28)-(11.5M)]
ADOC.FP (Adocia) -- Q4 revenue €38K vs year-ago €9.3M
GSF.NO (Grieg Seafood) -- Q4 EPS NOK3.80 vs year-ago NOK0.40; guides Q1 GSF Rogaland farming cost to increase
IRLAB.A.SS (IRLAB Therapeutics) -- Q4 EPS (SEK0.29) vs year-ago (SEK0.10)
M&A
PEN.NO (Panoro Energy) -- Kosmos Energy (KOS) announces sale of Equatorial Guinea production assets to Panoro Energy for up to $219.5M
JST.GR (JOST Werke) -- launches cash capital increase; net proceeds will further enhance JOST's financial flexibility to execute value-accretive M&A opportunities
WLN.FP (WORLDLINE) -- announces strategic sale of its Indian payment activities to BillDesk
Healthcare
GSK.LN (GSK Plc) -- Frontier Biotech announces siRNA license agreement worth up to $1B with GSK (earlier, 05:55ET)
ROG.SW (Roche Holding) -- NICE recommends Genentech's Avastin (and biosimilars) with fluoropyrimidine-based chemotherapy to treat metastatic colorectal cancer
GALD.SW (Galderma Group) -- Galderma announces triple approval of new state-of-the-Art Restylane syringe in the EU, the US. and Canada
BSLN.SW (Basilea Pharmaceutica) -- receives further $6M from BARDA to continue development of novel antibiotic ceftibuten-ledaborbactam
AB.FP (AB Science) -- announces identification of a potential biomarker for assessing the activity of masitinib in pathological microglial involvement in ALS
FYB.GR (Formycon) -- announces Dahlia PK study successfully met its primary study objective
Other
BA.LN (BAE Systems) -- awarded $500M contract for Paladin Self-Propelled Howitzers
TIT.IM (Telecom Italia) -- announces proposed €400M share buyback plan alongside 1-for-10 reverse stock split; intends for shareholder remuneration of ~50% expected proceeds from Sparkle transaction
HAG.GR (HENSOLDT) -- extends CEO Oliver Dörre's contract ahead of schedule by five years until end of 2031
NORBT.NO (Norbit) -- in advanced negotiations with a European client regarding a NOK 115M contract
BMPS.IM (Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena) -- Italy to not take part in selecting new board at Monte dei Paschi - Reuters
IGD.IM (IGD) -- signs €165M secured loan agreement with a pool of leading national and international lenders
GF.SW (Georg Fischer) -- releases 2025 sustainability report
Key rating changes
Upgrades
CBK.GR (Commerzbank) -- to market perform from underperform at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
ELE.SM (Endesa) -- to neutral from underperform at BNP Paribas Exane
Downgrades:
BEI.GR (Beiersdorf) -- to hold from buy at Deutsche Bank
STAN.LN (Standard Chartered) -- to sell from hold at Shore Capital Stockbrokers
SVT.LN (Severn Trent) -- to hold from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
UU.LN (United Utilities Group) -- to hold from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
Initiations
ACT.GR (AlzChem Group) -- buy at Jefferies
NORBT.NO (Norbit) --buy at Stifel
Data
Nikkei +2.20% to 58583.12
Hang Seng +0.57% to 26742.17
Shanghai Composite +0.61% to 4142.40
S&P futures +2.8 vs prior close of 6903.8
€-$ +0.0031 or +0.26% to 1.1806
$-¥ (0.18) or (0.12%) to 155.73
€-¥ +0.32 or +0.17% to 183.85
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